Statistics 101

What are the odds of tossing a head on a coin with a head on both sides:Very nearly 1.The fact that is isn't a fair coin is a new piece of information that needs to be taken into account when calculating the odds.If I hold a confirmed lottery ticket matching the winning numbers then the odds that I HAVE won are very nearly 1. I have a new piece of information upon which to recalculate the odds.Before the draw I all I know is that there are 146 million possible outcomes and I only have one random one of those. On that basis I calculate my odds.After the draw there is only ONE possible outcome and I know that I have that on my ticket. Now I calculate my odds again.

That is only true BEFORE the draw.

I'm coming back to re emphasize the odds calculations:BEFORE the draw there are 146M possible outcomes.
AFTER the draw -- for that particular lottery there is exactly ONE possible outcome -- the one drawn. All the other numbers are no longer possible outcomes.

Maybe you don't see but it can be done in a reasonably straight forward manor. Yes and you can calculate the odds of that happening as well.

By my calculations when you have played 100 million times (same number or not) your odds of winning reach close to 50%. If you play the other 46 million times your odds of winning get to be amost 2 out of 3.But you have a bit more than a 1 in 3 chance of still not winning.