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Author Topic:   Proving God Statistically
:æ: 
Suspended Member (Idle past 7215 days)
Posts: 423
Joined: 07-23-2003


Message 5 of 96 (66341)
11-13-2003 5:32 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by DavidPryor
11-13-2003 5:05 PM


David, all you've done is shot an arrow blindly into the air, painted a target around it where it hit the ground and exclaimed "The odds of hitting a bullseye right there are astronomical!! Therefore God must have guided the arrow!"
Not a real convincing argument.
The fact is that things of seemingly impossible odds happen all the time in reality. If I were to randomly draw 52 cards our of a deck one by one, the resulting series would have the probability of occurring in that order of 1 in 52! (the ! means 'factorial'), or 1/(8 x 10^67). Yet there there sits the series against what you claim to be impossible odds.

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 Message 1 by DavidPryor, posted 11-13-2003 5:05 PM DavidPryor has not replied

  
:æ: 
Suspended Member (Idle past 7215 days)
Posts: 423
Joined: 07-23-2003


Message 7 of 96 (66376)
11-13-2003 7:15 PM
Reply to: Message 6 by crashfrog
11-13-2003 7:05 PM


crashfrog writes:
The odds of drawing number one are 1 in 10, because there's 10 coins. The odds of drawing number two on your second draw is 1 in 9, because there's only nine coins in your pocket.
I almost made this same point, but then I re-read his post and I noticed he included replacement of the coin in his procedure. You would be correct if the coins were not replaced in the pocket.
Not that it makes his argument any more convincing either way.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 6 by crashfrog, posted 11-13-2003 7:05 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
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