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Author Topic:   2024 US Presidential Election
marc9000
Member
Posts: 1522
From: Ky U.S.
Joined: 12-25-2009
Member Rating: 1.4


Message 751 of 871 (917130)
03-22-2024 8:16 PM
Reply to: Message 741 by Theodoric
03-22-2024 8:29 AM


Re: bloodbath
Are you stupid, ignorant or a liar?
In Message 713, you indicated that one of your ancestors was a w.a.s.p. That of course means " white anglo-saxon PROTESTANT". Let's see, I looked again to make sure it wasn't w.a.s.t. which would mean "white anglo-saxon troll. It most certainly wasn't w.a.s.a.a.t.h. which would be "white anglo-saxon angry atheist Trump hater." So apparently you didn't inherit the PROTESTANT part of your ancestry. No joke, you should really give it a look, if it registers, it would definitely make you a happier person.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 741 by Theodoric, posted 03-22-2024 8:29 AM Theodoric has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 759 by Theodoric, posted 03-22-2024 10:44 PM marc9000 has not replied

  
K.Rose
Member
Posts: 140
From: Michigan
Joined: 02-02-2024
Member Rating: 1.4


(1)
Message 752 of 871 (917131)
03-22-2024 8:18 PM
Reply to: Message 683 by Percy
03-18-2024 4:49 PM


Re: MORE LIES, D*** LIES, AND STATISITICS (Disraeli, Twain) - Part 2
So how much fraud was there in actuality? Got any numbers?
Please see the bottom of my #680 response.
There are no numbers at the bottom of Message 680.
You are correct, please see message #749.
Also, voter fraud is one of those crimes that does not necessarily leave a mark indicating that a crime was committed, so it's a safe bet that most voter fraud is never even detected as having happened, let alone pushed through the formal proceedings to establish that it did, in fact, happen.
In other words, you have no evidence of significant voter fraud, but you're sure it happens anyway.
Yes, I am certain it happens and there is all sorts of evidence that is happens (see #749). Further, moderately intelligent reasoning would conclude that some/most voter fraud that takes advantage of the holes in our voting system integrity would go undetected.
But back to the significance of all this to the 2024 election: There is widespread belief among people from all backgrounds and all political parties that voter fraud is a real problem, regardless of what we prattle on about here.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 683 by Percy, posted 03-18-2024 4:49 PM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 763 by Percy, posted 03-24-2024 8:16 AM K.Rose has not replied
 Message 773 by Taq, posted 03-25-2024 11:40 AM K.Rose has not replied

  
K.Rose
Member
Posts: 140
From: Michigan
Joined: 02-02-2024
Member Rating: 1.4


Message 753 of 871 (917132)
03-22-2024 8:20 PM
Reply to: Message 684 by Taq
03-18-2024 4:58 PM


Re: MORE LIES, D*** LIES, AND STATISITICS (Disraeli, Twain) - Part 2
See #749 and #752.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 684 by Taq, posted 03-18-2024 4:58 PM Taq has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 765 by Percy, posted 03-24-2024 8:24 AM K.Rose has not replied

  
K.Rose
Member
Posts: 140
From: Michigan
Joined: 02-02-2024
Member Rating: 1.4


Message 754 of 871 (917133)
03-22-2024 8:21 PM
Reply to: Message 685 by Taq
03-18-2024 5:19 PM


Re: MORE LIES, D*** LIES, AND STATISITICS (Disraeli, Twain) - Part 2
See #749 and #752.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 685 by Taq, posted 03-18-2024 5:19 PM Taq has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 766 by Percy, posted 03-24-2024 8:25 AM K.Rose has not replied

  
marc9000
Member
Posts: 1522
From: Ky U.S.
Joined: 12-25-2009
Member Rating: 1.4


Message 755 of 871 (917134)
03-22-2024 8:23 PM
Reply to: Message 742 by Taq
03-22-2024 12:24 PM


Re: bloodbath
It was a group of Republicans who sued to have Trump removed from the Republican primary ballot in Colorado. Are you aware of this?
I'm aware that the "group" you refer to were nothing but "voters", who hold no political position at all, including the 91 year old "former lawmaker. But I'm aware that the group of Colorado Supreme Court Justices who actually voted to make the decision to remove him from the ballot were partisan Democrats.
quote:
“Four partisan Democrat operatives on the Colorado Supreme Court think they get to decide for all Coloradans and Americans the next presidential election,” House Republican Conference Chair Elise Stefanik said in a statement.
Colorado Supreme Court disqualifies Trump from 2024 ballot | AP News
I found this message of yours enjoyable also.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 742 by Taq, posted 03-22-2024 12:24 PM Taq has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 772 by Taq, posted 03-25-2024 11:12 AM marc9000 has replied

  
K.Rose
Member
Posts: 140
From: Michigan
Joined: 02-02-2024
Member Rating: 1.4


(1)
Message 756 of 871 (917135)
03-22-2024 8:31 PM
Reply to: Message 718 by dwise1
03-20-2024 4:41 PM


Re: MORE LIES, D*** LIES, AND STATISITICS (Disraeli, Twain) - Part 2
...that scenario was used in the 1800's (eg, Tammany Hall hiring long-haired bearded men to vote repeatedly by changing their appearance through a progressive series of shaves and hair cuts), but it can't work anymore with how we run elections now (unless there are sh*thole states where they can't do it right)....Making accusations of voter fraud is a very serious matter, so we would appreciate it if you [pl] would refrain from such stupid frivolous nonsense. If you have actual evidence, then present it. If all you can do is spout nonsense and wave your hands, then for the sake of our country please just fuck off already. That kind of BS may be de rigueur for creationism, but democracy is at stake here so please try to be serious....so I have no patience with you [pl] pukes and your [pl] stupid grab-ass that borders on treason...
Understood.
Please see #749 and #752 for a response to your inquiries.
.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 718 by dwise1, posted 03-20-2024 4:41 PM dwise1 has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 758 by marc9000, posted 03-22-2024 8:41 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
marc9000
Member
Posts: 1522
From: Ky U.S.
Joined: 12-25-2009
Member Rating: 1.4


Message 757 of 871 (917136)
03-22-2024 8:38 PM
Reply to: Message 715 by Percy
03-20-2024 9:15 AM


Re: bloodbath
I'm sure Marc regrets that he wasn't around when all those Irish invaded our country, or all those Italians, or all those Poles, or all those Chinese, or all those Jews, or all those Hungarians (1956 uprising), or all those former Yugoslavians (fall of Tito). He would have put a stop to it.
Or all those Germans. But WAIT, Marc's ancestors were German! And they were legal! And even if those Irish, and Italians, and Poles, and Chinese, and Jews and Hungarians weren't all 100% legal, in that time period long ago they still certainly would have had the same ambitions as the legal ones, and that was to assimilate. Those times were before 9-11-01, before $34 trillion in debt. These are different times.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 715 by Percy, posted 03-20-2024 9:15 AM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 764 by Percy, posted 03-24-2024 8:20 AM marc9000 has seen this message but not replied
 Message 776 by Taq, posted 03-25-2024 12:48 PM marc9000 has replied

  
marc9000
Member
Posts: 1522
From: Ky U.S.
Joined: 12-25-2009
Member Rating: 1.4


Message 758 of 871 (917137)
03-22-2024 8:41 PM
Reply to: Message 756 by K.Rose
03-22-2024 8:31 PM


Re: MORE LIES, D*** LIES, AND STATISITICS (Disraeli, Twain) - Part 2
Understood.

Please see #749 and #752 for a response to your inquiries.
People don't get angry when lies are told. They get angry when the truth is told.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 756 by K.Rose, posted 03-22-2024 8:31 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9202
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.4


Message 759 of 871 (917139)
03-22-2024 10:44 PM
Reply to: Message 751 by marc9000
03-22-2024 8:16 PM


Re: bloodbath
Back under your rock.

What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence. -Christopher Hitchens

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts

"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

If your viewpoint has merits and facts to back it up, why would you have to lie?


This message is a reply to:
 Message 751 by marc9000, posted 03-22-2024 8:16 PM marc9000 has not replied

  
xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 7.0


(1)
Message 760 of 871 (917140)
03-22-2024 10:55 PM
Reply to: Message 749 by K.Rose
03-22-2024 8:04 PM


Re: MORE LIES, D*** LIES, AND STATISITICS (Disraeli, Twain) - Part 2
So, some 1276 convictions, and only 1500 frauds out of how many hundreds of millions?
That is NOT significant!
And most were caught and convicted....Yay enforcement!

"I'm the Grim Reaper now, Mitch. Step aside."
Death to #TzarVladimirtheCondemned!
Enjoy every sandwich!

- xongsmith, 5.7dawkins scale


This message is a reply to:
 Message 749 by K.Rose, posted 03-22-2024 8:04 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


(3)
Message 761 of 871 (917145)
03-23-2024 11:20 AM
Reply to: Message 746 by K.Rose
03-22-2024 7:43 PM


Re: MORE LIES, D*** LIES, AND STATISITICS (Disraeli, Twain) - Part 2
You didn't respond to most of what you quoted from me. I don't understand why you bothered.
K.Rose in Message 746 writes:
The number you're citing, let's call it [3.8-5] million since 2021, is the total number who entered illegally, most of whom were apprehended.
Incorrect on the 3.8-5 million. The 3.8-5 million is the number that have either been released into the USA’s interior or have successfully evaded the Border Patrol.
I think I've shown you enough citations and charts to indicate that the information I provided is reliable. Where are your numbers coming from? I think it likely you're still misinterpreting "apprehended after a border crossing" as if it were instead "successfully evaded apprehension after a border crossing." I think that if you try to find data supporting your numbers that you'll come to realize your mistake.
This is why the border states were are overwhelmed,...
The border states *are* overwhelmed, just not by the numbers you're citing. It's hundreds of thousands successfully evading apprehension or successfully applying for asylum and being released into the country pending a hearing that is often years off. It isn't millions.
I'm not trying to minimize the problem. Hundreds of thousands is still a very serious problem. I'm just trying to be accurate about it.
...and this is why they sent the migrants to sanctuary cities where they would be welcomed (sanctuary, after all). But this exposed the abject hypocrisy of the sanctimonious sanctuary cities, who are now crying foul.
If I say yet again that the border states should not be left to bear the burden alone of the influx of hugely increased numbers of legal and illegal immigrants, will you stop replying as if I'd never said this? I believe it's the responsibility of the federal government to arbitrate a burden sharing agreement amongst the states. Congress could pass laws, or the president could issue executive orders. Longer term, commissions to study solutions could begin work, etc.
The states could also try working it out amongst themselves. Before Florida sends a plane full of immigrants to Martha's Vineyard they could try calling authorities in Martha's Vineyard and negotiate arrangements. Likely Martha's Vineyard (town next to the airport is Edgartown, population 4000) would suggest the Boston metropolitan area (population over 4 million), Worcester (about a million) or Providence (1.5 million) as better potential destinations and propose they contact the authorities there. Just plopping immigrants down on a tiny coastal island is grandstanding. Why not Hilton Head? Because they're Republican, of course.
Not sure what your overall point is regarding the current border situation as it relates to the 2024 election.
Someone else raised the border issue. I'm just correcting misinformation.
Also, it seems that you understand that there’s a border/migrant problem, but the existence of an idea of a potential solution renders that problem solved, and is therefore nothing that people should be worked up about.
I guess if I did have a point it would be that getting worked up over false or inaccurate information is a waste of time and can even land you in jail, as a number of people found out after January 6th.
Either way the country is understanding, more and more every day, that there is a big problem and it’s going to be a big factor in the election, and charts and number games aren’t going to win the day.
You don't like charts and numbers? Are you sure? You sure seem to like numbers when you claim that between 3.8 and 5 million migrants accomplished permanent entry into the country since 2021. You just don't like numbers when they're on a chart showing that your claim is wrong.
People want to know who’s going to do what.
The first question you want an accurate answer to is, "How many migrants we talking about here?"
Note that I'm not saying this isn't a serious problem. I'm saying your numbers are wrong.
You replied four times to my Message 682, but I'm going to reply to all of them in this message.
From Message 747:
K.Rose in Message 747 writes:
Where do you see a "from each according to his abilities" in social programs?
Wherewithal is forcibly taken from the wealthy (who have the ability to amass wherewithal) in the form of taxes, and that wherewithal is distributed to those in need.
As I said recently, people who would prefer their tax money not be spent on certain programs are not being forced to pay for it. If that were true then practically all taxes are coercive of someone.
But the social safety net *is* intended to provide assistance to people in need. It has nothing to do with socialism or communism or state ownership of the economy.
The social safety net is based on communist principles.
Then churches and charities are based on communist principles?
When charities and churches help people it isn't socialism,
Of course not, because the wherewithal distributed by the church has been provided willfully and charitably to the church. This is morals-based capitalism in action.
You're making it up as you go along.
...and when governments help people it isn't socialism, either.
It most certainly is! Quite obviously, the wherewithal that the government is distributing to those in “need” has been forcibly confiscated from those the government defines as having the “ability” to provide.
Taxes are not forcible confiscations.
Your Message 748 is about racism. I think you said everything we to need to know about your attitudes about other races, so I'll move on.
Your Message 749 is about voter fraud:
K.Rose in Message 749 writes:
You outline a number of fraud cases in #658, and you can add to that a Heritage Foundation sampling of voter fraud that found 1500 proven instances of voter fraud with 1276 convictions.
Instead of saying "#658" you can say "[msg=658]", which gets you Message 658. Hover over it, then click on it. Amazing, huh!
In Message 658 I did say that the Heritage Foundation was an outlier, but at 1500 cases and 155 million votes cast, that's a fraud rate of 0.001%. How serious a problem is 1 out of every 100,000 votes being fraudulent?
Even if we assume the problem is ten times worse than that, that 1 out of every 10,000 votes were fraudulent, how serious a problem is that? How much effort are you willing to put into solving a problem that occurs so infrequently? Aren't our efforts better spent elsewhere, like on increasing the percentage of people who vote?
And no case of systemic fraud has come to light. Almost all cases are one-of, like a family member voting for another family member, perhaps deceased, or a felon voting.
Actually, there was one systemic case. A congressional election in North Carolina had to be rerun in 2019 after it was discovered that in the 2018 election political operatives working for the 9th district Republican candidate had tampered with mail-in absentee ballots. Operative Leslie Dowless and his assistants gathered up absentee ballots from voters by offering to put them in the mail, after which they filled them out or altered them, adding false signatures if necessary. Dowless had served time in prison for fraud back in the 1990's, but the Republican candidate hired him anyway because of his success with get-out-the-vote efforts. Dowless was sentenced to six more months in prison but died (lung cancer) before he could serve his sentence.
We've mentioned audits before, and it was the statistical audits that brought the fraud to light. The number of absentee ballots cast for the Republican candidate were well outside the range of statistical possibility, and the North Carolina State Board of Elections refused to certify the results and later held an evidentiary hearing where details of the fraud came out.
To repeat myself, people from all parties and all backgrounds have been screaming about voter fraud and election integrity for years...
Yes, you're repeating this already rebutted and untrue statement. Hysteria about voter fraud is being driven by the Republican party. Your own numbers say how infrequent a problem it actually is.
And once again, charts and number games aren’t going to win the day.
Why are you denigrating numbers? You're using numbers yourself. Whether its the border or elections or whatever, how are you going to tell if you have a problem without numbers?
Let's use Phat's grocery store shrinkage problem as an example. If shrinkage is .1% then management will find that acceptable. But if shrinkage is 10% then management will view it as an extremely serious problem because grocery stores operate at about a 1% profit margin. Numbers matter. It's really weird that you're arguing they don't.
People will doubt the integrity of the system until we reach concurrence on system integrity controls.
People will doubt anything that people they trust (but shouldn't) cast aspersions at, and that includes the integrity of our elections. If you believed in numbers and charts and statistics you'd understand the 2020 election was not stolen.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 746 by K.Rose, posted 03-22-2024 7:43 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 762 of 871 (917152)
03-24-2024 7:53 AM
Reply to: Message 750 by marc9000
03-22-2024 8:07 PM


Re: bloodbath
Your speculations about the news media are as unsupported and imaginary as ever. For someone who doesn't "watch all that much news" and isn't even in the industry you sure seem to think you know a lot about its inner workings.
About seizure of Trump properties helping to elect him, the legal process and the political process are separate and independent. In particular, potential political outcomes should neither guide nor influence the legal process.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 750 by marc9000, posted 03-22-2024 8:07 PM marc9000 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 767 by marc9000, posted 03-24-2024 3:39 PM Percy has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 763 of 871 (917153)
03-24-2024 8:16 AM
Reply to: Message 752 by K.Rose
03-22-2024 8:18 PM


Re: MORE LIES, D*** LIES, AND STATISITICS (Disraeli, Twain) - Part 2
K.Rose in Message 752 writes:
Percy in Message 683 writes:
There are no numbers at the bottom of Message 680.
You are correct, please see message #749.
I already responded to Message 749 in Message 761, but the gist of my response, and of xongsmith, is that 1276 convictions and 1500 frauds out of over a hundred million votes is miniscule. If you have a link to your Heritage Foundation information I'll take a closer look.
By the way, do note, ironically, that you're using numbers to make your arguments.
Yes, I am certain it happens and there is all sorts of evidence that is happens (see #749). Further, moderately intelligent reasoning would conclude that some/most voter fraud that takes advantage of the holes in our voting system integrity would go undetected.
Do tell. Could you please apply some of your "moderately intelligent reasoning" for us and describe the holes in our voting system?
But back to the significance of all this to the 2024 election: There is widespread belief among people from all backgrounds and all political parties that voter fraud is a real problem, regardless of what we prattle on about here.
There is an influential faction of Republicans spreading a great deal of misinformation, Trump most prominently among them. See Trump Made 30,573 false or misleading claims over his 4 years in offfice. The big mystery is why anyone continues to trust anything he says. "My inauguration was the biggest!" "My handling of the coronavirus was the best!" "That phone call was perfect!" That you can't uncover any evidence of significant voter or election fraud is telling you that you're listening to a liar.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 752 by K.Rose, posted 03-22-2024 8:18 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 764 of 871 (917154)
03-24-2024 8:20 AM
Reply to: Message 757 by marc9000
03-22-2024 8:38 PM


Re: bloodbath
marc9000 in Message 757 writes:
Or all those Germans. But WAIT, Marc's ancestors were German! And they were legal! And even if those Irish, and Italians, and Poles, and Chinese, and Jews and Hungarians weren't all 100% legal, in that time period long ago they still certainly would have had the same ambitions as the legal ones, and that was to assimilate. Those times were before 9-11-01, before $34 trillion in debt. These are different times.
Throughout American history the descendants of immigrants have found reasons for not letting more immigrants in. You're no different.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 757 by marc9000, posted 03-22-2024 8:38 PM marc9000 has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22505
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 5.4


Message 765 of 871 (917155)
03-24-2024 8:24 AM
Reply to: Message 753 by K.Rose
03-22-2024 8:20 PM


Re: MORE LIES, D*** LIES, AND STATISITICS (Disraeli, Twain) - Part 2
K.Rose in Message 753 writes:
See #749 and #752.
Message 749 and Message 752 do not address the issues raised by Taq in Message 684.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 753 by K.Rose, posted 03-22-2024 8:20 PM K.Rose has not replied

  
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