Hi forgiven

quote:

brian, the odds of life appearing on earth has been calculated (sorry, i don't have the sources) to be greater than the combined total of all electrons in the universe to 1...

Lets think about the chances of you existing....

For this to happen, one of 100 million, say of your father's sperm fertilised your mother's egg. So thats already a 1 in 10^8 probability.

But thats not the whole story - your parents had to be born first to produce you, each with a probability (as above) of 1 in 10^8.

So total is now 1 in 10^24. Except your grandparents now add 10^32. And your great-grandparents add 10^64. Lets also for good measure take your great great grandparents (10^128).

So in five generations, the chances that your great great great grandparents produced you is: 1 in 10^(8+16+32+64+128) =

**1 in 10^248**. Obviously, the real probability is much less than this - I've only considered five generations. (If we assume a 6000 year earth, we'd have to consider at least 200!

)

Now there's about 10^80 atoms in the universe, so therefore you don't exist.

Can you see what's wrong with this analysis?

PE

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Skeptical scrutiny is the means, in both science and religion, by which deep thoughts can be winnowed from deep nonsense - Carl Sagan