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Author Topic:   Age Correlations, step by step.
JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 21 of 130 (308995)
05-04-2006 8:19 AM
Reply to: Message 17 by DrFrost
05-03-2006 8:12 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
Does anyone have any references to how far back coral ring measurements go?
Around 50K years, but the measurements are not of coral "rings". They are measurements of thorium (230Th). Briefly, 230Th is created by decay of 234U. 234U is readily soluble in seawater, so the corals pick some of it up from the surrounding water, and when it decays to 230Th the resulting thorium atom is trapped. 230Th is strongly not soluble in seawater, so when a 234U atom in solution decays, the resulting 230Th atom precipitates out and settles to the bottom, and is exceptionally unlikely to land on a piece of growing coral. Therefore all the 230Th in the coral is the result of decay of 234U. The decay also produces protactinium (231Pa), which is also not soluble in seawater and gives a cross-check that the thorium in the coral is the result of radioactive decay; it's really ridiculous to suppose that the right number of thorium atoms and the right number of protactinium atoms happened to land on the growing coral.
See CALPAL 2005 SFCP. Although you can't read the axis labels, they run from 0 to 60K years (right-to-left on the horizontal axis, bottom-to-top on the vertical axis). The red data points are coral. many of them are hiden by other data points. For links to the individual studies and plots of just the coral data, see CALIBRATION DATA SETS.

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Replies to this message:
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JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 28 of 130 (309054)
05-04-2006 1:41 PM
Reply to: Message 26 by simple
05-04-2006 1:25 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
You assume the decay was there at the time, I assume it was not!
Not quite accurate. I take the evidence of astrophysics, the Oklo reactor, the obvious fact (acknowledged by the few creationists who know something about radiometric dating) that much radioactive decay has occurred but has not caused the obvious effects it would if it had occurred at a different rate, the failure of literally thousands of experiments to cause noticable changes in relevant decay rates, the predictions of quantum mechanics (probably the most successful theory we've ever had at predicting things) that changes in radioactive decay rates would have many noticable effects, such as "atoms would no longer exist", the many correlations between various radiometric methods and non-radiometric methods, and numerous other items of evidence and conclude that the radioactive decay took place in situ at a constant rate. You assume some cockamamie and confused ideas (see below), without any evidence, because you cannot bring yourself to question your presuppositions.
This means most of that 234U was there at the time deacay started!
All the 234U was there when the coral formed. None of the 230Th was. We know why coral doesn't incorporate 230Th when it forms today, and there's lots of good reasons to believe it was the same in the past. If you have some evidence for a claim that some 230Th was there when the coral formed, let's see it. If you have some evidence for skewing the results, or a proposed mechanism by which the results could be skewed in just the right way to agree with so many other observations, trot it out. Otherwise, don't waste our time with unsupported and confused assertions.
If you can't even bother to remember what decays to what for thirty seconds, you got some larnin' to do.

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JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 29 of 130 (309055)
05-04-2006 1:44 PM
Reply to: Message 25 by simple
05-04-2006 1:20 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
o, because radioactive decay is a present process, totally inapplicable to the deep past. There was none, any more than there will be any. If we want to get technical, there was some nuclear reactions locally in places on earth. But not universally. For example, near Gabon, we know a reaction, (we assume was as the present hot reactions, not some cold fusion process that mimiced the results in the isotopes). But this was not worldwide, it was area specific. WE could speculate on why, for example, God used a reaction to heat up one of the rivers flowing into Eden, which, say was somewhere nearby. He wanted to give them nice hot water to bathe in.
You're invoking ad-hoc magic. Not appropriate in a scientific discussion. Here, we discuss that for which there is evidence. What you say nmay be true (although I doubt it) but it ain't science.

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 Message 25 by simple, posted 05-04-2006 1:20 PM simple has replied

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JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 34 of 130 (309083)
05-04-2006 3:19 PM
Reply to: Message 32 by simple
05-04-2006 3:10 PM


Re: universal constants
This actually isn't true at all. Remember that we can observe events in the universe that occured millions and millions of years ago because the light from those events is just reaching us now.
No, this is patently false when we try to apply the present as relative to the deep past or future. The theory of relativity is limited absolutely to this present temporary physical universe. If you can show that is all there ever was or will be, then we can extend the relativity to the past. You can't. It was, I believe, very very different. You may believe what you wish. This being a science forum, however, it would be nice if you could back up you claims, if you claim they are science!
Er, gibberish such as that is also frowned on in a science forum. There is plenty of backing for his claims, and anyone familiar with the basics of science and cosmology is familiar with it. You might start at Usenet Relativity FAQ.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 32 by simple, posted 05-04-2006 3:10 PM simple has replied

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JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 35 of 130 (309084)
05-04-2006 3:23 PM
Reply to: Message 33 by simple
05-04-2006 3:17 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
All the 234U was there when the coral formed. None of the 230Th was. ..
This we know how? You got some learnin to do.
The explanation was in the part that you snipped. If you wish to assume that there is no way of extening present experience to the past or future, feel free to do so somewhere other than in a science forum. Science assumes there is a universe which we can sense, and does not assume radical changes fgor which there is no evidence. Watch out when you get out of bed tomorrow ... you might find your self in interstallar space.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 33 by simple, posted 05-04-2006 3:17 PM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
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JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 37 of 130 (309087)
05-04-2006 3:26 PM
Reply to: Message 35 by JonF
05-04-2006 3:23 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
{NOTE: THIS IS A REPLY TO MESSAGE 33, NOT MESSAGE 35 - Adminnemooseus}
The deep space decay we see evidence of needs to be linked to the past by more than assumption things were the same. If they were different, the information could have gotten here beyond present law limits
Not appropriate for a science forum, until you have evidence that this is so.
Oklo, I already mentioned, it was local, not universal.
You asserted. No evidence. Without evidence, your assertion is rejected by Occam's razor.
The fact you refer to that much decay has happened I contest entirely, it certainly has not. As I indicated, the parent elements were there as the deacy process began. All we can note as real fact is that they now decay into the (what is now the daughter) elements.
Cool. Let's see your evidence. How does 230Th get into coral as it forms? How does lead get into zircons as they crytstallize?
Nothing says the process was the same in the deep past.
Quantum mechanics does.
This message has been edited by Adminnemooseus, 05-04-2006 03:34 PM

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JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 38 of 130 (309088)
05-04-2006 3:29 PM
Reply to: Message 36 by simple
05-04-2006 3:23 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
No, you are. If you can demonstrate that the past was of necessity under the same physical laws we now are, and that we also will in the future, you might have a point. As it is, your arguements are present based conjectures only.
It can't be demonstrated. It can be thought of as a conjecture, but it's a conjecture that is the basis for science, and works spectacutrarly well. You are free to believe otherwise; do so someplace other than a science forum, 'cause your assertions ain't science.
Otherwise, keep your beliefs to yourself, and out of the schools.
You want no science taught in schools? If you assume physical laws change willy-nilly to suit your psychological needs, there's no science.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 36 by simple, posted 05-04-2006 3:23 PM simple has replied

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JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 68 of 130 (309313)
05-05-2006 7:42 AM
Reply to: Message 61 by simple
05-05-2006 3:50 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
If we can say that these laws worked the same as ten minutes ago as they do now, what allows us to do so? What allows us to assume the same physics ten minutes ago and not 10 million years ago?
We observed the recent past, not millions of years ago, or the future. We have history. We have many things that we know about the recent past up to thousands of years ago. That's it.
There is no difference between our observations of the recent past and the deep past. All observations are indirect measures of the effects of past events.
Yuo should also hand-wave away Noether's theorem, which establishes that "the laws of physics were the same in the past" is the same as "energy is conserved". You are, therefore, arguing that energy is not conserved … yet we have never detected a case in which energy is nto conserved.
I suspect that your casual dismissal of all evidence as unsubstiated, and your refusal to present evidence for your claims after repoeated requests, will arouose the moderator's wrath.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 61 by simple, posted 05-05-2006 3:50 AM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 72 by DrFrost, posted 05-05-2006 2:01 PM JonF has replied
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JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 69 of 130 (309314)
05-05-2006 7:44 AM
Reply to: Message 63 by simple
05-05-2006 3:54 AM


Re: universal constants
The claims I am familiar with. Unsubstansiated are they.
Sorry, Yoda, your second sentence contradicts your first sentence. Frantic hand-waving is not suitable "defense" of your claims.
This message has been edited by JonF, 05-05-2006 07:44 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 63 by simple, posted 05-05-2006 3:54 AM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 80 by simple, posted 05-06-2006 1:37 AM JonF has replied

  
JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 73 of 130 (309486)
05-05-2006 6:06 PM
Reply to: Message 72 by DrFrost
05-05-2006 2:01 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
I don't believe there's been in big change in the laws of physics in the last several million years. BUT, there is evidence that some of the values we consider "constant" have changed over time.
"Laws of physics" and "values we consider constant" are often not the same thing. FWIW, the jury is still out on those alleged changes in alpha, but the latest WMAP measurements indicate pretty strongly that alpha has not changed.
Also, I would try to avoid using "nondetection" as proof. It took a long time for us to detect antimatter... but that didn't prevent it from being real. We have still not detected, to my knowledge, a Higg's boson and yet many physicists believe they must exist. Evolution in general is missing a lot of "intermediate" steps in the fossil record, yet they assert they must exist. You get the idea.
Science doesn't deal in proof, it deals with the preponderance of evidence. All your examples were predicted based on sound and verified theories. OTOH, sound and verified theories predict mass-energy is conserved (at least on the scale of galactic clusters and smaller; energy may not be conserved on the universe scale, and there's good reason to believe that conservation of energy isn't even meaningful on that scale). And, as you noted, brief violations of COE are known to occur on the quantum scale. But changes in the laws of physics on the scale propounded by relative are not possible without concomitant changes in conservation of energy.

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JonF
Member (Idle past 198 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 86 of 130 (309590)
05-06-2006 8:16 AM
Reply to: Message 80 by simple
05-06-2006 1:37 AM


Re: universal constants
Frantic hand-waving is not suitable "defense" of your claims.
Amen. Now stop doing that irratating thing, and get down, and support your wacked out past claims. Our patience is limited.
Ball's in your court, son. We've provided support for our claims, and you've made feeble attempts to hand-wave that suppat away. In science we deal with evidence; we're waiting for your evidence for your claims.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 80 by simple, posted 05-06-2006 1:37 AM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
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