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Member (Idle past 1703 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
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Author | Topic: SCIENCE: -- "observational science" vs "historical science" vs ... science. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined:
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I've been puzzled all along why this distinction between interpretive and observational science isn't obvious to you all. Because I'm familiar with the scientific method. I'm sure you've been posting on this forum for long enough to have noticed that very often the things that seem "obvious" to you seem ridiculous and nonsensical to people who actually know stuff.
What can I say. What you have said is that you yourself can't think of a principle which makes the distinction that you want to make. Good luck with that.
The conclusions of the sciences of the prehistoric past are determined by consensus, what makes sense to those who are in a position to make such determinations. That's how Hutton's ponderings were accepted. They were argued in the scientific societies and then championed by Lyell until the majority were persuaded. There is no way to subject such interpretations to tests or any objective standard, it's all persuasion. And there is no way at all to correct the interpretation if it's wrong once it's been accepted by the whole community. Insofar as this means anything, it is obviously false. Again, how do you imagine this going down? How do you create a consensus in the first place?
Archaelogist 1 : I've just made up this thing called the Mesozoic era, and I want you to believe in it.
All the other archaelogists : Why should we believe in it?
Archaelogist 1 : Because ... uh ... there's a scientific consensus that there was a Mesozoic era.
All the other archaelogists : No. No there isn't. That's why none of us believe it, or have heard of it 'til you mentioned it just now ... If conclusions were "determined by consensus", which is the seventeenth dumbest thing you've said all week, then in that case it would be impossible to create a new conclusion.
Oh yes, I know: radiometric dating. Sigh. The funny thing is there is no way to test radiometric dating either. It's harder to see I suppose but it's the same situation. You have this method that supposedly tells you about the past and it's pretty consistent, but even with all that you cannot test IT either, so if there's some kind of error going on with it you'll never be able to find out. Well, again I would like to invite you to distinguish between this and the case where we infer living stegosauruses from their fossils. Every conceivable difference is to the advantage of radiometric dating ...
If the structure of DNA had been determined by consensus, eventually it would have been corrected by objective methods, but there are none possible in the case of a scheme of ancient scenarios. For instance if the strata were all laid down in the Flood and all their contents are just the accidental passengers within the sediments, then all this stuff about climate and type of landscape and other supposed characteristics of some former age would turn out to be pretty silly. You realty have no way of knowing. I would think you would have the ability to recognize this much, but perhaps I overestimate you. And if the fossil stegosauruses were sneezed out of its beak by a giant purple chicken made of custard, then all this stuff about living stegosauruses would turn out to be pretty silly. "You really have no way of knowing." What you need, let me remind you again, is a method for denying the facts that you want to deny that wouldn't also allow anyone else to deny pretty much anything at all. You have admitted your inability to think of one. Until you can, I suggest that you either adopt the scientific method or shut up about epistemology. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined:
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It's a real distinction that you all keep glossing over. It's a "distinction" which, when pressed, you cannot actually make, and the importance of which you are unable to explain. Which makes it hard to ascribe any particular importance to it. If a new prophet appears among us crying "Woe unto the pruntipators, let all who pruntipate be cast into the sacred fire", then it is reasonable to ask him what pruntipation is and what's so wrong with it. If he replies that he hasn't figured that out yet, but he's working on it, then it is hard to take him seriously. If, moreover, we find that the people he denounces as "pruntipators" are all black or Jewish, we would begin to suspect that the real basis of his animus against these supposed pruntipators is not actually that they engage in an activity which he is confessedly unable to define or recognize. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined: |
Not being able to recognize that you cannot test or prove the scenarios about the prehistoric past shows a real mental problem. I think the distinction in the end comes down to whether there are witnesses or not. And yet you admitted that we could verify the existence of former living stegosauruses from their bones, although that is a proposition about the prehistoric past for which there is no witnesses. So, would you like to take another run at it? You would do well to (a) accept the scientific method (b) find a distinction that does what you actually want it to do or (c) shut up until you can bring yourself to do either (a) or (b). As it stands what you are doing, in effect, is denouncing yourself for having a "real mental problem" for believing in stegosauruses, when that is in fact pretty much your one concession to reality.
All real science is testable because multiple people can see the result and do the tests themselves. With the scenarios of the past all those multiple people can see the stuff in the rocks that is interpreted that way, they can see the theory in other words, but all they can do is agree or disagree with the interpretation, so it remains a theory forever. Since they've all been brainwashed into the Old Earth assumption they will of course agree, so that's how you get your consensus. You still haven't explained how this brainwashing took place, despite my repeated inquiries. You seem to be requiring that we believe in a sequence of past events that you yourself can't even imagine, let alone produce evidence for.
There are no witnesses to such a past, certainly no witnesses from such a past, there is nothing but the idiotic interpretation of what's in a rock as the WHOLE basis for a WHOLE idea about a WHOLE other world that can never be proved. Yeah, for example people say that that unwitnessed past contained stegosauruses, and you believe them. You say that that's fine.
So now do your stupid little straw man dance, everybody. Make your idiotic little straw man analogies, Dr. A. Nobody here is capable of following a simple line of argument. You yourself are not following your argument. You don't apply it to facts that your religion permits you to acknowledge, such as former living stegosauruses. Now, if you think your argument is bullshit, you can hardly complain when we concur. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined:
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I think it's a rather narrow-minded categorization of her opponents. What if I'm actually a Barbarian Conformist? You know, raping and pillaging 'cos of peer-group pressure?
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined:
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Who would have thought that the quality of Faith's arguments could decline?
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined:
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Besides the specific gaping flaws in this particular line of argument, it demonstrates a more general problem, a hollowness when you poke your finger into their arguments. No creationist has ever actually tried to construct an epistemology ... but they know what it would be like if they did, just as they know what flood geology would be like if only they could invent it: it would account for the fossil record, water would be involved. Well, it's the same thing here. They feel sure that there should be some way to rewrite the rules of scientific inquiry so as to rule out the bits of science that upset them but not the rest of it. But they can't actually think of one. Amongst themselves they can talk as though someone has, but when someone with any critical thinking skills --- even someone with any curiousity --- hears this sort of talk and starts asking questions, there's nothing there.
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined: |
Before getting to Faith's post about the unwitnessed past I should mention that Faith has posted an "Update" to her blog post of 8/28/2014. It's at the top. It repeats that we're misinterpreting, misrepresenting and abusing her but is remarkably free of specifics. She always complains about being misrepresented when you talk about what she said instead of what she wishes she said. In this case what she wishes she could say cannot be said; she wants to describe an epistemology that does just what creationists want it to do and which is based on propositions less arbitrary than "because we say so". It can't be done, but it's what she wishes she'd said. Pointing out what she actually said is so unfair.
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined:
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Faith has replies to my point that she was lying. Apparently her excuse is that she can't remember the positions taken by her opponents so she's entitled to misrepresent them. In hindsight, we should have written them down for her.
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined:
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And I think it's very revealing.
Imagine two men under suspicion of the same crime. One says to the police: "Sure, take my fingerprints, take my DNA. You want to look at my clothing? Sure. The GPS in my car? Take it. My online history? You're welcome. Look at all the evidence you want, I'm fine with you running the full battery of forensic tests, in fact I insist upon it." The other says: "Nonononono, mere data is subject to all sorts of interpretations and can never prove anything about a crime to which, as you admit, there are no witnesses. My DNA, my fingerprints, can never truly prove anything, and any conclusions you might draw from them will be fallacious." Which man has something to hide? You wouldn't invent an epistemology like that unless you knew that a study of the evidence would reveal facts that you are desperate to conceal.
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined: |
Our facts are less tentative than our theories ... Well, not necessarily. I might, for example, regard a single datum about, say, the average temperature of aardvarks as less reliable than the theory of evolution; or data about the position and velocity of a single asteroid as less reliable than the theory of gravity; or the claim that "such-and-such an infectious agent is the sole cause of the following symptoms" as less credible than the germ theory of disease. I don't necessarily say that I would, or that I'd be right, these are just examples off the top of my head, but we might, and might justifiably, be more confident of a theory than of a particular item of the data it's meant to subsume. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined: |
To take a real-world example, Dawkins described it, IIRC, as a "scandal" in the theory of evolution that bdeloid rotifers reproduce asexually. We didn't on that basis throw over the theory of evolution, and it turned out that although technically they're asexual, they engage in lateral gene transfer. The theory was correct, the facts that called it into doubt were wrong.
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined: |
You remind me of the Red Queen. Do you mean Humpty Dumpty?
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Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined: |
historical science is came by only observational . The fact that the Sun exists is only observational. What's the word "only" doing in there?
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