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Author Topic:   Rebuttal To Creationists - "Since We Can't Directly Observe Evolution..."
Taq
Member
Posts: 10085
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.6


(2)
Message 841 of 2932 (900305)
10-26-2022 3:17 PM
Reply to: Message 320 by Kleinman
10-04-2022 5:36 PM


Re: Taq's random recombination model and the trinomial distribution
Kleinman writes:
When did I reject Mendelian genetics?
You reject Mendelian genetics when you require the percentage distribution of alleles in different genes to add up to 1. You keep doing this. I bet you do it later in this post.
Why can't you add these frequencies? You have 3 subsets in the population. One subset has allele A at one genetic locus. Another subset has allele B at a different genetic locus and a third subset has neither allele. Unless there is an intersection of any of these three subsets, they are mutually exclusive. Each of these 3 subsets has a subpopulation size associated with their corresponding subset and if you add up these subpopulation sizes, you get the total population size.
And there it is. You still don't understand basic Mendelian genetics, at least at the time you wrote this post.
Let's see how this works out. Let's use 3 hypothetical disease alleles (e.g. cystic fibrosis, achondroplasia). Let's say 1 out of 1,000 people carries the diseases allele, or 0.1% of the population. This would mean that 99.9% of people don't carry the disease allele but the healthy allele. Let's call these Aa, Bb, and Cc alleles for genes A, B, C. According to you, I should be able to add up the number of people with the A, B, and C allele and get an accurate population count. Is that true?
NO!!!
If I do as you suggest I will get about 3x the actual population number. Do you know why?
Fixation by selection involves the most fit allele going to a frequency of 1. Other adaptive alleles that give a smaller increase in fitness are not increasing in frequency.
You still don't understand how sexual reproduction works.
How about every real, measurable, and repeatable empirical example of DNA evolution? Start with the Kishony and Lenski experiments, then go on with the success of combination herbicides, pesticides, and rodenticides inhibiting the evolution of selection pressure resistant variants. How about mathematical models that predict and simulate the behaviors of these evolutionary processes?
How about learning how genetics works? Why don't you start there?
You seem to think that there is just one gene per genome. Perhaps you could start by learning how meiosis works, or perhaps what a chromosome is. Maybe you could learn that there are multiple genes in a genome, each with it's own set of alleles.
Me: You claim that the frequency of any two mutations anywhere in the genome can not add up to more than 1. Obviously, that is false.
You: Don't be silly, I haven't made a claim like that. And of course, frequencies are always less than or equal to 1. Frequencies range from 0 to 1. Why do believe that there can be frequencies greater than 1?
So you claim you don't make that claim, and then make that very claim in the next sentence. You effing moron.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 320 by Kleinman, posted 10-04-2022 5:36 PM Kleinman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 861 by Kleinman, posted 10-26-2022 6:52 PM Taq has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 442 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 842 of 2932 (900306)
10-26-2022 3:25 PM
Reply to: Message 816 by Kleinman
10-25-2022 2:33 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Kleinman writes:
What I'm saying is that Dredge is using exaggeration to mock your absurd claims.
But he isn't. He said he was using "the mathematics of God". Which is absurd.
Kleinman writes:
ringo, when you use the addition rule improperly as you do....
I don't use any "addition rule". I have said many times that the odds don't change from one drawing to the next. How could they?
Kleinman writes:
... you will get probabilities greater than 1.
And Dredge claims there can be probabilities greater than one. Why don't you tell HIM there can't?
Kleinman writes:
So, either you believe there are probabilities greater than 1...
I do NOT believe there can be probabilities greater than one, as I have said many times. DREDGE has said there can be probabilities greater than one. Why don't you try to school HIM?
Kleinman writes:
... or you are making a mathematical blunder.
YOU claim I am making a mathematical blunder. Nobody but Dredge seems to agree with you and he's a bigger idiot than you are.
Kleinman writes:
I think you understand that probabilities can only range between 0 and 1.
I do. So you can stop lying about me. Tell Dredge that probabilities can only range between 0 and 1.
Klein writes:
I also think you are too ignorant to know when to use the addition rule and when to use the multiplication rule to compute probabilities.
I know enough not to try to combine probabilities when the events are independent.
Kleinman writes:
Why don't you watch the Khan Academy or Professor Leonard lectures on introductory probability theory on YouTube...
Why don't you suggest that to Dredge? Are you so desperate for affirmation that you don't care how stupid your followers are?
Kleinman writes:
... so you don't look like such a jerk on this subject?
Buy a mirror.

"Oh no, They've gone and named my home St. Petersburg.
What's going on? Where are all the friends I had?
It's all wrong, I'm feeling lost like I just don't belong.
Give me back, give me back my Leningrad."
-- Leningrad Cowboys

This message is a reply to:
 Message 816 by Kleinman, posted 10-25-2022 2:33 PM Kleinman has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 846 by Dredge, posted 10-26-2022 3:32 PM ringo has replied

  
Dredge
Member (Idle past 103 days)
Posts: 2850
From: Australia
Joined: 09-06-2016


Message 843 of 2932 (900307)
10-26-2022 3:26 PM
Reply to: Message 837 by Kleinman
10-26-2022 1:30 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Kleinman writes:
zealots
That's an appropriate name for them ... the gatekeepers of the cult.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 837 by Kleinman, posted 10-26-2022 1:30 PM Kleinman has not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 442 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 844 of 2932 (900309)
10-26-2022 3:29 PM
Reply to: Message 817 by Dredge
10-25-2022 4:17 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Dredge writes:
If I toss a coin three times, what is the probability of getting three heads?
You forget what we're talking about here. Your claim is that abiogenesis is impossible. You calculate a very small probability and call that impossible. But three heads in a row id not impossible, so your example is worthless.

"Oh no, They've gone and named my home St. Petersburg.
What's going on? Where are all the friends I had?
It's all wrong, I'm feeling lost like I just don't belong.
Give me back, give me back my Leningrad."
-- Leningrad Cowboys

This message is a reply to:
 Message 817 by Dredge, posted 10-25-2022 4:17 PM Dredge has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 881 by Dredge, posted 10-27-2022 8:19 AM ringo has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 442 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 845 of 2932 (900311)
10-26-2022 3:32 PM
Reply to: Message 818 by Dredge
10-25-2022 5:22 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Dredge writes:
Of course it's harder ... much harder ... bcoz you multiply the probabilities of winning each lottery.
Why would you multiply the probabilities? The draws are independent. The probability for each draw is the same.
Dredge writes:
The probability of winning 1000 times in a row would be (10-6)¹⁰⁰⁰
= 10-6000
So show us how you calculated the probability of abiogenesis.

"Oh no, They've gone and named my home St. Petersburg.
What's going on? Where are all the friends I had?
It's all wrong, I'm feeling lost like I just don't belong.
Give me back, give me back my Leningrad."
-- Leningrad Cowboys

This message is a reply to:
 Message 818 by Dredge, posted 10-25-2022 5:22 PM Dredge has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 847 by Dredge, posted 10-26-2022 3:37 PM ringo has replied

  
Dredge
Member (Idle past 103 days)
Posts: 2850
From: Australia
Joined: 09-06-2016


Message 846 of 2932 (900312)
10-26-2022 3:32 PM
Reply to: Message 842 by ringo
10-26-2022 3:25 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
ringo writes:
I know enough not to try to combine probabilities when the events are independent.
If you flip a coin three times, for example, each flip is an indepedent event. How would you calculate the probability of getting 3 heads from 3 flips?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 842 by ringo, posted 10-26-2022 3:25 PM ringo has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 850 by Taq, posted 10-26-2022 3:52 PM Dredge has not replied
 Message 855 by ringo, posted 10-26-2022 4:20 PM Dredge has replied

  
Dredge
Member (Idle past 103 days)
Posts: 2850
From: Australia
Joined: 09-06-2016


Message 847 of 2932 (900313)
10-26-2022 3:37 PM
Reply to: Message 845 by ringo
10-26-2022 3:32 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
ringo writes:
Why would you multiply the probabilities? The draws are independent.
Wow. This is basic highschool maths ... and you haven't got a clue.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 845 by ringo, posted 10-26-2022 3:32 PM ringo has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 856 by ringo, posted 10-26-2022 4:22 PM Dredge has not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 442 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 848 of 2932 (900314)
10-26-2022 3:40 PM
Reply to: Message 819 by Dredge
10-25-2022 11:26 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Dredge writes:
But that is not the question.
It is.
Remember that we're ultimately talking about abiogenesis. Chemistry happens in a stepwise process. Two components join together. It's inevitable. Try and stop them. Then the resulting molecule lies around, for years, maybe, before another suitable piece comes along. Then the two pieces join together. It's inevitable. Try and stop them. It might take thousands of steps to make a complex molecule but you can't prevent it from happening.
Dredge writes:
The question is, what is the the probability of winning all five lotteries in a row....
But that is NOT what happens in chemistry. We do NOT expect all of the constituents to come together in one step. We do NOT expect a jigsaw puzzle to come together in one step.
You're using a dishonest scenario.

"Oh no, They've gone and named my home St. Petersburg.
What's going on? Where are all the friends I had?
It's all wrong, I'm feeling lost like I just don't belong.
Give me back, give me back my Leningrad."
-- Leningrad Cowboys

This message is a reply to:
 Message 819 by Dredge, posted 10-25-2022 11:26 PM Dredge has not replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10085
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.6


(1)
Message 849 of 2932 (900315)
10-26-2022 3:41 PM


Quiz for Kleinman
Quiz for Kleinman:
Why are gene 1 and 2 linked in the first example but not in the other two examples?
What effects does linkage have on relative allele distributions between linked genes compared to unlinked genes?

Replies to this message:
 Message 862 by Kleinman, posted 10-26-2022 6:55 PM Taq has replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10085
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.6


(1)
Message 850 of 2932 (900316)
10-26-2022 3:52 PM
Reply to: Message 846 by Dredge
10-26-2022 3:32 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Dredge writes:
If you flip a coin three times, for example, each flip is an indepedent event. How would you calculate the probability of getting 3 heads from 3 flips?
We are getting more distant from the actual genetic system that got this all going.
Kleinman is claiming that if we add up all of the allele frequencies for all genes in a genome that we will get 1. That's ridiculous. That shows a massive misunderstanding of the basic mathematics of genetics.
Let's just say that there are two alleles for each of the ~30,000 genes in the human genome, and the frequency of each allele is 0.5, or 1.0 for each gene. If we add them up like Kleinman claims we can then we get 30,000, not 1.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 846 by Dredge, posted 10-26-2022 3:32 PM Dredge has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 863 by Kleinman, posted 10-26-2022 7:00 PM Taq has not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 442 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 851 of 2932 (900317)
10-26-2022 3:59 PM
Reply to: Message 820 by Dredge
10-26-2022 12:15 AM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Dredge writes:
... I was using a ridiculous hyperbole (a probability of less than 1)....
That isn't hyperbole; it's just plain wrong.
Dredge writes:
... to match a ridiculous proposition (natural abiogenesis).
And yet you have no argument against abiogenesis. Go ahead and show us your probability calculations for abiogenesis.
Dredge writes:
Atheist dreamers ...
it isn't just atheists though. Many Christians - including the Catholic Church - accept the science. Buddhists accept the science. Hindus accept the science. Muslims accept the science. It has nothing to do with religion.
Dredge writes:
... who believe in natural abiogenesis ....
It's not a belief. It's knowledge.
Dredge writes:
... expect us to believe ...
Oh, no. No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.... We don't expect you to accept reality. We expect nothing but stupidity from you.
Dredge writes:
I wonder how much time elapsed between each lucky stage of construction.
They were not "lucky" steps. They were inevitable steps. Try to stop two atoms from bonding.
The time lapses vary. It could be years or it could be microseconds.
Dredge writes:
How would a lucky fraction of a cell manage to stay intact until it bumped into the next lucky part of the jigsaw?
Often they didn't. Molecules can become extinct just like living things. That doesn't mean they didn't exist.
Everybody doesn't win a Nobel Prize. We're looking at the ones who do.
Dredge writes:
Why would such a mindless, aimless, lifeless process produce an organism that reproduces?
Were you under the impression that mind and aim are required for reproduction?
Dredge writes:
The hypothesis of natural
abiogenesis is so improbable...
Show us your calculations.
But it doesn't matter how improbable it is. People DO win the lottery.
Dredge writes:
... unscientific ...
Thoroughly scientific. You're the one who knows nothing about science.
Dredge writes:
... and idiotic...
You seem to have forgetten again whom the idiot is. It is YOU.
Dredge writes:
... it beggars belief ...
No belief is needed. We have knowledge.
Dredge writes:
...any half-intelligent, half-sane adult...
Again, you seem to have forgeooten that YOU are less than half-intelligent and nowhere near half sane.

"Oh no, They've gone and named my home St. Petersburg.
What's going on? Where are all the friends I had?
It's all wrong, I'm feeling lost like I just don't belong.
Give me back, give me back my Leningrad."
-- Leningrad Cowboys

This message is a reply to:
 Message 820 by Dredge, posted 10-26-2022 12:15 AM Dredge has not replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10085
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.6


(1)
Message 852 of 2932 (900318)
10-26-2022 3:59 PM
Reply to: Message 837 by Kleinman
10-26-2022 1:30 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Kleinman writes:
Don't hold your breath for Tany's explanation of how DNA evolution for viruses, bacteria, and yeasts differs from DNA evolution for complex, multicellular, sexually reproducing organisms.
We could start here:

This message is a reply to:
 Message 837 by Kleinman, posted 10-26-2022 1:30 PM Kleinman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 864 by Kleinman, posted 10-26-2022 7:02 PM Taq has replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10085
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.6


Message 853 of 2932 (900319)
10-26-2022 4:11 PM
Reply to: Message 822 by Kleinman
10-26-2022 9:37 AM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Kleinman writes:
This does occur but you have to have very large populations in that family. That's why universal common descent is not possible for primate precursor/human-chimp evolution. There isn't a large enough population size for adaptive evolution to operate to account for the fitness differences between humans and chimps. Taq understood this and tried to address this problem with recombination. But random recombination is also governed by the multiplication rule. Taq tried to address this with a physically impossible claim and he knew it. That's why he abandoned the discussion.
Bullshit, K-man. Life happens, and I got busy elsewhere.
Let's revisit this classic you used in post 311
quote:
Define the following variables:
n – is the total population size.
nA – is the number of members in the population with beneficial allele A.
nB – is the number of members in the population with beneficial allele B.
nC – is the number of members in the population that have neither beneficial allele A nor beneficial allele B.

In addition, we have the following condition: nA + nB + nC = n.
And the frequency of each of the variants are:
f_A = nA/n
f_B = nB/n
f_C = nC/n
Do you still stand by this? Do you add the allele frequencies for alleles in different genes?
What about the healthy alleles for 3 different genes associated with a genetic disease, each with a frequency of 0.999?
0.999A + 0.999B + 0.999C != 1
OOOOOPPPPPSSS!!!! Your math doesn't work.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 822 by Kleinman, posted 10-26-2022 9:37 AM Kleinman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 865 by Kleinman, posted 10-26-2022 7:04 PM Taq has replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 442 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


(1)
Message 854 of 2932 (900320)
10-26-2022 4:13 PM
Reply to: Message 829 by Kleinman
10-26-2022 12:16 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Kleinman writes:
You know that this abiogenesis research would stop if it wasn't paid for by taxpayers. Abiogenesis research hasn't provided anything useful to anyone except for those paid by government grants for this nonsense.
The same could be said for space telescopes. etc. We pay for it because we want to know.
(At least you admit there IS abiogenesis research going on. Tell it to Dredge. He's turned a blind eye to it.)

"Oh no, They've gone and named my home St. Petersburg.
What's going on? Where are all the friends I had?
It's all wrong, I'm feeling lost like I just don't belong.
Give me back, give me back my Leningrad."
-- Leningrad Cowboys

This message is a reply to:
 Message 829 by Kleinman, posted 10-26-2022 12:16 PM Kleinman has not replied

  
ringo
Member (Idle past 442 days)
Posts: 20940
From: frozen wasteland
Joined: 03-23-2005


Message 855 of 2932 (900321)
10-26-2022 4:20 PM
Reply to: Message 846 by Dredge
10-26-2022 3:32 PM


Re: Kleinman does not think mutations can be passed down to descendants
Dredge writes:
How would you calculate the probability of getting 3 heads from 3 flips?
WHY would you?

"Oh no, They've gone and named my home St. Petersburg.
What's going on? Where are all the friends I had?
It's all wrong, I'm feeling lost like I just don't belong.
Give me back, give me back my Leningrad."
-- Leningrad Cowboys

This message is a reply to:
 Message 846 by Dredge, posted 10-26-2022 3:32 PM Dredge has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 859 by Dredge, posted 10-26-2022 5:58 PM ringo has replied

  
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