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Author Topic:   Age Correlations, step by step.
RAZD
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Posts: 20714
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Message 1 of 130 (308335)
05-01-2006 10:06 PM


For 'relative' (from {Is creationism winning in Turkey & Korea?} thread):
quote:
See The Age Correlations and an Old Earth: Part III thread for more information and to discuss this one further (it would be off topic here).
No thanks. The forum there is a science forum, and the deck on this forum is stacked. Maybe if it was in the coffee house.
Okay. Let's take it one step at a time, with step 1 being:

Bristlecone Pines

By counting tree rings and matching the overlapping patterns of growth from live to dead trees, scientists have developed a tree-ring chronology of nearly 10,000 years using wood from the Schulman Grove area, California (one tree still living is 4600 years old). Quotes from the Bristlecone pine website:
The oldest known living specimen is the "Methuselah" tree, sampled by Schulman and Harlan in the White Mountains of CA, for which 4789 years are verified by crossdating. An age of 4,844 years was determined post-mortem (after being cut down) for specimen WPM-114 from Wheeler Peak, NV.
Pinus longaeva is generally regarded as the longest-lived of all sexually reproducing, nonclonal species, with many individuals known to have ages exceeding 4000 years. Due to the resinous wood and extremely cold and arid habitat, decay of dead wood is extremely slow, and wood on the ground in some stands has ages exceeding 10,000 years. This has permitted building a continuous chronology of more than 8,000 years, which in turn has been used to calibrate the radiocarbon timescale. The species has been widely used in dendroclimatic reconstruction and in several classic studies of timberline ecology.
The "Methusulah" specimen was cut down in 1957, so by this one tree alone the minimum age for the earth is 4,836 years (and counting). Another site with Bristlecone Pine data is Great Basin National Park:
The Forest Service granted permission for the researcher to take core samples from several old-looking bristlecone pines and to cut one down. Bristlecone pines often grow in a twisted fashion. Also, one section of the tree may die off even a couple thousand years before another part. This means it can be very difficult to capture the oldest part of the tree in a core sample. The tree that was cut down in 1964--while still living--has since become know to some as "Prometheus."
Counting revealed that Prometheus contained about 4,900 growth rings. This made it the oldest known tree. Currently the oldest known living tree, about 4,600 years old, is in the White Mountains of California. Chances are good that there are other, older, bristlecones that have not been dated.
Also see "The Ancient Bristlecone Pine"
and "California's Ancient Bristlecone Pines, the Oldest Living Things"

Minimum age of the earth = 8,000 years based on this data.


Notice three things:
(1) a single tree that was 4,844 years old when cut down in 1957,
(2) a continuous chronology for 8,000 years with no evidence of disruption
(3) multiple specimens that all give the same results.
How can this occur and NOT be consistent annual rings for the duration of the record?
When we have a valid hypothesis for this occurance we can move on to the next correlation item, and test the hypothesis.
Enjoy.

admins may chose to move this to be a "great debate" if (a) 'relative' takes up the challenge and (b) the thread gets overly cluttered with other posts.

{edited email notifications, no change to post}
This message has been edited by RAZD, 05*05*2006 07:11 PM

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Replies to this message:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 5 of 130 (308412)
05-02-2006 7:25 AM
Reply to: Message 3 by AdminAsgara
05-02-2006 1:00 AM


'relative' complained that the original thread was in a science forum and "the deck was stacked" there, and requested that it be discussed in the coffee forum.
moving this thread to a science forum defeats that purpose
we already have the original thread in the dates and dating forum so this duplication would not be necessary there either

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 8 of 130 (308454)
05-02-2006 10:42 AM
Reply to: Message 2 by simple
05-02-2006 12:57 AM


Great Debate?
(from {Is creationism winning in Turkey & Korea?} thread):
No thanks. The forum there is a science forum, and the deck on this forum is stacked. Maybe if it was in the coffee house.
P.S. I might add here, that science can not say a single thing about this
I know you are uncomfortable in a science forum, where this has now been moved.
If you agree we can have the original coffeehouse discussion moved to {The Great Debate} forum, where we can agree not to use the "rules" of the science forums, and where debate is limited to one-on-one (just you and me).
I would be happy to respond to your post there.

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This message is a reply to:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 15 of 130 (308700)
05-03-2006 7:07 AM
Reply to: Message 9 by simple
05-02-2006 10:48 PM


Re: Great Debate?
Actually, it is just because my research indicates that the moderation here is bad. If no one posts beyond the post that kills my ability to post, or where I may get axed, fine, I can go to there. I really do not want to be silenced, while all the opposition rants on unopposed here. Deal?
okay.
relative, msg 2 writes:
In the bible, trees grew in days. What more can I say? Tree rings therefore in the deep past are of no meaning relating to actual time. In the present, this is not the case, of course.
The problems with this are:
(1) When did the transition happen? The tree rings mentioned above do not show any discontinuity in their growth patterns.
(2) Ancient and modern corals show growth patterns with two levels -- days and years. This is from the original {Age Correlations}:

Talking Coral Heads

Now we are going to introduce a twist. Coral heads put down growth layers just like trees and other organic systems.
From Estimating past sea-surface temperatures from corals:
Some species of corals have stony skeletons, consisting almost entirely of calcium carbonate (CaCO3), and the term coral is often applied to the skeletons themselves.... There are three kinds of this skeletal material, i.e. plate-like, branching, and 'massive' The last is rounded and bulky and proves to be useful for estimating past sea-surface temperatures (SST) in tropical regions.
X-ray examination reveals that massive coral has layers of different density, due to seasonal variations, like the annual rings of tree trunks. Counting of the density layers in large colonies of coral provides annual dating of the layers for several hundreds of years. Massive coral cores of the Porites type on Australia's Great Barrier Reef (GBR) have been dated back to 1479 AD.
So where's the twist? Those dates are pretty insignificant compared to the other data, right? The twist comes from ancient corals. Sure, one can assemble all the coral cores and align them by seasonal variations and piece together a database similar to the tree ring data bases we started with, but as it sits now there are not enough cores to assemble without significant gaps in between (I fully expect a complete database to be assembled over time).
For now we can assemble the bits and pieces, placing the ancient cores by dates derived from radiometric testing (T-230 and P-231 are used for some), and while we can derive similar dates from two or more tests, this is hardly enough to impress people who doubt radiometric dating methods. Is there something else that will give us an independent confirmation?
The answer is yes, and it comes from the astrophysics of the earth-moon system. From CoralGrowth and Geochronometry (Nature, March 9, 1963 By Prof. John W. Wells):
The other approach, radically different, involves the astronomical record. Astronomers seem to be generally agreed that while the period of the Earth's revolution around the Sun has been constant, its period of rotation on its polar axis, at present 24 h, has not been constant throughout Earth's history, and that there has been a deceleration attributable to the dissipation of rotational energy by tidal forces on the surface and in the interior, a slow-down of about 2 sec per 100,000 years according to the most recent estimates. It thus appears that the length of the day has been increasing throughout geological time and that the number of days in the year has been decreasing. At, the beginning of the Cambrian the length of the day would have been 21 h ...
The best of the limited fossil material I have examined so far is from the MiddleDevonian ... Diurnal and annual growth-rates vary in the same individual, adding to the complexity, but in every instance there are more than 365 growth -lines per annum. usually about 400, ranging between extremes of 385 and 410. It is probably too much, considering the crudity of these data, to expect a narrower range of values for the number of days in a year in the Middle Devonian; many more measurements will be necessary to refine them.
A few more data may be mentioned: Lophophllidium from the Pennsylvanian (Conemaugh) of western Pennsylvania gave 390 lines per annum, and Caninia from the Pennsylvanian of Texas, 385. These results imply that the number of days a year has decreased with the passage of time since the Devonian, as postulated by astronomers.
The calculations based on just the astrophysics gives a 400 day/year figure for the Devonian and a 390 day/year figure for the Pennsylvanian, so there is very close accord between the predicted number of days, the measured number of days and the measured age of the fossil corals. These corals will be useful in anchoring the database of annual layers as it builds up a picture of climate change with age and extending, eventually, back into the Devonian period (360 to 408.5 million years ago).

Probable Minimum age of the earth = 400,000,000 years based on this data.

At this point we have moved from hard evidence of actual years into inferred evidence, waiting for the hard evidence to fill in the gaps. As this is also a biological bit of evidence we can also say that the (inferred) probable minimum age of life on earth is 400 million years.

So how do you explain the appearance of daily growth rings at a time when the annual growth rings are suppossedly daily growth rings?
Without explaining this, your {ancient day = modern year} hypothesis is invalidated.
Enjoy.

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by simple, posted 05-02-2006 10:48 PM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 23 by simple, posted 05-04-2006 12:56 PM RAZD has replied
 Message 55 by DrFrost, posted 05-04-2006 8:06 PM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 16 of 130 (308877)
05-03-2006 7:05 PM
Reply to: Message 2 by simple
05-02-2006 12:57 AM


Another Correlation problem.
In msg 28 of {Is creationism winning in Turkey & Korea?} thread
relative writes:
There was no radioactive decay in the past. There will be none in the fiuture. The daughter material you see you think decayed was already there, as the decay process began thousands of years ago.
Perhaps we can determine when this happened by when the correlation of radioactive decay based dating methods breaks down with the annual ring data.
As noted by 'relative' above the annual rings were really daily rings at roughly the same point in time that the radioactive decay didn't exist - or near enough to see the ramifications of these hypotheses.
If this is so then there is no reason for there to be any correlation between tree rings and carbon 14 dating of the tree rings - the correlation should break down or become markedly more varied. In fact, as we shall see below the correlation should end immediately on the date that radiation commenced.
Carbon 14 dating is a special case of radiometric dating, because the very short half life compared to other radioactive elements means that if there was no source of Carbon 14 that after about 50,000 years (evo time) there would be no Carbon 14 left.
But Carbon 14 is made daily by the interaction of sunlight with Nitrogen, transforming non-radioactive Nitrogen into radioactive Carbon 14. This atmospheric Carbon 14 is then taken up by plants and animals and forms the reservoir of Carbon 14 in the plant or animal, in the same proportion to Carbon 12 and Carbon 13 (another radioactive isotope) as it exists in the atmosphere. For Carbon 14 dating, it is the ratio of Carbon 14 to Carbon 12 that is used to date the specimens, and not parent daughter ratios.
See Carbon Dating for a more complete explanation.
In the days before radiation, then, there should be no (atmospheric) Carbon 14 in any of the specimens anywhere on earth, especially in the growth rings of trees. Thus dating by Carbon 14 of the tree rings should show an abrupt end to Carbon 14 levels (ie the specimens would suddenly date to 50,000+ "evo-years") as we go back in time to that no radiation date.
Page down in the above reference to Reliability of Carbon Dating, Bristlecone Pine Trees and it says:
From the dating of ancient bristlecone pine trees from the western U.S., a correction curve for the carbon dating over the range back to 5000 BC has been developed. Trees dated at 4000 BC show the maximum deviation of between 600 and 700 years too young by carbon dating.
(link in the original)
We don't need to worry about the correction values here, because what we see is a continued correlation between tree ring data and Carbon 14 dating back at least 7000 years ago: there is no {{sudden}} end to Carbon 14 levels.
This means either:
(1) The change in radioactivity of elements has not occurred yet in the data, and thus the tree rings are annual rings for the duration of the data record OR
(2) Some cause for the Carbon 14 levels in the tree rings must not only put it into all the specimens, but put it in in exactly the correct levels for it to test out to the ages involved -- in all the rings in all the specimens.
And of course if they are truly annual rings then we are back to stage 1: there may have been a transition from days to years, but it hasn't shown up in the data yet.
Given that we also have evidence of daily growth rings in corals (as well as annual growth rings) and we have the correlation of Carbon 14 dating throughout the Bristlecone Pine data the logical conclusion is that this time is still after any transformation of days to years.

Minimum age of the earth = 8,000 years based on this data.


This is what the evidence shows. Not science or theory, just the facts.
Enjoy.
{{fixed link in block to be visible}}
This message has been edited by RAZD, 05*03*2006 07:07 PM

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This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 20 of 130 (308917)
05-03-2006 9:51 PM
Reply to: Message 17 by DrFrost
05-03-2006 8:12 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
It appears there is reasonable evidence that a sun in our neighborhood went supernova in the recent past and could be responsible for a lot of the cosmic radiation (or at least the majority of cosmic radiation at certain energy levels) ... Since the main source of carbon 14 is from cosmic ray impacts with nitrogen, I can't imagine a significant change in the amount of comsic rays wouldn't have an effect.
I would think that this would show up as a spike in C-14 causing the plants and animals from that period (how long does a supernova last?) dating younger than they would by other means, but if the spike was only a couple of weeks the plants and animals could re-equalize to normative levels based on their life after nova (The human body rebuilds it's cells continually -- people have an entirely new skin every 2 months or so, but other parts take longer to be replaced -- every part that forms a living adult human being today was not a part of that {being} when they were a child), so the effect could be lost in long lived plants and animals.
This could literally skew carbon-14 dating by a constant offset
I don't think so, because once the effect had passed the amounts of C-14 would return to the equilibrium levels of the atmosphere.
There are other effects of climate that were predicted to affect C-14 levels. Read the other {Age Correlations and an Old Earth: Part III} thread for the Lake Suigetsu information about this.
Does anyone have any references to how far back coral ring measurements go?
There are some links on the other thread, but they may just get you started ... this one is kind of cool.
oh, and welcome to the fray.
This message has been edited by RAZD, 05*03*2006 09:54 PM
This message has been edited by RAZD, 05*03*2006 09:55 PM

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 56 of 130 (309217)
05-04-2006 8:11 PM
Reply to: Message 21 by JonF
05-04-2006 8:19 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
The red data points are coral. many of them are hiden by other data points. For links to the individual studies and plots of just the coral data, see CALIBRATION DATA SETS.
I also see that the Lake Suigetsu data is included there as well. It would be interesting to put together a slide show of each one then add it to the previous.

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 57 of 130 (309232)
05-04-2006 9:34 PM
Reply to: Message 23 by simple
05-04-2006 12:56 PM


Re: Great Debate?
relative, msg 23 writes:
It makes little difference when, I have heard some guesses there.
It makes 'little difference' only to those who don't want to know if this is correct or not. If you want to believe in a fantasy then it is best not to challenge the foundations of that fantasy eh? If you want to be ignorant you better not look for information.
Why does it not matter? Because all we observe is our universe that works the way it does, and is composed of what it is composed of.
And the only information we have is that it has always behaved the same way, that there are no great forces that change things from time to time. There is no reason to believe that things were ever different.
Ancient corals grew according to conditions then, if the present mimics that pattern in what now is a day cycle, it means only that the conditions are such that this is now how it works.
So you have absolutely no explanation for daily rings inside of annual rings that you (now) claim are {pre-flood day} rings. The best you can come up with is "gosh something else must have happened to (mimic) make it look that way" ...
I'll take that as an admission that you cannot answer the coral daily ring information with your day=annual cycle hypothesis so you have to invent a second mechanism to explain it, a second mechanism that you can't even imagine. You have to invoke "god-did-it" (to fool us).
relative, msg 25 writes:
No, because radioactive decay is a present process, totally inapplicable to the deep past. There was none,
You're not reading the post 'relative' -- you claimed there was no radioactivity in the past, therefore at any time before the {magic day radioactive decay commenced} there was no C-14 to be absorbed in any plants and animals. None, zero, zip. All plants and animals would have grown without an atom of C-14.
Says who? And assuming what?
Says you, assuming your hypothesis is correct.
Irrelevant, as there was no 50,000 years to begin with.
You're not getting the picture. For there to be no C-14 in specimens by evo standards, they have to be 50,000 evo years old -- so if there is no C-14 in the specimens they will date to 50,000+ years old in evo years, regardless of WHY they have no C-14.
This means that if the change from non-radioactivity to radioactivity occurred sometime LESS than 50,000 years ago, there should be a sudden jump in ages at the magic date of radioacitivity -- from say 8,000 years (the end of the bristlecone pine annual ring data) to the null C-14 value of 50,000 years. This should be visible across the board world wide, with absolutely no possible dates between 8,000 (or whatever) years and 50,000 years.
This is your hypothesis, it has been falsified - absolutely - for all data that is based on C-14 AND correlated to annual growth rings (and we've only touched the tip of the iceberg of data with the bristlecone pine).
Again, this assume the light was then the same. In fact the documentation of the bible clearly shows there was plants and light before any stars or sun was made.
No it just assumes that the causes of radioactive C-14 are the same in both cases where the radioactive element has been generated. We are talking about {after the day radioactivity commenced} after all eh? So this has to be after your change in light, gravity, etc.
There are many old age pattern correlations that we could make. There are many young earth correlations as well. All draw on the same facts and present observations.
You're missing the point: there is no sudden change in dating of objects from back to {the day radioactivity commenced} (whether it is 4000 or 8000 or 12000 is irrelevant) and then a sudden jump to 50,000 years. None, zero, zip.
The oldest trees correspond roughly with the time the change happened. I forget but I think the Joshua tree was what, 4700 or whatever years old by the rings. If it was, say, (we could use any number) then, if the change happened fairly suddenly 4400 years ago, it means that there were about 300 rings grown in the former state of the world. That could have taken say, a year, or, perhaps decades. WE don't know if all trees always must have grown as quickly as some could grow.
But the tree rings date consistently with C-14. There is no sudden jump to 50,000 year old rings.
msg 23 again writes:
A change so big, so fundamental, as to affect gravity, light, and the atomic and molecular structures of matter, and etc. reducing the growth rates, and lifespans and other things happened. ... The changes were so fundamental, that lava even cooled very very quickly! This allows rapid continental seperation. It means that relativity is not relative after all, except to the present physical universe.
And yet it left absolutely no evidence of this occurring.
So to recap, going back only 8,000 evo years we have two scenarios:
(1) things happened 8,000 years ago in the same way that they happen today, trees grow annual rings, coral grow daily and annual rings, carbon 14 was made in the atmosphere in the same way it is now and absorbed into plants and animals in the same way that it is now -- there is not a single reason to expect otherwise because the data from multitudes of sources all show the same results ... we'll look at the evidence and find none that is inconsistent with these concepts, and call this the theory of {same-old same-old}.
OR
(2) things were entirely different 8,000 years ago, nothing we know happened the same way back then, birds swam and fish flew, the sun orbited a flat earth, trees grew with their leaves underground and their roots in the air, even the air was different, corals were hypnotized into thinking there were 400 days in a single day, and the blue meanies all lived in argentina ... we'll ignore any and all evidence that invalidates this and call this the {simple theory of everything was different so you can believe whatever you like}
OR
(3) the big change hasn't happened in the data yet, 8,000 years is not long ago enough.
Enjoy.

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 23 by simple, posted 05-04-2006 12:56 PM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 59 by simple, posted 05-05-2006 3:33 AM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 70 of 130 (309316)
05-05-2006 7:52 AM
Reply to: Message 59 by simple
05-05-2006 3:33 AM


Re: Great Debate?
"Daily rings" 'inside' "anual rings"? How would you be able to tell a daily, or weekly ring in a different past from a present anual one precisely?
What the heck is a weekly ring?
You obviously have different growth rates during daylight hours than during nightime hours, and this shows up in the corals as daily rings -- this is, after all, your excuse for annual tree rings being days instead of years.
You also have more growth per day during summer days than during winter days, so the areas of summer days are wider than the areas of winter days, and this shows up in the corals (and trees etc) as annual rings.
We observe the pattern of growth in the corals today, observing both the daily and the annual growth patterns. We see the same kind of growth in corals of the past.
This is an invalidation of your concept on two fronts:
(1) It demonstrates that days AND years were involved at the time of the coral rings being made, just as they are today by the same kinds of corals, and your concept has yet to propose a mechanism that "mimics" this daily growth cycle.
(2) It demonstrates that these daily rings also occurred during the winter season, which you claim was night and your concept is void of any mechanism to "mimic" different rates of growth in a cyclic pattern during the dark hours.
Ah, so that is what is throwing you! If we date the tree rings up to 4400 years with the actual rings, we have close to real time. If we go beyond that we do not. But if you are talking about dating the wood with the C 14 process, rather than rings, that is a different thing. Then we get into a carbon dating issue, and the assumptions in that. Since the error curve in dating with C14 goes back around the time of the great change, beyond which accurate dates are not reliable, it fits with a young age model
C14 is made by radioactive process, without radioactive process to make it, it does not exist.
There is no "error" in the dating curve -- it keeps producing dates that agree with the tree rings.
For your concept to work the has to be an error that isn't there -- and that is why you are wrong.
Your concept is invalid, empty, void, it has no meaning.
Between these two pieces of evidence we have:
(1) evidence of daily cycles within annual cycles in the past in the same manner that we have today
(2) evidence of the production of radioactive material in the past in the same manner that we have today
(3) this evidence is consistent with the scientific theories
(4) this evidence is consistent with the tree rings being annual rings with the proper amounts of C14 for each ring
(5) this evidence is inconsistent and contrary to your "concept" and invalidates it.
It's that simple.
Enjoy.

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This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
 Message 81 by simple, posted 05-06-2006 2:02 AM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 74 of 130 (309493)
05-05-2006 7:03 PM
Reply to: Message 55 by DrFrost
05-04-2006 8:06 PM


Re: Great Debate?
But this range of days per annum is big: 385 to 410. That's almost a 10% variation.
You have two causes of uncertainty - 1 is dating the coral, 2 is the effect of very cloudy days or storms on the data that would make some daily rings hard to see.
If the 2 seconds per 100,000 years is correct then.... 25 days ...
Assumption of linearity in a non-linear system. This same energy is also affecting the orbit of the moon, accelerating it into higher orbits which take longer ... the receding moon orbit also means that there is less pull, less force to the tides.
Assuming the earth is 6,000,000,000 years old.
Best scientific analysis puts it at 4.55 billion years old.

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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
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Message 87 of 130 (309642)
05-06-2006 11:39 AM
Reply to: Message 81 by simple
05-06-2006 2:02 AM


Re: Great Debate?
Try and focus here, we are talking about the deep deep past.
Actually we are talking about the very shallow immediate past, up to 8,000 years ago.
You concede dating up to 4,400 +/- years ago is valid as a totally linear process back to that point.
So we will talk about 4,500 years ago.
Tree rings same as at 4,400 years ago, in the same tree no less. Same kind of limited growth during winter months as now, same kind of increased growth during summer months as now.
Temperature variations for the last 2000 years by tree-ring chronologies from Polar and Upper Mountain tree line in Siberia
Research plan: approaches and methods
The investigation methods include a set of experimental measurements, traditional for dendrochronology and dendroclimatology and widely used in world chief laboratories, and statistical approaches (site selection and material collection, annual tree-ring characteristics measurements by automatic devices and in densitometrical laboratory, cross-dating procedure, standardization of raw measurements and climatic signal discharge, estimation of climatic functions, creation of simple and multiple regression models of leading climatic factors reconstruction, spectral analysis of long-term temporal chronologies etc.) as well as worked out unique methods of annual tree-ring measurements and computer programs of raw data processing (automatic systems usage and systems for image analysis to measure cell structure of annual tree-rings, usage of simulation models of annual tree-ring formation by daily temperature, moisture and solar radiation changes, statistical multiple methods to reconstruct intraseasonal variability of climatic factors inferred from characteristics of annual tree-ring structure etc.) (Fig. 3). The latter are not only pioneer but also define priorities of Laboratory of Dendrochronology of Institute of Forest SB RAS in world dendroclimatology.
This being only 2000 years ago you have to agree, eh?
Note analysis of annual tree rings for daily patterns of growth, with variations from climate and seasonal effects. Effects that would not apply to a 'daily' tree ring based on a very long day cycle.
Effects that are seen in all the tree rings in the Bristlecone Pines, but especially those in the 4,500 year old tree ring.
evo conclusion: it was the same kind of time then as it is now.
simple conclusion: (stamps foot) no, it was totally different.
Now onto daze ...
quote:
... We see the same kind of growth in corals of the past.
Same in that they grew. Yes. Now, what other similarity can you nail down?
Same in that they grew in both daily and annual growth patterns entirely consistent with current growth patterns and a continued cycle of days and years as now. Corals are not the only evidence of both these patterns of growth happening:
NCCOS Research on Fish Otoliths Yields Key Environmental Clues
Thus, like trees' annual concentric growth rings, the number of otolith increments can be used to age fish in days. In addition to the daily patterns in increment deposition, an annual pattern also is evident. Fish and otolith growth is slower at some times of the year than at others (typically slow during winter), leading to daily increments that are closer together. This seasonal pattern in growth results in annual growth rings in otoliths, allowing determinations of the age of the fish in years.
Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth on it's axis)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
Australian Coral Records Research Group, Introduction
Australian Coral Records Research Group, Summary of Presentations
Massive corals can provide high-resolution (annual and sub-annual) proxy climate and environmental records for the world’s shallow-water tropical ocean regions. The tropical regions are poorly represented by other sources of proxy climate records yet they are fundamental to understanding the global climate system and its variations.
Massive corals can provide such information both for the last several centuries (from living corals) and for well-dated windows of the more distant past (from well-preserved dead and fossil corals). Proxy climate and environmental information is stored in coral skeletons as growth characteristics (eg skeletal extension, density and calcification; cf tree rings) and through a wealth of isotopic and geochemical tracers which become incorporated into the skeleton during growth. Examples of information stored in coral skeletons include sea-surface temperatures (SSTs), river flow, rainfall, upwelling, salinity and anthropogenic influences.
Summary of Presentations:
  • There are daily and monthly variations in skeletal growth processes which could distort the timing and magnitude of geochemical signals in corals.
  • Calcification varies geographically (with latitude and in different oceanic settings).
  • Fluorescence records faithfully record the timing and magnitude of runoff from major rivers (Burdekin, Sepik) in wet, tropical catchments. There may be other sources of fluorescence, so this technique could be extended to document other important oceanic processes (eg upwelling).
  • Other coral genera may provide useful information eg massive corals other than Porites, soft corals, and giant clams, such as Tridacna.
  • Using a multi-proxy approach, a suite of climate information could be compiled at various temporal and spatial resolutions.

(Further Research Focus):
Reconstructing the temperature and monsoonal rainfall history of the western Pacific warm pool from the last glacial maximum to the present, and during interglacial periods warmer than present.
Note correlations to climate, annual rings and seasonal patterns within the annual rings.
Australian Coral Records Research Group, Coral banding bibliography
Runcorn, S.K., 1966. Corals as paleontological clocks. Scientific America, 215: 26-33. Banding on certain corals evidently represents annual, monthly and daily growth. Ancient corals thus provide clues to the length of the year in past eras and to changes in the earth's rotation.
Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth)
Months (from lunar cycle, moons orbit)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
and from the same source
Neville, A.C., 1967. Daily growth layers in animals and plants. Biological Reviews, 42: 421-441. Daily growth layers are found in the structural parts of several biological systems. They provide a convenient experimental tool for researchers in several disciplines. ... Coral skeletons contain both annual as well as daily growth layers (Wells, 1963).
Corals only one of "several biological systems" with Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
EFFECT OF TIDES ON EARTH'S ROTATION
{Fixed url. - Adminnemooseus}
A number of natural biological clocks lead us to the conclusion that Earth's spin rate is decreasing. For example, each day a growth mark is deposited on a certain type of coral in the reefs off the Bahamas. These growth marks are similar to the annual rings found in tree trunks, except that in the case of coral, the marks are made daily, in response to the day”night cycle of solar illumination. However, they also show yearly variations as the coral's growth responds to Earth's seasonal changes, allowing us to perceive annual cycles. Coral growing today shows 365 marks per year, but ancient coral shows many more growth deposits per year. Fossilized reefs that are five hundred million years old contain coral with nearly 400 deposits per year of growth.
Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
Nice discussion of tides and the astronomical evidence that correlates with the biological. Of course that is evidence that extends into the 'deep' past, millions of years ago, and we are only concerned with the immediate past -- what we agree on and 100 years before that.
What we see is a complete correlation of seasons and days within an annual cycle that holds solid for the complete record that we agree on. We see annual rings, we see daily rings, we even see evidence of moon cycles and tidal cycles that are consistent with
Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth)
Fortnights (from tidal cycles, 2 max/min cycles per moon orbit)
Months (from lunar cycle, moons orbit)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
evo conclusion: it was the same kind of time then as it is now.
simple conclusion: (stamps foot, pouts) no, it was totally different.
No. You just can't see the error. If you explained it better, I might be able to help. Here is the formula. Trees grew yearly rings (possibly with minimal exceptions due to climate, etc) since 4400 years ago. Any rings more than this grew in the former conditions. This means that we could have had the whole tree in a week, rings and all. See how the dating you used falls by the wayside?
This doesn't explain the correlations of those 4,500 year old tree rings with (a) seasonal patterns of growth, especially during the winter, and (b) radiometric dating from C-14, (c) annual rings from other sources, (d) daily rings within annual rings at 4,500 years ago.
quote:
(2) It demonstrates that these daily rings also occurred during the winter season, which you claim was night and your concept is void of any mechanism to "mimic" different rates of growth in a cyclic pattern during the dark hours.
This is a bit cryptic. I claim that night was winter, you say???? No, I never mentioned any such thing. But we can say the winters were different.
Please try to keep your own concept straight. If one (1) simple day = one (1) evo year then the growth ring relationship is {fast growth period} = simple daytime = evo summer, and {slow growth period} = simple nighttime = evo winter.
This is your concept, after all.
Now explain cyclic growth patterns during the nighttime in a system that needs sunlight to grow.
You could have tried to use the moon to provide such {evo daily} cyclic patterns during the {nighttime=winter}, changing it's orbit to be a 24 hour cycle instead of 29 +/- day cycle, but this doesn't explain the {evo daily} cyclic patterns during the {daytime=summer}, and you can't explain the cyclic patterns that match monthly moon orbits and fortnight tide fluctuations caused by monthly moon orbits.
evo conclusion: it was the same kind of time then as it is now.
simple conclusion: (stamps foot, pouts, jumps on hat) NO. no no no. it was totally different.
Notice something else:
For days to last long enough for a whole years worth of growth, you have to slow down the rotation of the earth in the past, while evidence shows the opposite trend -- rotation was faster in the past, and that this is totally consistent with all astronomical observations of our system.
Slowing days down does not affect the length of the year because that is dependent on the orbit of the earth around the sun, so you could have a day that is the equivalent of 365 +/- evo days and the length of the year would be totally unaffected -- the age in years of the data would still be valid.
A change in the length of a year in this imaginary past would not change the total increments of time that would otherwise go into measuring a year ... if an evo year is
365.24daysx24hoursx60minutesx60seconds = 31,556,736seconds
Then any interval of 31,556,736 seconds would still be measured as a year in evo time regardless of the rotation of the earth and the orbit of the earth about the sun. This is the time measured by any of the radioactive element techniques.
This is the time measured by the C-14 technique for the 4,500 year old tree ring within the still living (when cut down) 'Josua' Tree.
evo conclusion: it was the same kind of time then as it is now.
simple conclusion: (stamps foot, pouts, jumps on hat, plugs ears with fingers, shouts) NO. no no no. NO!!! it was totally different.
Finally, your basic concept -- that at some point in the past {everything} was totally different -- does not mean that only one possibility exists for that previous time. What it means is that every possibility that has ever been thought of and all those that have not yet been though of have an equal possibility. Last-Thursdayism is just as valid as the Norse mythology and any other religion or fantasy. Pick a book on any shelf in the science fiction\fantasy section ... gosh: it really could be!!! it's so simple!!!!
All you have done is swept all the evidence for anything off the table. {Total Denial of Everything} is not a basis for belief or science.
Enjoy.
This message has been edited by Adminnemooseus, 05-06-2006 01:27 PM

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 81 by simple, posted 05-06-2006 2:02 AM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 92 by simple, posted 05-07-2006 12:17 AM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 103 of 130 (309932)
05-07-2006 8:03 AM
Reply to: Message 92 by simple
05-07-2006 12:17 AM


Re: Great Debate?
You now note that variations abounded in the different past as well. More than enough to account for anything you will ever come up with!
I've always pointed out the variations existed rather than identical rings. These correlate with climate -- climate that we know from history and climate that we see from other sources in the geoplogical past.
Variations in the size of annual rings due to climate exactly as we see today. More than sufficient to assume that similar variations are from the same cause and nothing else.
Not sufficient to say WOW sudden change here!!
Tree rings correlate with C-14 and with climate ... correlate with corals annual rings and daily rings and ... etc.
evo conclusion -- the process we see today was what happened in the past.
simple conclusion -- no something {undefined} "else" happened even thought there it no evidence for it.
Remember we are talking about the difference between 4,400 years ago, where you accept the scientific data as fully compatable with your fantasy world, and 4,500 years ago when there is supposed to be some entirely different process.
That curiously does not leave any evidence, nor is there any explanation for how it happened, what happened or why it happened, and which only exists (therefore) in your mind.
Right, we apply the different past to all things. Good point. By the way, how do we know that the universe did not orbit us back then? I am not sure. If the big change started the rotation of the earth, that might provide the mechanism for rapid continental seperation long sought after.
You really have no concept do you? Curiously this effect is also missing from the geological record ...
As I said, your denial of all evidence makes any fantasy ever conceived and every fantasy as yet unconceived possible, with no way of showing that any -- such as last-thursdayism -- are NOT possible (because you deny ALL evidence).
How long did each type of tree take to grow then? You do not know, nor I. I noted as a matter of fact that trees could grow in a week. I didn't say all did. So, where is it you tie in a year with a day? How about an hour? Or a week, maybe in some cases a whole month? There is enough flexibility and variation to explain anything your mind could come up with. Be sure of that.
You claim the tree rings are a product of growth in a day. The amount of growth in the tree would have to be similar to the annual growth or this kind of change would be visible -- it would then be different. There is no such difference in the data, so there has to be a correlation in your {special day} growth to a normal {evo year} growth.
This is your concept. I'm just showing you the logical problems with this concept. I'm sure that your fantasy is flexible and will come up with all kinds of ad hoc extra explanations you can think of.
The former light was not our sunlight. You simply note a present pattern. You cannot link it to the different past.
I sure can link similar behavior to observed conditions, correlate them between different species alive at the same time, show the annual rings and the climate effects on the annual rings are the same across species, and note the daily growth rings of those species that exhibit daily growth rings now, also exhibited daily growth patterns in the past in exactly the same way (including the correct numbers of days).
You cannot 'hand wave' the evidence away without providing another fantasy explanation, or you are just saying 'god-did-it' (to fool you) again.
This is getting too long, I'll cut it here.
Or it is gettiing too dangerous for you to pursue without realizingg the errors in your thinking?
Too close to actually having to deal with facts and the concequences of your concepts?
Science makes hypothesis, based on observations, and then based on the hypothesis it makes predictions of new observations (such as the existence of daily rings in fossil corals), it then looks to see if the evidence corraborates or invalidates the hypothesis.
You make a concept up from whole cloth with no relation to existing evidence and then hide from the evidence when it is provided.
Don't forget, you can always plug your ears, close your eyes and shout LA-LA-LA ... if you don't want to deal with reality.
If the earth never rotated at all, might you need to tweak your astro assumptions a bit? And if it did rotate, would the observations be affected by the different growth rates of the past, and light, and a plethora of other things? Yes. Indeed.
It would have a effect on the amount of sunlight per day, obviously. This is the major problem YOU have with claiming daily rings in place of annual rings: it would affect the daily growth rings of the corals.
It would not affect the total sunlight per year, so the amount of tree growth in a year would be similar enough in total to count for rings, but the pattern would be different -- there would be much less growth during a long night with no daylight (no growth from chlorophyl derived energy without daylight) than during a winter with days and nights (reduced growth due to reduced hours of sunlight per day).
This too is NOT observed in the data.
Changing the earths rate of rotation would not affect the annual orbit of the earth around the sun or in the rest of the solar system -- beyond the observed and measured affect on the moon due to the interaction with the tides ... that other correlation you have yet to explain in your fantasy world, so your answer here is 'god-did-it' (to fool you). So no, just changing the rate of earth's rotation would not affect "a plethora" of other things.
Of course you ALSO need a mechanism for changing the rotational period or your answer here is 'god-did-it' (to fool you).
quote:
simple conclusion: (stamps foot) no, it was totally different.
Excellent. You actually try to deal with the issues. Now, here is the core issue with what you raise here.
I've been dealing with them all along, you are the one failing to participate.
I'm glad that you agree that the core issue is your stamping of your foot and reassertion of your position without any evidence for it in any way in any universe.
What we consistently come down to in your fantasy land is that 'god-did-it' (to fool you).
What we consistently come down to in science is that the evidence corraborates the tree rings 4,500 years ago being annual tree rings just like they were 4,400 years ago.
Enjoy.

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 92 by simple, posted 05-07-2006 12:17 AM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 112 by simple, posted 05-08-2006 1:32 AM RAZD has replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 127 of 130 (310407)
05-08-2006 7:53 PM
Reply to: Message 112 by simple
05-08-2006 1:32 AM


Re: Great Debate?
Variations were a daily thing. Maybe also a weekly thing. If a tree grew in days, then the variations were on a micro scale. Unlike today.
Tree rings correlate with fast growth as well, together with the yearly growth we had after the change.
Tree rings are composed of cells that grow during the period that the ring is formed. Fast growth areas of rings have larger cells than slow growth areas, but slow growth areas still have some growth. Please explain the slow growth areas and what is depriving those cells from growing? At night?
Conclusion is too strong a word. assumption and belief is better.
For your position yes, I agree. I've corrected that here. The word is consistent with usage of conclusions based on observation of evidence that validates a theory. It is not consistent with fantasy.
So far there are plenty of valid conclusions that the time now is indistinguishable from that 4,400 years ago.
And there just as many valid conclusions that the time 4,400 years ago is indistinguishable from that 4,500 years ago.
The fact that you don't have a single valid conclusion doesn't mean that the other side of the argument doesn't.
No, it is not missing anywhere, we were left with things in this state,
With no cause for "this state" to be different from {that state} and no way to organise "this state" from {that state} as if it were seamless and no reason to even consider {that state} ever existed.
The fact it now decays is evidence that it was left in a decaying state.
You still fail to explain how the radioactive material got into the tree rings in exactly the right amounts for each ring to date properly by C-14 dating.
evo conclusion -- the process we see today was what happened in the past.
simple non-conclusion -- no something {undefined} "else" happened even thought there is absolutely no evidence for it.
No, the trees that grew looked a lot the same. The variations as they grew were proportionate to the time frame in which they grew.
So it looked like a year, walked like a year and quacked like a year ... it behaved in a manner that is completely indistinguishable from a year in any way ...
evo conclusion -- it was a year.
simple non-conclusion -- I'll call it something else and pretend there is a difference.
Based on present observations. That is the point, who cares how many hypothesis people make based just on that unless they demonstrate the past had to be the same.
Tell me how observations of evidence that is 4,400 years old differ from observations of evidence that is 4,500 years old?
What you can do is look at trends in the behavior of things like cell growth\size in numerous species and find growth patterns that correlate with annual growth patterns, daily growth patterns, monthly (lunar) growth patterns and even fortnight (tidal) growth patterns.
You can trace these same patterns back through time, correlating them with known historical events (the little ice age, volcanic eruptions, long term climate changes, etc).
You can predict that if you go back another 100 years you will find data that matches the long term trends and that show the same fluctuations about that long term trend that we see from small scale changes in climate, etc. AND you can find that evidence.
What you can do is look at trends in the behavior of things like cell growth\size in numerous species and find growth patterns that correlate with annual growth patterns, daily growth patterns, monthly (lunar) growth patterns and even fortnight (tidal) growth patterns.
You can look at how those daily, monthly and fortnightly patterns differ from annual patterns.
You can predict that if there was a change from annual growth to daily growth that you would see changes in growth patterns from those found in annual rings to those found in daily rings. AND ... you can NOT find that evidence -- you find you still have annual rings and daily rings with different growth patterns.
It doesn't matter how long the day gets or how magic the sunlight gets, these are different growth patterns.
The light was different, and the growth rates were different. Photosynthesis as we know it did not exist. That is because that process involves our present light. The former light and process was different. We cannot base it on the present. How a coral now grows is not applicable.
But it just happened to look exactly like a year, walk like a year and quack like a year ... it behaves in a manner that is completely and entirely indistinguishable from a year in any way ...
evo conclusion -- it was a year.
simple non-conclusion -- I'll call it something else and pretend there is a difference.
I don't know we need to change the rotation. What effect exactly of the tide and moon relates to the deep past?
You really don't have a clue, do you?
On a side note, the atomic structure of an atom would be altered if we were to add an electron, or take one away, or change a charge here or there, or turn a neutron into something else. The whole orbit of the atom would be different. Altering the fundamental state of matter in the universe may have seen changes like this on a bigger scale, changing orbits as well. That's how big a change we are talking here.
You really REALLY don't have an inkling of a clue, do you? Do you know what an ion is?
Did you ever read any of the information on how C-14 is formed?
Do you understand that this is actually going on today in the real world?
Do you understand that it is also a fundamental part of radioactive decay?
Also that it fits a faster growth. If less carbon was in the tree in the past, because say of the light and growth rates, and matter state, etc. great,
Different for each annual ring in every species but in just exactly the right amounts for each ring to date to exactly the same age for the ring to be an annual ring, while still observing evidence of daily, monthly and fortnightly rings within those annual rings for the species that develop them. While still observing the differences between the daily, fortnightly, monthly and yearly rings.
So, once more, it just happened to look just exactly like a year, walk just exactly like a year and quack just exactly like a year ... it just happens to behave in a manner that is exactly and completely and entirely indistinguishable from a year in any way ... especially the year just before magic thursday ...
evo conclusion -- it was a year.
simple non-conclusion -- I'll call it something else and pretend there is a difference. And whenever challenged I'll redefine something else ... (just not thursday)
relative\simple, msg 110 writes:
quote:
Oh, but you are a silly last thursdayist
  —(fallacycop)
Am not. You are.
You've established you are a sillythursdayist, we're just quibbling about which thursday is involved. Let's narrow it down: was it before or after the first thursday in april 4,450 years ago?
... question your beliefs.
I have. Now it's your turn.
Enjoy.

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 112 by simple, posted 05-08-2006 1:32 AM simple has not replied

  
RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 130 of 130 (310874)
05-10-2006 7:54 PM


simple banned again
http://EvC Forum: Suspensions and Bannings Part II -->EvC Forum: Suspensions and Bannings Part II
so not much point in replying to his posts
{Added by Adminnemooseus - Also see message 125 of this topic.}
This message has been edited by Adminnemooseus, 05-11-2006 01:54 PM

  
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