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Author Topic:   Some odds for US soldiers
Rei
Member (Idle past 7043 days)
Posts: 1546
From: Iowa City, IA
Joined: 09-03-2003


Message 1 of 2 (142762)
09-16-2004 2:54 PM


I got bored and did a little math here.
Assuming:
US soldiers have been inside Iraq so far, after rotations: 200,000
Average expected tour for a soldier over the course of the war: 2 years
Assuming in cases where the numbers given were for both Iraq and Afghanistan combined, that 75% were from Iraq (where most of the troops are)
Then, a given soldier has a...:
~4.8% chance of being medically evacuated for direct combat injuries (excludes things like swerving to avoid insurgets and getting in a car accident, situational health hazards, etc)
~8.3% chance of being medically evacuated (all cases)
~2.6% chance of being evacuated due to a mental problem severe enough to warrant evacuation (soldiers are screened for mental health conditions before being sent to combat)
~0.4% chance of coming back psychotic
16% chance of ending up with either major depression, generalized anxiety, or post-traumatic stress disorder
~0.7% chance of coming back dead.
* - I couldn't find the percent of the wounded who had lost limbs, so no statistic on this was included. Also, since stateside suicides aren't reported by the military, I didn't bother with a suicide category (the number that commit suicide in Iraq, which is notably higher than the military's average, is irrelevant without knowing how many killed themselves shortly after they got back home).
References:
Editor and Publisher

"Illuminant light,
illuminate me."

Replies to this message:
 Message 2 by Buzsaw, posted 09-17-2004 12:14 AM Rei has not replied

  
Buzsaw
Inactive Member


Message 2 of 2 (142851)
09-17-2004 12:14 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by Rei
09-16-2004 2:54 PM


Hi Rei. Glad you're back and posting with that nifty eye avitar. (hopefully it'l be set in vigilent motion soon) This's interesting. I've often wondered about these odds for the Iraq soldiers. I wonder how they compare to WWII, Korea and Viet Nam soldier odds.
This message has been edited by buzsaw, 09-16-2004 11:20 PM

The immeasurable present is forever consuming the eternal future and extending the infinite past. buz

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by Rei, posted 09-16-2004 2:54 PM Rei has not replied

  
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