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While acknowleding the various complexities you mention about how heat is transported; we do know from the large temperature gradient that Earth is radiating more energy than it receives.
While this is a reasonable conclusion, do note that it does not actually follow rigorously. The sun is also radiating more energy than it receives, but it has the reverse temperature gradient, at least in the chromosphere and corona. That is, the temperature rises with increasing distance from the center of the sun.