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Author Topic:   Wealth Distribution in the USA
Tangle
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Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 377 of 531 (700657)
06-05-2013 5:20 PM
Reply to: Message 376 by Rahvin
06-05-2013 3:29 PM


Re: Economic Benefit
Rahvin writes:
What about other corporations int he same market who do pay more and remain in business? In and Out Burger, from what I understand, pays significantly better than minimum wage.
I'm not from the US so I don't know them or their business model, but there's many ways to make a living making burgers - McD's is to be low cost, good value and franchise like crazy. Others do it differently or try to copy but there are economies of scale that are hard to match until you get the volume.
In fact, I've read recently that in some countries even McDonalds pays the equivalent of $14-24/hour.
Sure, it has to comply with local minimum wage regulation and operate inside the economy that it finds itself in. I'm betting that it's not Africa you're referring to.
Profit margin does not necessarily need to be lowered to increase wages. Re-structuring salaries in general - paying top-level CEOs and the like less, and increasing the wage of the average and/or lowest-paid employees - can result in an identical bottom line where labor cost is concerned.
McDonald's CEO "earned" $8.75 million last year.
Normally that calculation doesn't work - I suspect that McD's total wages bill is rather more than all of the top dog's salaries put together multiplied by a big number. But do you expect McDs to change the way they're structured - which means the fat cats taking a haircut by their own decision - just because we'd like them too?
They will only do it if they have to.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 376 by Rahvin, posted 06-05-2013 3:29 PM Rahvin has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 379 by Rahvin, posted 06-05-2013 5:49 PM Tangle has replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 380 of 531 (700672)
06-05-2013 6:54 PM
Reply to: Message 378 by Straggler
06-05-2013 5:38 PM


Re: Economic Benefit
Straggler writes:
Then, by the same law of supply and demand they would sell less and fail to meet their previous profit levels anyway. So now it becomes a question of determining which has the biggest hit on profits.
No, it doesn't work like that, it's not a straight line relationship. That's because wages are only a part of the costs of running a franchise - a 10% increase in wage costs does not create a 10% change in profits; it's much lower than that. also a 10% price rise does not generate a 10% reduction in demand - again it's much lower than that. It's off topic but if you need to know why, google 'price elasticity of demand'.
Basically, you can optimise profits by balancing price against demand and the really cute thing about a price increase is that it goes directly to the bottom line without changing the cost structure.
In any case, from memory, I believe McD's business model is all about franchising - they don't employ the staff in the restaurants, the franchisees do. (But that's not really relevant to the argument that lies behind your point.)
Think about this for a second. At the increased wage each employee still generates $95 of profit per hour. Less than the $100 per hour before the wage increase. But still a considerable profit per employee. Each employee they layoff saves $15 per hour in wages but loses $95 per hour in profits generated.
Again no, that's just wrong. An individual franchise may generate $x profit in a particular month. You can then divide the $x by the number of employee hours in the month and get $100 profit per hour per employee. But that does not mean that the employees generated the profit. - that came from the difference between sales and costs of which there were rather more than just employees pay. (if you doubt me, you can do the same calculation but instead divide the total profit in the month by the number of burger machines or french fry broilers- all you get is an efficiency ratio, not a cause.
I'm afraid that McD's - like every other business in the world - count their employees as costs, not revenues, so they will always pay them the lowest wage commensurate with their business model. In other words they prefer the $100 profit to the $95.
So why would any company seeking to maximise profits go down a route of raising prices, selling less and laying off workers if that results in losing even more profit than it would by just accepting the effect of wage increases if product price is maintained
Obviously it wouldn't. In the case of McDs, they don't want anything to change - but if they are forced to increase their costs, they will increase their prices - that's just basic economics. They will adjust to the new reduced demand by by cutting out their franchises with the lowest profitability. Trust me, they won't reduce profits, they'll put up prices and cut jobs.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 378 by Straggler, posted 06-05-2013 5:38 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
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Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


(2)
Message 381 of 531 (700673)
06-05-2013 7:09 PM
Reply to: Message 379 by Rahvin
06-05-2013 5:49 PM


Re: Economic Benefit
Rahvin writes:
...that would be why the majority of my post spoke of legislative regulation, not boardroom action. As I said, corporations are first beholden to the shareholders. Currently, the incentive exists to pay the lowest wages possible so as to keep the saved money as profit. Legislation can be passed that would alter that incentive such that lowering top-end pay, as a singular example, would provide more benefit to shareholders.
Sure, I've said this too.
The beauty of capitalism lies in its power to drive innovation. The weakness of capitalism is exposed when that innovation turns to finding ways to exploit people and resources in ways that are beneficial for the individual company but harmful for the industry or society as a whole. Business will always go in the direction of cash incentives - whether that's avoiding tax penalties or paying workers below-subsistence wages. The trick is rigging those incentives to allow for innovation, to let new businesses form and keep older businesses around, without killing off the workforce, expending all available resources, or drying up the ability of consumers to consume what business is selling.
Agreed, but there has never been much appetite for those kinds of economic interventions in the USA. I believe you call it socialism and spit on the pavemnent (sidewalk).

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
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Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 387 of 531 (700815)
06-07-2013 1:05 PM
Reply to: Message 385 by Straggler
06-07-2013 12:27 PM


Re: Evidence
Straggler writes:
I have suggested that increased costs due to raising the minimum wage could be accommodated by either accepting lower profits to shareholders or paying those at the top less. This has been dismissed as unrealistic. But the empirical evidence again suggests otherwise.
ffs. It's NOT unrealistic if the increased minimum wage is legislated for, it's unrealistic to think that an individual employer that is happy with their situation - McDonalds, Walmart etc - will do it unilaterally without being forced to.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 385 by Straggler, posted 06-07-2013 12:27 PM Straggler has replied

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Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 399 of 531 (700910)
06-09-2013 9:35 AM
Reply to: Message 395 by Straggler
06-09-2013 6:47 AM


Re: Economic Benefit
Straggler writes:
The evidence I posted in Message 385 refutes the notion that an increase in wage of the sort being discussed will necessarily result in job cuts.
You're cherry picking and conflating macro and micro economic theory - perhaps not deliberately. The wiki on the minimum wage is quite good but you have to read all of it and not just pick the bits you think makes your case:
Minimum wage - Wikipedia
You'll see that the evidence is mixed and also surprising and that economists don't agree at all - no surprises there I suppose.
But there's a few things to understand
1. The economy as a whole (macro) is enormously complex, so working out how a global change in a supply input (wages) will effect an output is very difficult, possibly impossible to know in advance. Whether the minimum wage increase results in a decrease in emplyment though will depend on how close the minimum wage requirement is to what is actually being paid in the market. If it's not a big change, not much will happen but a large change will obviously impact the economy is various ways and standard economic theory says that it must result in the loss of jobs.
2. The effect an increase in wages has on an individual company will depend on how big a proportion of their costs are affected by it and how big the change is. If McDs has 30% of its costs for wages and the minimum wage increased them by 10% it would result a 3% loss of profit. (All other things being equal as the economists say.)
What do you imagine McDs would do? I'd say that they would try to increase their prices - but because the unit price is a bigger number than the increased unit cost, the actual increase would be tiny.
If that happens across the econom the increase in wages has increased inflation. And increased inflation errodes the value of wages, so you go back to square one.
In a situation of high profits, low wages and and high dependency on low wage workers a moderate increase in minimum wage needn't result in job losses. Because any business strategy pursued in response to a minimum wage increase that involves significant job losses may well be self defeating. Significant job losses mean reduced operations and thus reduced profits.
Not at all - in fact the main course of industrial development has been the driving out of labour costs and replacing them with mechanisation. Every time labour increases in price it makes a new business case to replace people. Jobs are also lost to lower wage countries.
So it is perfectly conceivable that simply taking the hit from the wage increase will have a less negative effect on profits than a strategy that involves less workers and a correspondingly decreased operation. Shareholders don't want to see profits fall. But they don't want to see companies contracting rather than growing either.
Companies don't care about contraction and expansion - they care about profit. "Turnover if vanity, Profit is sanity." Bu of course they try for both.
Anyway whatever theoretical model one applies - The evidence I posted in Message 385 refutes the notion that an increase in wage of the sort being discussed will necessarily result in job cuts.
That's a very interesting bit of evidence but, as I say, it's cherry picked.
But I don't think it matters; I think all developed countries should have some form of minimum wage and progressive taxation simply on humanitarian grounds and we need to live with the economic consequences in order to develop a fairer society - which I believe will actually be more profitable in the end.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 395 by Straggler, posted 06-09-2013 6:47 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 400 by NoNukes, posted 06-09-2013 10:52 AM Tangle has replied
 Message 406 by Straggler, posted 06-10-2013 11:44 AM Tangle has replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 403 of 531 (700917)
06-09-2013 12:36 PM
Reply to: Message 400 by NoNukes
06-09-2013 10:52 AM


Re: Economic Benefit
NoNukes writes:
If that happens across the econom the increase in wages has increased inflation. And increased inflation errodes the value of wages, so you go back to square one.
Aren't you making the same mistake you just identified? The 10 per cent increase in wages only caused a 3% increase in costs. How does that return you to square one?
Yes, I'm being sloppy 'cos I'm on a iPhone waiting for a woman to make her mind up about something in a shop.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

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Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


(1)
Message 407 of 531 (700993)
06-10-2013 12:40 PM
Reply to: Message 406 by Straggler
06-10-2013 11:44 AM


Re: Economic Benefit
Straggler writes:
The evidence I was citing in Message 385 wasn't from Wiki. It was from the latest meta-analysis of all the relevant studies since 2000. Did you read it at all?
Center For Economic And Policy Research - Why Does the Minimum Wage Have No Discernible Effect on Employment? John Schmitt Feb 2013
I know it wasn't from the Wiki - the counter-intuitive evidence (that increasing minimum wage doesn't necessarily lead to a rise in unemployment) is from the various studies it discussed there.
It's worth showing Schmitt's discussions on his analysis from your link in full
Discussion
Across all of the empirical research that has investigated the issue, minimum-wage increases are consistently associated with statistically significant and economically meaningful increases in the wages of affected workers. At the same time, what is striking about the preceding review of possible channels of adjustment — including employment — is how often the weight of the empirical evidence is either inconclusive (statistically insignificant or positive in some cases and negative in others) or suggestive of only small economic effects.
One plausible explanation for these findings is that employers (and workers) respond on multiple fronts to any increase in the minimum wage. Individual establishments will follow different paths that depend on a complex set of circumstances that economists — operating with what is, even in the best of circumstances, a limited set of data — cannot fully capture or explain. Some employers may cut hours; others, fringe benefits; still others, the wages of highly paid workers. Some employers may raise prices (particularly if their competitors are experiencing similar cost increases in response to the minimum wage). Some employers may see their profits fall (along with those of their competitors), while others may reorganize the work process in order to lower costs. Some of the strongest evidence suggests that many employers may experience declines in costly turnover. And workers may respond to the higher wage by working harder. Any of these channels might be sufficient to eliminate the need for employment cuts or reduce the size of employment cuts to a level below where they can be reliably measured.
Employers and workers at the same establishment may follow more than one of these adjustment paths at the same time. Given the modest costs associated with historical increases in the minimum wage, it seems entirely plausible that small adjustments across a few of these margins could more than compensate for the higher wage floor.
Some of these adjustment paths reduce the benefit of the minimum wage to affected workers (reductions in non-wage benefits or training), but most have an ambiguous effect (reductions in hours or increased work effort) or no effect (lower profits or wage compression within a firm) on the well-being of low-wage workers. And some adjustment channels arguably improve workers' well-being (lower turnover or increased consumer demand).
The strongest evidence suggests that the most important channels of adjustment are: reductions in labor turnover; improvements in organizational efficiency; reductions in wages of higher earners ("wage compression"); and small price increases.
It important to note that Schmitt doesn't say that there is no effect when wages rise, just that it's too simplistic to say that it causes unemployment.
I think that much is blindingly obvious. Firms and employees will react in many ways, including cutting hours, cutting jobs, reducing training, reducing benefits, increasing prices, reducing other costs (including to higher paid employees) and so on.
Some of those are potentially good news - as far as we're concerned - but a lot are not.
I also suspect that over a very long term - 20-50 years a steadily increasing minimum wage will make large changes to a countries economy - I'd expect a large reduction in 'menial' jobs but also an increase in work that requires more intellectual effort.
I was listening to a programme about Japan the other day - remember them? It prompted me to write this:
When you start a business, one of the decisions you have to make is whether to build things yourself or to buy them in.
Software is one of those things that you can either make or buy — so long as you know how. Here at Voipfone we took a decision from the beginning to build all our core technologies ourselves, so it was interesting to hear an article on the radio about the Japanese electronics industry which once conquered the world, but is now almost defunct.
Sharp and Panasonic are nearly bankrupt, Sony made a loss of $10bn last year and Hitachi has been forced out of consumer electronics and is attempting to make it in heavy industry. China and Korea are stealing their manufacturing and Silicon Valley is stealing their products.
The Sony Walkman once created then dominated its sector but it was destroyed by the iPod. The difference between the two devices is that the Walkman is mechanical and contains no software whilst the iPod contains no clockwork and is all about being digital.
But if you look at the economics of the IPod (and iPad and iPhone) you find that the manufacturer in China is keeping only about 3% of the profit whilst Apple is getting 50%+.
In other words, the real value is being created and kept, in the USA from software development.
Meanwhile, Korean Samsung is being extremely successful in both manufacture and development of digital devices from TVs to smartphones.
Without a massive and wholesale switch from manufacture to software and hardware design, it’s hard to see how the Japanese can climb out of their hole — and it’s also a warning to China that depending on manufacturing alone, is not a great long-term plan.
Meanwhile, here in the UK we need to be spending more time teaching real IT skills to our kids — companies like Voipfone need them.
Voipfone Blog – The Importance of Software

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 406 by Straggler, posted 06-10-2013 11:44 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
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Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 426 of 531 (701131)
06-12-2013 5:47 AM
Reply to: Message 424 by Straggler
06-12-2013 5:31 AM


Re: The Way Forwards
Straggler writes:
Remember our striking truckers? Let's imagine that you are responsible for negotiating the pay deal for those unionised workers. Do you think the fact that the economic impact of the truckers not undertaking that work results in losses that run into the millions might be relevant to your position in those negotiations? If you were the negotiator would you say "The number of people who can do the job that determines its value"....? Or would that stance be a dereliction of your duties as negotiator on behalf of the striking workers?
In such a situation the economic benefit the workers provide, the value of their labour in terms of utility, is very much a relevant factor in wage negotiation and determination.
You're describing bargaining power, not value. The same drivers without a union provide the same 'value' to the company but have less power to get a better deal. Which is, of course, why unions exist.
You're also conflating the loss of sales with value added.
If $1m dollars worth of sales are lost by the driver's strike, that is not the value that the drivers add to the company; that's the damage they can cause if they refuse to work.
The actual value (which is only a % of the $1 sales loss - the bit we call profit) was created by all the assets of the entire company being used to create whatever widgits they created.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 424 by Straggler, posted 06-12-2013 5:31 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 427 by Straggler, posted 06-12-2013 6:11 AM Tangle has replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 428 of 531 (701140)
06-12-2013 8:11 AM
Reply to: Message 427 by Straggler
06-12-2013 6:11 AM


Re: The Way Forwards
Straggler writes:
I'm using the term "economic benefit" to describe the economic impact of the work in question not being done. That was the basis for my use of the term "economic benefit" when I was talking about the busniess case for a new network engineer position. That is the basis for my use of the term as applied to striking truckers.
If you think there is a better term to describe the economic impact of the work in question not being done then I'd be happy to hear it.
Well what you are describing - the effect of a driver's strike on the company - is usuallay described as an economic loss. And it's not the same as an economic benefit.
The driver's strike would cost the company $1m dollars in lost sales - that would be an economic loss of $1m which can be entirely aportioned to the drivers.
But if they didn't strike, their economic benefit would be some small fraction of the profit (not the sales) derived from the $1m sales made.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

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 Message 427 by Straggler, posted 06-12-2013 6:11 AM Straggler has not replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 447 of 531 (701195)
06-13-2013 3:49 AM
Reply to: Message 445 by Jon
06-12-2013 10:54 PM


Re: Estimating Economic Benefit
Jon writes:
I'm not talking about deciding wages. I'm talking about deciding whether to fill a position or not.
Do companies ever consider a job's impact on revenue when making this decision?
I'm a bit puzzled by this question.
Businesses exist to make profit so (almost) every decision they make is related to increasing profit in some way. No sane business would employ people unless they needed to becaues they are a cost and costs reduce profits.
But whether an individual's contribution to revenue or profit can be established at the time of hiring is highly unlikely. Some jobs hope to be able to do this - the obvious example is sales, were a new hire will be given a revenue target and fired if it's regularly not achieved. But the guy who lubes the machinery, the lady serving lunch and the HR person making the hires can not have their revenue streams identified.
Those people are hired because they are needed to make the business work; they're support costs, overhead. Almost all jobs are created because someone thinks they're needed to support the business overall, not because they will generate an identifiable revenue.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

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 Message 445 by Jon, posted 06-12-2013 10:54 PM Jon has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 448 by Percy, posted 06-13-2013 7:21 AM Tangle has replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 449 of 531 (701199)
06-13-2013 7:49 AM
Reply to: Message 448 by Percy
06-13-2013 7:21 AM


Re: Estimating Economic Benefit
Percy writes:
But aren't even sales jobs problematic? The way I see it, the revenue stream of a salesperson can be readily identified, but how much of that is his actual net contribution can't be known. The truckers, stock boys, warehousemen, cashiers, janitors, etc., also make their contributions which must be subtracted from the salesperson's, but since we can't quantify their contributions and can't know how much to subtract, we can't know the salesperson's contribution either. It seems to me that the revenue brought in by a salesperson is a good measure of performance, but it isn't a measure of his actual net contribution to revenue or profit.
It's very problematic, but it's the nearest direct relationship I can think of. They individually sell stuff so they individually claim to bring in $x revenues.
But, of course, if Fred didn't make the sale, Jane might have. And neither could have done it without the help of Mike in accounts who worked out the finances - and so on.
I also said earlier that sales people are notorious for selling stuff at any price - they quite often sell at a loss. (Below cost of sales - ie direct costs).
So no, you can't really get to profit from an individual sale and claim that without Fred it wouldn't have happened.
The bigger a company gets the less chance there is of making a relationship between individuals and profits. And the more like a service the output is, the worse it gets. (Because costs have to be apportioned across shared assets.)

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 448 by Percy, posted 06-13-2013 7:21 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

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Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


(1)
Message 470 of 531 (701533)
06-20-2013 2:53 PM
Reply to: Message 469 by Coyote
06-20-2013 2:37 PM


Re: who is a drain?
Coyotee writes:
And how does one make a profit that does not return to the economy?
Generally, they hide it off-shore in tax havens, pay into off-shore private trusts and use any number of mechanisms to avoid paying what they owe.
But of course, companies must make profits - that's their job and hopefully they'll re-invest in their businesses, employ more and spend more and as a result all benefit
But to succeed, all businesses need a road and rail infrastructure to get their products to market and a secure, lawful, healthy and safe society to sell to.
State and industry are interdependent and it's only the balance of one over the other that we should be arguing about. Business is out for itself and will harm society if unregulated, state has a habbit of growing out of proportion to its usefullness and, at its extremes, is even more harmful.
A plural, democratic society is the best answer we have to getting this balance right.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 469 by Coyote, posted 06-20-2013 2:37 PM Coyote has not replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


(5)
Message 486 of 531 (701563)
06-21-2013 3:55 AM
Reply to: Message 473 by Coyote
06-20-2013 8:16 PM


Re: who is a drain?
Coyote writes:
Those profits that go into tax shelters are the result of socialists and their nasty tax schemes that are designed to tax the productive and spread the proceeds among the non-productive. The golden goose parable comes to mind.
Every country on earth has taxation. All taxes tax the productive. Normally, people accept the need for taxation because they understand that it pays for the things that they need - security, health, education, roads and so on.
That's not socialism - a word you seem to think is a swear word - it's just a sensible economic model which in principle I assume you are not apposing?
Some countries have higher taxes than others so now that corporations can send their earnings to lower tax hideaways, they obviously do so (because that's the goal of capitalism - higher profits) and by doing it they exploit those that can't because domestic taxation must increase to pay for the deficit. It's not a function of socialism, it's a function of world economics and regulation is necessary to prevent the worst unfairnesses of it.

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
 Message 473 by Coyote, posted 06-20-2013 8:16 PM Coyote has not replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9516
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 497 of 531 (701612)
06-22-2013 2:52 AM
Reply to: Message 491 by Coyote
06-21-2013 10:16 PM


Re: Let's look at the reality of "big" government.
Coyote writes:
Not just taking, but taking by force--at the barrel of a gun.
Do you think society could exist without taxation?

Life, don't talk to me about life - Marvin the Paranoid Android

This message is a reply to:
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