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Author | Topic: Why TOE is not accepted | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: Hmmm, well, that is true for the leaders, perhaps, but not for the everyday person, I think. I think that for the everyday person who disbelieves evolution for religious reasons it is a simple matter of ignorance combined with ego. The Bible says in Genesis that humans were created 'specially to rule over the earth, yada yada yada. If we evolved "just like everything else" that comes dangerously close to upsetting the religion-based superiority complex that people have been taught. Of course, this is the most simplistic, childish way to read the Bible and requires the most ignorance and fear of knowledge and education from the people in religions which require such reading. It is really no different from the way that the Taliban and other fundamentalist nations like Saudi Arabia require or allow only the teaching of the Quran to children and exclude modern science, mathematics, history, other languages, etc. Hey, that's something that the radical Muslims and the Fundamentalist Christians have in common! They both want to exclude modern science from the schools because it contradicts their religion! You even see many Christians actually doing what our very own Faith advocates; pulling children completely out of public school so they can be protected from dangerous ideas like Biology. This is exactly what other radical religious groups like the Taliban and the Nazi party do if they can. Thank goodness we still have basic educational requirements and standards that are enforced by law. Otherwise I am positive the religious homeschoolers in the US would be producing citizens who could recite entire Bible chapters but wouldn't know the first thing about chemistry, biology or calculus. This message has been edited by schrafinator, 07-29-2005 07:58 AM
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: Yes, they are state laws, and I know that that laws can be changed. That's why I said "thank goodness".
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: Most of the people I know who have rejected the ToE does so for religious reasons alone. When questioned, almost to a person, they are ignorant of most of the facts regarding the evidence. Or they are making logic errors.
quote: Then why do the predictions that Evolutionary Biologists make tend to be borne out just like any other scientific discipline? Is there some kind of conspiracy among hundreds of thousands of scientists over the last 150 years to falsify millions of data points?
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: Really? So, we know exactly which and how many children will be borne with genetic diseases? Can I see the data? Please cite some studies.
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: Why don't you start with these? Here's one to get everyone going:
Prediction 5.1: Genetic change The genetic information specifies everything about an organism and its potential. Genotype specifies possible phenotypes, therefore, phenotypic change follows genetic change. This obviously should be one of the areas where evolutionary change is seen, and genetic change is truly the most important for understanding evolutionary processes. Confirmation:Extremely extensive genetic change has been observed, both in the lab and in the wild. We have seen genomes irreversibly and heritably altered by numerous phenomena, including gene flow, random genetic drift, natural selection, and mutation. Observed mutations have occurred by mobile introns, gene duplications, recombination, transpositions, retroviral insertions (horizontal gene transfer), base substitutions, base deletions, base insertions, and chromosomal rearrangements. Chromosomal rearrangements include genome duplication (e.g. polyploidy), unequal crossing over, inversions, translocations, fissions, fusions, chromosome duplications and chromosome deletions (Futuyma 1998, pp. 267-271, 283-294). Potential Falsification:Once the genetic material was elucidated, it was obvious that for macroevolution to proceed vast amounts of change was necessary in the genetic material. If the general observation of geneticists was that of genomic stasis and recalcitrance to significant genetic change, it would be weighty evidence against the probability of macroevolution. For instance, it is possible that whenever we introduce mutations into an organism's genome, the DNA could back-mutate to its former state. However, the opposite is the casethe genome is incredibly plastic, and genetic change is heritable and essentially irreversible (Lewin 1999). This message has been edited by schrafinator, 07-29-2005 04:21 PM
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
Then why do the predictions that Evolutionary Biologists make tend to be borne out just like any other scientific discipline? quote: You are talking nonsense. This is what you wrote:
quote: Please show me some citations from the peer-reviewed Evolutionary Biology professional literature that shows that Evolutionary Biology is not conducted within the same basic constraints as any other natural science. For example, please show how Biologists in this particular field do not theorise based upon past observation, do not make predictions, do not do lab experiments or field observations (or both), do not replicate each others' work to make sure the results are reliable, do not submit their work to peer review, do not argue with each other over theory and interpretation of results, etc. IOW, what you must show is that the thousands of Biologists all over the world are all just hacks, and also that the rest of the scientific community ignore this enormous amount of shoddy work.
quote: That's not what I said. I asked how could all of the thousands scientists accross the world maintain a fraud considering that the most dramatic and attention-getting way a scientist advances her career in science is to show evidence that allows them to overturn some long-standing understanding or to find something completely new in their field? Thousands of scientists are sham artists, all having secret meetings in which they agree to never contradict each other in order to maintain a lie to the entire world? What are you, crazy?
quote: So, because Biologists are not perfect in every way, genetic mutations actually were never observed to produce phenotypic changes? I can show far, far more thick and heavy self-deception (and just plain deception) from the Creation "science" camp, as they have no peer review, no predictions, no experiments, no testable theory. And, you did not comment upon my experience of every single person I have ever dealt with who rejects the ToE has also been a fundamentalist Christian and/or notes their religion as the reason for rejecting it. Why is that? OTOH, I know people of many different religions, including scientists who are devout Christians, who accept the evidence for the ToE. Why is that? This message has been edited by schrafinator, 07-30-2005 09:23 AM
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
Do you believe that hundreds of thousands of scientists all over the world are all colluding to present fraudulent information to the public?
Yes or no?
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: Your incredibly insulting and serious implications that all scientists are liars or incompetent morons are not appreciated. Most of my friends are professional scientists, and I am married to one. Do you even have any idea how incredibly offensive, and defamitory such a remark about the integrity of professional scientists is? When you blithely throw around words like "sham" and "not real science" when describing what they do for a living, what their life's work is, please forgive me if I take you seriously and demand that you show me evidence.
quote: But how else do you explain this widespread idiocy and/or fraud maintained by the entire worldwide scientific community, especially when you know that science careers are built upon showing how other scientists were wrong? If you concede that scientists are not idiots, and they are not maintaining a huge lie by conspiracy, and in fact the nature of professional science is that the ideas and results are constantly being tested, examined, and evaluated just like in every other scientific discipline, then what other reason could there be?
quote: So, all scientists are morons and are incredibly bad at doing science? I see. Makes perfect sense. Back in my message #105 to you, I asked for a bunch of specific evidence related to your claim that Biology wasn't "real" science, and was a "sham", and as usual, you completely avoided providing any specific examples of what you clearly were claiming. So, I'll repeat my request from that message here. If you do not address them in good faith, I will be asking the moderators to take a look.
Please show me some citations from the peer-reviewed Evolutionary Biology professional literature that shows that Evolutionary Biology is not conducted within the same basic constraints as any other natural science. For example, please show how Biologists in this particular field do not theorise based upon past observation, do not make predictions, do not do lab experiments or field observations (or both), do not replicate each others' work to make sure the results are reliable, do not submit their work to peer review, do not argue with each other over theory and interpretation of results, etc. "History I believe furnishes no example of a priest-ridden people maintaining a free civil government. This marks the lowest grade of ignorance, of which their political as well as religious leaders will always avail themselves for their own purpose."--Thomas Jefferson There is no greater threat to civil liberties than an efficient government. -jar
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
Biologists have no problem at all with opponents of evolution who wish to bring some science to the table.
Do they have any?
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: Ah, yes, let the vilification of the smart, educated people begin!
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
Are you admitting that Creationists are the opposite of "smart, educated people"?
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: No, that's not what happens. Science was around before evolution was figured out, you know. Reverend Segewick and his collegues figured out that the Biblical flood couldn't have happened using science a generation before. The Geologic column was also developed before Darwin. All you need to do science is a falsifiable hypothesis which explains the evidence better than the best current theory, positive evidence in support of your hypothesis, and good scientific methodology. It would be incredibly exciting if Creationists had anything like this to offer, but they haven't so far.
quote: The fear is that religious dogma will replace rational science in public education. The fear is that superstitious ignorance will be legislated over evidence.
quote: The Creationists can publish all of the crackpot popular press books they want to allong with the Raelians and the alien abduction folks. If they want to publish in real professional scientific journals, however, they need to up the quality of their work.
quote: The few papers which get submitted, I have read, are often so bad that they never get to the point of being able to be corrected. They are just amateurish, ignorant silliness. You might recal at this point that many real scientific papers submitted by real professional scientists are not accepted for publication. Science is very, very picky. It's got to be very good work, and there are almost always revisions or more research to do before publication is granted. IOW, it's bloody difficult, detailed, strenuous work.
quote: What you are forgetting, Faith, is that while science's purpose is to painstakingly figure out how nature works, Creationists' sole purpose is to mislead the public. Creationists don't spend their time peering through microscopes or doing fiels research. Creationsts spend their time preaching to the science-illiterate masses, trying to get converts. Combine that with the woeful science education most children get in public school and the obvious disdain our current political leaders have for higher education and academia (even though they produce most of the country's technological innovation and medical advances), it's no surprise that our culture distrusts people who are "too smart." No wonder Japan and China are beating us. Their cultures value intellectual acheivement and intelligence. We value simpleminded cowboys.
quote: I think that will create a underclass of science-illiterate religious zealots who can recite passages from the quote: Would you consider it fascist to treat Flat Earth proponents in the same way? This message has been edited by schrafinator, 07-31-2005 11:09 AM
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: How so? Can you please briefly explain what the standards of science were like for, say, Reverend Segewick, Lyell and Galileo compared to when Lamarc and Darwin were proposing their competing theories?
quote: Again, can you please explain what the tenets of "real, true science" are compared to what you say is perhaps "false science"? In particular, I am interested in knowing how the "pre-" and "post-evolution" sets of scientific tenets have affected the reliability of results. For example, are double blind experiments less reliable now than before Darwin?
quote: Sure you can. At least, for all practical purposes, in the real world, we can ignore the fantastical and magical silliness. What do you think forensics is all about? It's about eliminating the unlikely and impossible until all you are left with is the probable and the possible.
quote: Not sure what you mean, but everything that happens leaves evidence, Faith. Certainly a worldwide flood would have left evidence. Of course, you can invoke all sorts of magic to explain why the natural history of Earth doesn't look anything like what is recounted in Genesis, but then we have left reality and science and entered religious post-hoc reasoning, AKA apologetics.
quote: Science can't prove anything. But, if you mean that science cannot show a greater or lesser probability of something having happened, then you are dead wrong. That, along with constructing explanitory frameworks to describe how these events occur in concert to produce phenomena, is the essence of science.
quote: ...that is supported by 150 years of making millions of specific predictions which have been borne out with a very high degree of accuracy. This isn't just a semantic argument, Faith. There is real physical evidence to support the ToE, as much as you would like to ignore it.
quote: Sure it can. Observations can be and are replicated all the time. Thousands and thousands of different Geologists over the last 200 years observe that the Jurassic geologic layer is always found below the Cretatious and above the Triassic. With very few exceptions, (which are understood) this pattern is NEVER seen deviate. Each scientist who, yet again, observes this ordering of the layers confirms the hypothesis that the Geologic Column describes the history of past geologic activity on Earth.
quote: Do you reject all forensics?
quote: Huh? So, I can't make a retrodiction about what I might find in a fossil layer if evolution is true? Hypothesis: If evolution is correct, we will find less complex life in the lowest geologic layers and more complex life in the higher layers. Confirmation: We do, indeed, find more complex life in higher layers and less complex life in lower layers. Potential Falsification: If evolution were not true, then there would be no reason to see complex life only in the higher layers and not in lower layers.
quote: Welcome to science. We can't PROVE anything. There are no certainties, only statistical probabilities. We can't PROVE that the sun is going to rise tomorrow morning, but we can predict with a very high probability that it will. We can't PROVE that a dropped pencil will fall to the floor, but we can predict with a very high probability that it will. We can't PROVE that allele frequencies in populations change over time, but we can predict with a very high probability that they have, and do.
quote: It isn't reasonable. It's a very poor hypothesis that ignores much of the evidence.
quote: No, we use evidence found in nature to shoot it down. Reality shoots it down.
quote: Science is evidence based. Creation science is revelation based. Science begins with all of the evidence and formulates explanations using ALL of the vidence. Creationists start with their desired conclusion and cherry pick the evidence that supports this pre-conceived conclusion and ignore or twist any evidence that is inconvenient. That's why they can't be said to do science.
quote: Really? Then how was this middle school girl able to get her scientific study published in JAMA if it's all about the credentials? She had no credentials. What she did have, though, is a great experiment and excellent methodology.
quote: Most of the science programming on TV is pretty bad. Although I am happy to see that there are shows like Penn and Tellers Bullshit! and Mythbusters starting to come about. To close, I'll just say that I am not in favor of restricting anyone's right to make a speech. The antidote to stupid or wrong speech is always more speech, not less. It is the very obvious goal of the Creationist movement, however, to get their religion taught in public school classrooms, and to gut the Biology curriculum of all of it's real science. I find that to be incredibly dangerous for our future as a free industrialized nation that is increasingly dependent upon sophisticated technology that fewer and fewer of us understand.
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: Please explain how the following is invalid as science: Hypothesis: If evolution is correct, we will find less complex life in the lowest geologic layers and more complex life in the higher layers. Confirmation: We do, indeed, find more complex life in higher layers and less complex life in lower layers. Potential Falsification: If evolution were not true, then there would be no reason to see complex life only in the higher layers and not in lower layers. Each scientist who sees this pattern and not a different one, has confirmed the hypothesis again. How many times do we have to explain this to you before you relent?
quote: So, we cannot observe that allele frequencies in populations change over time? I think you'll want to tell all the thousands of Population Geneticists that they are actually not doing science.
quote: It's incredibly simple. You make predictions, based upon the theory, of what you will find. Just like in Forensics. If someone was bludgeoned with a hammer, you will find a particular blood spatter pattern that is different from if they were shot with a gun. If there was a worldwide flood, we would expect to find a particular jumbled up layer of animals and debris over the entire surface of the Earth. If the sediments were layed down gradually over a very long time, we would expect to see things like an orderly advancement of the fossils, no large jumbled debris layer, and also things like inact footprints in cracked earth.
quote: So, very old events don't leave evidence? So, maybe a volcano really didn't bury Pompeii? And about past events not being able to be tested; we can test what kind of blood spatters certain actions make compared to other actions. The hammer splatter vs. the gun splatter, for example. If we know, through experiment, how blood behaves when these different weapons are used, then we can make predictions about what we expect to see to determine what those past events were using reliable results from such experiments.
quote: Faith. I am going to ask you once and for all to please stop using the word prove when discussing science. It is inappropriate and wrong and I know you are not stupid so do us all a favor and CUT IT OUT. Now, to answer your statement, it's true that the ordering of the Geologic strata alone does not support evolution. That is but one of several dozen seperate lines of evidence from half a dozen scientific fields which all point to evolution.
quote: ..and the fossils within those consistent strata show the story of the evolution of life on Earth. Add to that the genetic component along with the radiometric dating (physics) component and the modern observation component and you have a pretty strong case.
quote: Hypothesis: If evolution is correct, we will find less complex life in the lowest geologic layers and more complex life in the higher layers. Confirmation: We do, indeed, find more complex life in higher layers and less complex life in lower layers. Potential Falsification: If evolution were not true, then there would be no reason to see complex life only in the higher layers and not in lower layers. Each scientist who sees this pattern and not a different one, has confirmed the hypothesis again.
quote: Like what? Remember, the explanation needs to explain the data better than the current model and be consistent with all known data. I am perfectly willing to consider any hypothesis that meets those requirements. In fact, I would be delighted and excited to hear such a groundbreaking new idea. I'm listening.
quote: Science has never proved anything. Please use the correct terminology.
quote: So, change in allele frequencies in populations has never been observed in the present? I beg to differ.
quote: So, change in allele frequencies in populations has never been observed in the present?
quote: There's no such thing as Archeaology, then? OTOH, just how far into the past is it impossible to test something? 10 minutes? 10 days? 10 years? 50 years? 5,000 years? 5,000,000 years? Where exactly is the cutoff of where we can study and where it's impossible, according to you? This message has been edited by schrafinator, 07-31-2005 05:32 PM This message has been edited by schrafinator, 07-31-2005 05:37 PM
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nator Member (Idle past 2199 days) Posts: 12961 From: Ann Arbor Joined: |
quote: No, that is true between different populations as well. That's how we know that parent species A gave rise to species B and C; we can observe how different the populations are genetically. Lo and behold, the more closely related species, kingdoms, phyla, etc. are, the more similar the DNA is, and vice versa. Why wouldn't this genetic pattern be evidence of common descent?
quote: So, what is the mechanism that prevents two populations of the same organism, given differetn environmental pressuures, to eventually become two different species given enough generations? Please be specific.
quote: Please explain how the following is invalid as science: Hypothesis: If evolution is correct, we will find less complex life in the lowest geologic layers and more complex life in the higher layers. Confirmation: We do, indeed, find more complex life in higher layers and less complex life in lower layers. Potential Falsification: If evolution were not true, then there would be no reason to see complex life only in the higher layers and not in lower layers. Each scientist who sees this pattern and not a different one, has confirmed the hypothesis again.
quote: It is not accurate to use regarding scientific theories. Would it be OK if I started describing you as a "liar" every time I disagreed with you? Sorry, I like the word "liar" when describing you and it's quite accurate for many things.
quote: Not in science.
quote: Not in science.
quote: Nope, we can't. Our methods of measurement are not 100% perfectly accurate. We can never be 100% perfect in any measurement. So, we can know to the nearest increment of whatever measure we are using, but we can never be completely, 100% accurate. That's why all scientific stats and results are reported using something called "standard error" or "standard deviation". No results are ever 100% perfect. Furthermore, nothing in science is ever considered to be 100% sure, because we must always keep open the possibility of better information being discovered in the future.
quote: Nope, that's the best accuracy we can get given our imperfect instruments, but we know it isn't 100% accurate, and never can be. NEVER, EVER can be.
quote: No they didn't. They supported their hypothese with evidence, but they never proved a thing.
quote: Actually, water can get hotter than the boiling point. It can become "super heated" although this was not always known. None of the rest is proven. All of it is very well-supported by the evidence, but none of it is considered 100% correct and infallible. You know, like the idea of super heated water. We didn't always know that this was possible, and we were able to incorporate this new knowledge about the properties of H2O precisely because we do not consider any idea, no matter how well-established, unable to be challenged in the light of new evidence.
quote: "How the blood circulates, the fact that the earth revolves around the sun, the cause of sickness by "germs" and how to protect ourselves from them, that water doesn't get hotter after it reaches the boiling point, and lots of stuff like that" are also all interpretations of the data. Those interpretations of the data fit all of the known the data best while making the fewest assumptions. ...and this is exactly what the ToE and Geology does. Can you show me how Biology and in particular Medicine have been hampered by their foundation upon Evolutionary ideas?
quote: I never said that the fossil record was perfectly consistent. But there are a few things that strongly point towards common descent being how things happened. For example, why do we find flowering plants only in the upper layers and never in the lower layers?
quote: Right. Exactly. You can't PROVE anything in science, but the theory that Pompeii was buried under a volcano is the explanation that fits all of the known evidence best and makes the fewest assumptions. ...just like the ToE does.
quote: It's incredibly simple. You make predictions, based upon the theory, of what you will find. Just like in Forensics. If someone was bludgeoned with a hammer, you will find a particular blood spatter pattern that is different from if they were shot with a gun. If we know, through experiment, how blood behaves when these different weapons are used, then we can make predictions about what we expect to see to determine what those past events were using reliable results from such experiments. quote: Like what? Remember, the explanation needs to explain the data better than the current model and be consistent with all known data. I am perfectly willing to consider any hypothesis that meets those requirements. In fact, I would be delighted and excited to hear such a groundbreaking new idea. I'm listening. quote: Just how far into the past is it impossible to test something? 10 minutes? 10 days? 10 years? 50 years? 5,000 years? 5,000,000 years? Where exactly is the cutoff of where we can study and where it's impossible, according to you? This message has been edited by schrafinator, 07-31-2005 07:51 PM
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