Great question,
iceage.
For the good of the order, here's an article on Pascal's Wager:
Pascal’s Wager (Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy)
As the article notes, Pascal gets a lot of credit historically for making his case on pragmatic rather than
a priori grounds. It's a refreshing approach in context. And honest, insofar as Pascal admits up front that he can't logically prove the existence of God.
In practice, though, the wager barters away that gain in honesty by taking for granted the premise of
voluntarism--the idea that belief is an act of will.
I've never seen a compelling case made, or even attempted, for willed belief. People certainly can and do will
ignorance in order to protect cherished beliefs. But the very reason they build this hedge is because they recognize that belief is involuntary. They sense, correctly, that new information could affect their perspective in ways they don't control. The only place they can control this process is at the gate. So they throw the bolt.
As a way of life I'd say the wager isn't honest at all. Any omniscient deity worthy of the description would surely spot the difference between belief and 'belief.' I think people who invoke the wager are either (1) theists who believe on other grounds and use the wager to rationalize that faith, or (2) agnostics.
Can belief be willed? I'd be interested in hearing anyone who assumes this premise make a rational case for it. If it can't, we're left with the fact that Pascal's wager is not about belief. It is a probability discussion.
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Edited by Archer Opterix, : html.
Edited by Archer Opterix, : typo repair.