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Author Topic:   The Prophecy of the 70 weeks of Daniel
lyx2no
Member (Idle past 4972 days)
Posts: 1277
From: A vast, undifferentiated plane.
Joined: 02-28-2008


Message 31 of 365 (471022)
06-14-2008 1:09 AM
Reply to: Message 9 by ICANT
06-13-2008 2:00 AM


Wrong Neighborhood
The odds of him guessing the number of days would be in the neighborhood of 10120.
If Danny would have guessed to himself that something is coming in the next thousand years his odds of getting the exact date would only be 1:105.563
Do you have any idea how scientific notation work?

Kindly
There is a spider by the water pipe.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by ICANT, posted 06-13-2008 2:00 AM ICANT has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 32 by starman, posted 06-14-2008 1:28 AM lyx2no has replied

lyx2no
Member (Idle past 4972 days)
Posts: 1277
From: A vast, undifferentiated plane.
Joined: 02-28-2008


Message 33 of 365 (471034)
06-14-2008 2:02 AM
Reply to: Message 32 by starman
06-14-2008 1:28 AM


Re: Through time, and back
If one says X is going to happen within the next 365,242 days ( one thousand years), then the odds of them guessing the exact day is 1:365,242. 365,242 log10 5.563.
But that is not the point. The point is that one should not be deceiving oneself posting impossible odds when one has no understanding of odds or numbers. And one certainly shouldn't be trying to deceive others who do understand them.

Kindly
There is a spider by the water pipe.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 32 by starman, posted 06-14-2008 1:28 AM starman has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 34 by starman, posted 06-14-2008 2:42 AM lyx2no has replied

lyx2no
Member (Idle past 4972 days)
Posts: 1277
From: A vast, undifferentiated plane.
Joined: 02-28-2008


Message 40 of 365 (471085)
06-14-2008 11:14 AM
Reply to: Message 34 by starman
06-14-2008 2:42 AM


Nut-ball Definitions
ICANT writes:
The odds of him [Danny] guessing the number of days [173,880 days exactly] would be in the neighborhood of 10120.
Guessing the number of days is equivalent to guessing the day upon which X will occur, and I gave Danny a “sometime within the next thousand years” gap to drop X into. That is probably over generous. The nut-ball definition for “nigh” is usually less then 20 years.
Why are you arguing for ICANT and not bothering to read what he said?

Kindly
There is a spider by the water pipe.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 34 by starman, posted 06-14-2008 2:42 AM starman has not replied

lyx2no
Member (Idle past 4972 days)
Posts: 1277
From: A vast, undifferentiated plane.
Joined: 02-28-2008


Message 90 of 365 (471576)
06-17-2008 1:41 PM
Reply to: Message 85 by starman
06-17-2008 4:27 AM


What are the Odds?
I do not need any day. Just the year.
Did you read that ICANT. We're down from 1:10120 to 1:103. That's quite a drop.

Kindly
There is a spider by the water pipe.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 85 by starman, posted 06-17-2008 4:27 AM starman has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 92 by ramoss, posted 06-17-2008 2:02 PM lyx2no has not replied

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