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Author | Topic: Oh those clever etcetera--What RAZD said | |||||||||||||||||||
PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
I don't agree that this clearly indicates that RAZD was assuming that life started naturally.
Lookign at this setence in particular:
To argue from the existence of life that the "improbability" of it is evidence of miraculous intervention is just a post hoc ergo proctor hoc logical fallacy.
I read this as saying: "if an event occurred we cannot use the improbability of it happening without supernatural intervention to conclude that it had a supernatural cause" If a miracle were ruled out a priori the question of evidence and arguments would not arise. Thus the event in question is the beginning of life, without taking a position on natural versus supernatural causes.r
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
That is your opinion. It is not an opinion I share..
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
Given that you clearly misrepresented the significance of RAZD's probability calculation I'm not about to take your word for it.
Nor am I about to reread 300 posts in the hope of finding something that probably isn't there. If you can point to specific posts - numbers will do - that verify your assertion please do so..
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
quote: Or maybe he DIDN'T mean either. As I pointed out at least some part of it appears to inclusively refer to both. And since there is doubt then I think that we should accept RAZD's own explanation of what he meant:
Not quite. What I said was that, regardless of whether it was improbable or not, we have life on this planet, therefore if it was "1 in a brazilian" it still happened, and if it was done by the hand of god then it still happened, and the calculation of improbability has nothing to do with the reality of existence.
here And since we are referring to the original thread, it should be pointed out that the section Faith chose to quotein the OP does not beg the question.
Math is not evidence for reality. If you have a mathematical model that says something cannot happen when you have evidence around you that it has, the probability is high that the mathematical model is erroneous.
This statement is undoubtedly true, and does not assume that abiogenesis has happened. A
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
quote: But there are two problems in your assertion. First it is not clear that RAZD is referring to natural abiogenesis rather than life. Secondly it states "if there is evidence". Thus you cannot argue that the statement directly begs the question even in context. You would have to argue that the evidence RAZD had in mind begged the question which is getting rather tenuous to say the least. I must also point out that I have already discussed the sentence you chose to bold and pointed out that it makes more sense if RAZD is talking about the origin of life in general, as he later claimed. The fact that RAZD talks only of Life - rather than the means by which life arrived - you also choose to bold - is also consistent with my reading. Surely the fact that the very text you chose to emphasise can be used to argue agaisnt your cliams is evidnece enough that the matter is not clear-cut. I should add that if the context is necessary to understand your assertion you should have included it in your post. Ypu cannot expect others to automatically agree with you when you leave out information that you yourself claim is necessary to understand your assertion. I might also add that you seem to have had no problem in ignoring these statements:
there is no way they can properly model the probability without understanding the process to the point where it would be evident that we knew how life evolved.
This is the primary fallacy of these "calculations" that they presume to know that which they do not know.
there are just too many unknowns involved
I do not see how you can fairly complain that others "ignore" text - text which you did not consider significant enough to quote, and which at most only implies the meaning you infer - when you have ignored explicit statements from the same post.n
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
I mostly agre with this. I would add that on my reading, the missing step is supplied by the assertion that a low probability of a natural occurrence of an event is insufficient to assert a miracle.
Personally I suspect that RAZD's argument is a little confused. I would suggest the following revisions. 1) The raw probability of abiogenesis has little relevance - the more useful number is the probability of abiogenesis given that life exists. 2) At a minimum we would need to be able to compare the probability of abiogenesis with that of any proposed alternatives. Thus even if we had a reliable estimate of the probability of abiogenesis we could not use that as evidence of a creator, without also dealing with the probability of a creator accounting for the origin of life 3) Since both quantities we would like to compare are not objectively knowable and subjective estimates vary wildly it is utterly impossible to construct a sound argument on this basis. Indeed it could be equally well argued that the probability of a creator producing life was - given our current knowledge - lower than that of abiogenesis.i
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
[quote]
But I think the most important point here is that your arguing includes a catch 22
Firstly you argue that
quote: So you claim that we must read RAZD as speaking of abiogenesis, not the origin of life and therefore he is begging the question. But later you say
quote: Where you claim that he is begging the question BECAUSE he is speaking of the origin of life, not abiogenesis. The very reading you rejected as absurd. And while the quotes you ignored are not relevant to this partoicualr question they ARE very elevant to you assertion that RAZD was offering a legitimate calculation of the probability of abiogenesis. They make it VERY clear that RAZD rejected the possiiblity of such a calculation. So while your claim of "question begging" relies on a reading so uncertain that even you can't decide what is meant - surely indicating that there is room for legitimate disagreement - there is no uncertainty about RAZD's view of the legitimacy of the probability calculations he offered. So we see that you accuse others of ignoring the context when in fact they disagree with you on the interpretation and inferences to be drawn form that context. Yet you ignored the context of the probability calculations even though that is absolutely clear and explicit. A certain saying about motes and beams comes to mind..
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
quote: You made a distinction bewtween abiogenesis and in your words "life happening". And the latter should be read as referring to the origin of life - how else could life be said to "happen" in the context of discussing abiogenesis and creation.
quote: Here's the problem. You assumwd a contradiction - one not required by the actual text. Therefore your reading is incorrect and even irrational. If you claim that you are incapable of reading it in any other way you are asserting that you are incapable of reading the post correctly because of our own irrational nature. I'll leave you to decide if that is really what you wanted to say..
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
quote:Both statements are false. The contradiction was assumed. not demonstrated. quote: This is also false. To speak of life "happening" - as you did - surely refers to an event - and thus the origin, not the current existence. THge sdispute between creationism and abiogenesis is over HOW life originated, not whether it had an origin or not. This whole dispute is a fabrication and an evasion.
quote: This is also false. I did not become abusive (indeed I have restraiend myself in all my dealings with you), I did not even criticise you - I simply pointed out the implications of your own statement. I specifically left the question of whether that was meant up to you. You seem to feel free to attack others - one of the purposes of this thread is to belittle people who disagree with you. Yet when a statement is made that you take as critical of you you start whining about abuse. Beleive me, if I wanted to become abusive it would be a lot worse than anything you've seen. And it would be no less than you deserve. But thanks for confirming once agian that "question begging" is just a lie you use to dismiss points you don't want to - or can't deal with.Maybe you've forgotten your past use of this tactic. I assure you that I have not.
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PaulK Member Posts: 17828 Joined: Member Rating: 2.6 |
quote: But the fact is that you "find" these things whether or not they are there. Few of your assertions of "question begging" stand up at all/ Typuically they are completely unfounded. This situation is unusual in that the text CAN be read in a way that would beg the question. That is why the dispute is over whether that reading is correct. The evidence, then, is that if there were a clear case of question begging on the evolutionist side it would be noticed and accepted as such.However it is also clear that creationists will make false and unfounded claims of "question begging" - and in ways that appear like a deliberate attempt to shut down lines of discussion that they do not want to be followed.
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