Increase in Natural Disasters? Prophesied?

I think buz has made his point that an increase can be within the timeframe of everything after 1948. That is to say since beginning to watch in 1948 there has been an increase in disasters.Whether this is true, or whether it can be shown as part of a greater cycle if one looks beyond 1948 is irrelevant. If he's simply looking for an increase since a certain date, all he has to start from is that date.Obviously I don't agree with his assessment that anything unusual is happening, and your points regarding the prophecies have thus far been dead on.

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holmes
"...what a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.."(D. Bros)

What you said is true if you are trying to determine a general increase in something. As long as Buz is simply claiming that there will be an increase in disasters after 1948, which means that 1949 will have more than 1948, etc etc etc up till now, that is fine.There are of course many questions which would come from this, including why a prophecy about disasters coming at the end of the world (if it existed) would be so narrow that the increase still does not match frequency of disasters naturally occuring at other times (and so the increase is not exectly apocalyptic).Originally I agreed with Jar on this, but Buz narrowed the focus in one of his last replies and technically it makes him correct.

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holmes
"...what a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.."(D. Bros)

If you use only data from 1948 onward, you are free to try and make your case with evidence. If this is the case you want to make, then you must use data from before 1948, and jar has been correct all along in his criticisms. If you mean an increase after 1948 relative to frequency throughout the centuries you need much more data.By the way, you'd also be wrong. I'm not sure where you ever got a meteorologist saying that weather and climate have been stable over the centuries, especially up until 1948. Good luck with that.

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holmes
"...what a fool believes he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.."(D. Bros)