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Author Topic:   The Right Way to Debunk
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 93 of 148 (441109)
12-16-2007 12:53 PM
Reply to: Message 91 by Kitsune
12-16-2007 12:24 PM


Re: Scientific Methodology is at the Core of Debunking
Those who are convinced that their experience was real are in need of some guidance.
Yes. They need to be guided to the realization that their experiences weren't real.
Religion offers it but damned if science does, the way it is practiced today.
And, yet, religion results in bloodshed and ignorance, and science solves human problems and helps people. I don't think that's just coincidence.
However, because of the potential for erroneous evidence from these sources, all of it is rejected.
It's the "Boy who cried wolf" problem. Anecdotal experience is like a pipe, out of which is flowing evidence; but almost all of it is bad evidence. It's wrong.
So the output of that pipe gets ignored - because there's no way to tell the good evidence from the bad, and most of it is bad. Most of it has been proven to be bad. The only reasonable course is to ignore it all in favor of more reliable pipes - like the pipe of scientific inquiry - out of which flows evidence that is almost always accurate.
There's no way to tell an accurate anecdote from a bad one, except by comparing the anecdotes to more reliable sources and rejecting the one that doesn't fit. There's no such thing as a good anecdote that contradicts the scientific consensus. There can't be. We'd have no way to know whether or not that anecdote was reliable except in terms of how consistent it was with the science.
Surely the methodology of science is good enough to expose hoaxes and delusions, and in the process maybe we could learn some fascinating things.
But it's already done that. That's how we know supernatural experiences aren't real - they've already been debunked. And we did learn some fascinating things. And so would you, if you looked into it with objectivity and a lack of preconceptions except those formed from good evidence.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 91 by Kitsune, posted 12-16-2007 12:24 PM Kitsune has not replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 114 of 148 (441392)
12-17-2007 12:44 PM
Reply to: Message 110 by Kitsune
12-17-2007 4:52 AM


Re: The irony is killing me
There's no such thing as "scientism." That's a weasel word that woo-promoters use to discredit science when it conflicts with their ideology.
The claim that everything is measurable by science and that anything which isn't, i.e. religion and philosophy, is a delusion, is a common one here.
Science can detect anything we can detect with our senses. By definition, anything humans can detect that actually corresponds to external reality is being detected by our senses, because that's what senses do - they detect things in reality.
Thus, experiences of "detection" that are not via the human senses must, therefore, be inventions of the mind - delusions. Sure,y ou'd like to hold out the idea that "there's more than what we can sense", but if we can't sense it, how would we know about it? How would we generate ideas about it that would be anything but guessing, and therefore immediately false?
If there's something "out there", but we can't generate accurate ideas about it, what's the point in holding the door open when nothing good can come through?
And moreover - what makes you think that science doesn't provide a nearly endless supply of "more than we can see"? It seems like science has illuminated a hundred invisible worlds, some as close to us as our skin, and the advantage science has is that those new worlds are really real, not the fancy of religion or philosophy. And we can generate, through science, through our senses, accurate information about those worlds.
Surely generating accurate information is a more noble cause than generating flights of fancy. How on Earth can the mysteries of the universe we know about not be enough for someone? I just can't understand it. Why try to gild the lily? The universe is already vast and weirder than you can imagine. Anything you could make up with your little human mind - be it religion, or God, or spirituality, or the Force, or what have you - must pale by comparison to what's really out there.
Science is the gateway to what's really out there. Your imagination, your gut feelings, can't take you nearly as far - they can't take you anywhere but where you already are.
I've seen estimates that 50% of Americans claim to have had a supernatural or paranormal experience.
Well, one in 4 Americans had a diagnosed mental illness in the past year, and one in four of those had a serious mental illness, like schizophrenia.
Also 50% is about how many Americans question the evolutionary model and promote some kind of creationism, incidentally.
It is not true that all research ever done on the subject has reached negative conclusions.
It is true. There has never been a paranormal experience that has survived rigorous inquiry.
Maybe part of the problem lies in the methodology of the studies.
In almost every study the proponents of the specific woo under inquiry are worked closely with, to ensure that the methodology doesn't interfere with the test. If even the specific proponents of the paranormal signed off on the methodology, what possible objection can you raise?
Do you think they will all back down and say OK, it was just a mistake, or I must be delusional?
A lot of them do, when faced with the evidence. A fair number of them say "oh, I guess I didn't have a paranormal power I could use at any time. I guess it was just wishful thinking."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 110 by Kitsune, posted 12-17-2007 4:52 AM Kitsune has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 115 by Kitsune, posted 12-17-2007 4:20 PM crashfrog has replied

  
crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1497 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 116 of 148 (441439)
12-17-2007 4:26 PM
Reply to: Message 115 by Kitsune
12-17-2007 4:20 PM


Re: The irony is killing me
I'm going on vacation shortly and will be rather busy afterward, so I hesitate to begin a topic where I'll mostly have to drop out for a few weeks; I'd rather wait a little while.
Take your time. My busy holiday stuff starts on Friday so I probably couldn't get back with a reply until January.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 115 by Kitsune, posted 12-17-2007 4:20 PM Kitsune has not replied

  
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