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Author Topic:   Age Correlations, step by step.
simple 
Inactive Member


Message 76 of 130 (309562)
05-06-2006 1:24 AM
Reply to: Message 71 by mark24
05-05-2006 11:02 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
quote:
If you think the "rules" in the past were significantly different to today, then it is incumbent on you to provide evidence for it.
Of course, assuming you had evidence they were the same, not just assumptions! You don't. therefore on your shouldlers lies the burden of proof.
quote:
Physical laws have not been observed to change since we have been looking,..
Here we agree. But let's face it that wasn't long!
quote:
In fact, evidence abounds that they have not. ..
None so far presented. None will ever be presented, the emperor has no clothes. Get it?
quote:
Instead we see multiple lines of corroborating independent evidence reliant on independent phenomena for their existence.
But the evidence swings both ways. I can wow over it my way as well, and it all comes up young earth. For example, tree rings. Trees grew in days in the past. The trees had rings. What says they were yearly save present based linkage? Nothing. Zilch. Zippo. Nyada.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 71 by mark24, posted 05-05-2006 11:02 AM mark24 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 85 by mark24, posted 05-06-2006 4:10 AM simple has replied

  
simple 
Inactive Member


Message 77 of 130 (309564)
05-06-2006 1:29 AM
Reply to: Message 66 by ikabod
05-05-2006 5:50 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
quote:
Well, if you can't have any idea how they worked, how can you also have an idea how they worked? Either we do or don't.
Some of us do. Science can't. If we stick to science we leave it unknown, and in the dark.
quote:
sorry but you seem to want your cake and to be able to eat it ...
I can do that, because I do not depend on science when it comes to exploring beyond the fishbowl.

This message is a reply to:
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simple 
Inactive Member


Message 78 of 130 (309565)
05-06-2006 1:30 AM
Reply to: Message 67 by iano
05-05-2006 5:51 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
I got their number.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 67 by iano, posted 05-05-2006 5:51 AM iano has not replied

  
simple 
Inactive Member


Message 79 of 130 (309567)
05-06-2006 1:36 AM
Reply to: Message 68 by JonF
05-05-2006 7:42 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
quote:
There is no difference between our observations of the recent past and the deep past. All observations are indirect measures of the effects of past events.
That's what you think. Why? Because you base all deep past stuff on present observations, which is the point here. Thanks for proving it.
quote:
Noether's theorem, which establishes that "the laws of physics were the same in the past" is the same as "energy is conserved". You are, therefore, arguing that energy is not conserved . yet we have never detected a case in which energy is nto conserved.
Of course you haven't. You live in the fishbowl of the physical universe. That is how it works. We know this. Now, how did it work, and how will it work?
quote:
I suspect that your casual dismissal of all evidence as unsubstiated, and your refusal to present evidence for your claims after repoeated requests, will arouose the moderator's wrath.
I dismiss NO evidence, I accept it all, save your wet dreams of some non existant past that you cannot evidence, whether the mods dig it or not.

This message is a reply to:
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simple 
Inactive Member


Message 80 of 130 (309568)
05-06-2006 1:37 AM
Reply to: Message 69 by JonF
05-05-2006 7:44 AM


Re: universal constants
quote:
Frantic hand-waving is not suitable "defense" of your claims.
Amen. Now stop doing that irratating thing, and get down, and support your wacked out past claims. Our patience is limited.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 69 by JonF, posted 05-05-2006 7:44 AM JonF has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 86 by JonF, posted 05-06-2006 8:16 AM simple has replied

  
simple 
Inactive Member


Message 81 of 130 (309572)
05-06-2006 2:02 AM
Reply to: Message 70 by RAZD
05-05-2006 7:52 AM


Re: Great Debate?
quote:
What the heck is a weekly ring?
You obviously have different growth rates during daylight hours than during nightime hours, and this shows up in the corals as daily rings -- this is, after all, your excuse for annual tree rings being days instead of years.
You also have more growth per day during summer days than during winter days, so the areas of summer days are wider than the areas of winter days, and this shows up in the corals (and trees etc) as annual rings.
We now have these things, of course. So? Try and focus here, we are talking about the deep deep past.
quote:
We observe the pattern of growth in the corals today, observing both the daily and the annual growth patterns. We see the same kind of growth in corals of the past.
Same in that they grew. Yes. Now, what other similarity can you nail down?
quote:
1) It demonstrates that days AND years were involved at the time of the coral rings being made, just as they are today by the same kinds of corals, and your concept has yet to propose a mechanism that "mimics" this daily growth cycle.
No, it demonstrates they grew. If we look at the differnces in the two states, former and latter, the rest is easy.
quote:
(2) It demonstrates that these daily rings also occurred during the winter season, which you claim was night and your concept is void of any mechanism to "mimic" different rates of growth in a cyclic pattern during the dark hours.
This is a bit cryptic. I claim that night was winter, you say???? No, I never mentioned any such thing. But we can say the winters were different.
quote:
C14 is made by radioactive process, without radioactive process to make it, it does not exist.
Not now, no. C14 is a naturally radioactive carbon isotope. What was it before it was radioactive? It was something else, not decaying. You simply look at it's present state, which is decay, and radioactive, and ASSUME it always was so. NO. no no no.
quote:
There is no "error" in the dating curve -- it keeps producing dates that agree with the tree rings.
No, only with the old ages take on things. The rings themselves directly, only go back what, less than 5000 years, if we pretend each ring was a year?
quote:
For your concept to work the has to be an error that isn't there -- and that is why you are wrong.
No. You just can't see the error. If you explained it better, I might be able to help. Here is the formula. Trees grew yearly rings (possibly with minimal exceptions due to climate, etc) since 4400 years ago. Any rings more than this grew in the former conditions. This means that we could have had the whole tree in a week, rings and all. See how the dating you used falls by the wayside?
Now, beyond 4400 years, what is your exact point, if you have any, say, with the Joshua tree?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 70 by RAZD, posted 05-05-2006 7:52 AM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 87 by RAZD, posted 05-06-2006 11:39 AM simple has replied

  
simple 
Inactive Member


Message 82 of 130 (309573)
05-06-2006 2:06 AM
Reply to: Message 72 by DrFrost
05-05-2006 2:01 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
quote:
BUT, there is evidence that some of the values we consider "constant" have changed over time.
http://www.sciam.com/article.cfm?...
{Shortened display form of URL. - Adminnemooseus}
Ha. That is a good one.
This message has been edited by Adminnemooseus, 05-06-2006 01:13 PM

This message is a reply to:
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simple 
Inactive Member


Message 83 of 130 (309574)
05-06-2006 2:11 AM
Reply to: Message 73 by JonF
05-05-2006 6:06 PM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
quote:
Laws of physics" and "values we consider constant" are often not the same thing. FWIW, the jury is still out on those alleged changes in alpha, but the latest WMAP measurements indicate pretty strongly that alpha has not changed.
Since when? That is the question. --Since the universe, this temporary physical universe we know, came to be. 4400 years ago.
quote:
Science doesn't deal in proof, it deals with the preponderance of evidence.
Interpreted in the old age filter.

This message is a reply to:
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lfen
Member (Idle past 4698 days)
Posts: 2189
From: Oregon
Joined: 06-24-2004


Message 84 of 130 (309580)
05-06-2006 3:18 AM
Reply to: Message 61 by simple
05-05-2006 3:50 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
I am not a silly last thursdayist.
Okay, but then how can your position of these difference in the laws of science be falsified?
lfen

This message is a reply to:
 Message 61 by simple, posted 05-05-2006 3:50 AM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 88 by simple, posted 05-06-2006 11:44 PM lfen has replied

  
mark24
Member (Idle past 5216 days)
Posts: 3857
From: UK
Joined: 12-01-2001


Message 85 of 130 (309583)
05-06-2006 4:10 AM
Reply to: Message 76 by simple
05-06-2006 1:24 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
relative,
Of course, assuming you had evidence they were the same, not just assumptions! You don't. therefore on your shouldlers lies the burden of proof.
You can count ice layers back to major eruptions that can be dated radiometrically. It's a fact, not an assumption. There is also both ice core & dendrochronological evidence of climate change. Even seabed cores tell the same story. Why do different lines of evidence agree?
In fact, evidence abounds that they have not. ..
None so far presented. None will ever be presented, the emperor has no clothes. Get it?
I did present it. READ my last post.
But the evidence swings both ways. I can wow over it my way as well, and it all comes up young earth. For example, tree rings. Trees grew in days in the past. The trees had rings. What says they were yearly save present based linkage? Nothing. Zilch. Zippo. Nyada.
What evidence do you have that tree rings were daily rather than annual in the past?
What evidence do you have at all that physical laws differed in the past? What evidence do you have at all that the earth is 6,000 years old?
I'm not a silly last thursdayist
But you can't know that you even existed on last wednesday without evidence that the world wasn't created as-is, with everyone having "memories" & the earth having the appearance of age. So if you think earth age determinations are moot without first proving that physical laws are constants, in order to accept Jesus existing 2,000 years ago, you have to show you weren't created this week. Otherwise you are just making assumptions.
You can't logically accept the biblical account without first proving last-thursdayism wrong. Well, not without exposing yourself as a hypocrite, anyway.
Of course, if the burden of proof is on us to show law constancy. Then the burden of proof is on you to show last thursdayism is false.
Mark
This message has been edited by mark24, 05-06-2006 04:18 AM

There are 10 kinds of people in this world; those that understand binary, & those that don't

This message is a reply to:
 Message 76 by simple, posted 05-06-2006 1:24 AM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 89 by simple, posted 05-06-2006 11:55 PM mark24 has replied

  
JonF
Member (Idle past 189 days)
Posts: 6174
Joined: 06-23-2003


Message 86 of 130 (309590)
05-06-2006 8:16 AM
Reply to: Message 80 by simple
05-06-2006 1:37 AM


Re: universal constants
Frantic hand-waving is not suitable "defense" of your claims.
Amen. Now stop doing that irratating thing, and get down, and support your wacked out past claims. Our patience is limited.
Ball's in your court, son. We've provided support for our claims, and you've made feeble attempts to hand-wave that suppat away. In science we deal with evidence; we're waiting for your evidence for your claims.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 80 by simple, posted 05-06-2006 1:37 AM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 87 of 130 (309642)
05-06-2006 11:39 AM
Reply to: Message 81 by simple
05-06-2006 2:02 AM


Re: Great Debate?
Try and focus here, we are talking about the deep deep past.
Actually we are talking about the very shallow immediate past, up to 8,000 years ago.
You concede dating up to 4,400 +/- years ago is valid as a totally linear process back to that point.
So we will talk about 4,500 years ago.
Tree rings same as at 4,400 years ago, in the same tree no less. Same kind of limited growth during winter months as now, same kind of increased growth during summer months as now.
Temperature variations for the last 2000 years by tree-ring chronologies from Polar and Upper Mountain tree line in Siberia
Research plan: approaches and methods
The investigation methods include a set of experimental measurements, traditional for dendrochronology and dendroclimatology and widely used in world chief laboratories, and statistical approaches (site selection and material collection, annual tree-ring characteristics measurements by automatic devices and in densitometrical laboratory, cross-dating procedure, standardization of raw measurements and climatic signal discharge, estimation of climatic functions, creation of simple and multiple regression models of leading climatic factors reconstruction, spectral analysis of long-term temporal chronologies etc.) as well as worked out unique methods of annual tree-ring measurements and computer programs of raw data processing (automatic systems usage and systems for image analysis to measure cell structure of annual tree-rings, usage of simulation models of annual tree-ring formation by daily temperature, moisture and solar radiation changes, statistical multiple methods to reconstruct intraseasonal variability of climatic factors inferred from characteristics of annual tree-ring structure etc.) (Fig. 3). The latter are not only pioneer but also define priorities of Laboratory of Dendrochronology of Institute of Forest SB RAS in world dendroclimatology.
This being only 2000 years ago you have to agree, eh?
Note analysis of annual tree rings for daily patterns of growth, with variations from climate and seasonal effects. Effects that would not apply to a 'daily' tree ring based on a very long day cycle.
Effects that are seen in all the tree rings in the Bristlecone Pines, but especially those in the 4,500 year old tree ring.
evo conclusion: it was the same kind of time then as it is now.
simple conclusion: (stamps foot) no, it was totally different.
Now onto daze ...
quote:
... We see the same kind of growth in corals of the past.
Same in that they grew. Yes. Now, what other similarity can you nail down?
Same in that they grew in both daily and annual growth patterns entirely consistent with current growth patterns and a continued cycle of days and years as now. Corals are not the only evidence of both these patterns of growth happening:
NCCOS Research on Fish Otoliths Yields Key Environmental Clues
Thus, like trees' annual concentric growth rings, the number of otolith increments can be used to age fish in days. In addition to the daily patterns in increment deposition, an annual pattern also is evident. Fish and otolith growth is slower at some times of the year than at others (typically slow during winter), leading to daily increments that are closer together. This seasonal pattern in growth results in annual growth rings in otoliths, allowing determinations of the age of the fish in years.
Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth on it's axis)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
Australian Coral Records Research Group, Introduction
Australian Coral Records Research Group, Summary of Presentations
Massive corals can provide high-resolution (annual and sub-annual) proxy climate and environmental records for the world’s shallow-water tropical ocean regions. The tropical regions are poorly represented by other sources of proxy climate records yet they are fundamental to understanding the global climate system and its variations.
Massive corals can provide such information both for the last several centuries (from living corals) and for well-dated windows of the more distant past (from well-preserved dead and fossil corals). Proxy climate and environmental information is stored in coral skeletons as growth characteristics (eg skeletal extension, density and calcification; cf tree rings) and through a wealth of isotopic and geochemical tracers which become incorporated into the skeleton during growth. Examples of information stored in coral skeletons include sea-surface temperatures (SSTs), river flow, rainfall, upwelling, salinity and anthropogenic influences.
Summary of Presentations:
  • There are daily and monthly variations in skeletal growth processes which could distort the timing and magnitude of geochemical signals in corals.
  • Calcification varies geographically (with latitude and in different oceanic settings).
  • Fluorescence records faithfully record the timing and magnitude of runoff from major rivers (Burdekin, Sepik) in wet, tropical catchments. There may be other sources of fluorescence, so this technique could be extended to document other important oceanic processes (eg upwelling).
  • Other coral genera may provide useful information eg massive corals other than Porites, soft corals, and giant clams, such as Tridacna.
  • Using a multi-proxy approach, a suite of climate information could be compiled at various temporal and spatial resolutions.

(Further Research Focus):
Reconstructing the temperature and monsoonal rainfall history of the western Pacific warm pool from the last glacial maximum to the present, and during interglacial periods warmer than present.
Note correlations to climate, annual rings and seasonal patterns within the annual rings.
Australian Coral Records Research Group, Coral banding bibliography
Runcorn, S.K., 1966. Corals as paleontological clocks. Scientific America, 215: 26-33. Banding on certain corals evidently represents annual, monthly and daily growth. Ancient corals thus provide clues to the length of the year in past eras and to changes in the earth's rotation.
Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth)
Months (from lunar cycle, moons orbit)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
and from the same source
Neville, A.C., 1967. Daily growth layers in animals and plants. Biological Reviews, 42: 421-441. Daily growth layers are found in the structural parts of several biological systems. They provide a convenient experimental tool for researchers in several disciplines. ... Coral skeletons contain both annual as well as daily growth layers (Wells, 1963).
Corals only one of "several biological systems" with Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
EFFECT OF TIDES ON EARTH'S ROTATION
{Fixed url. - Adminnemooseus}
A number of natural biological clocks lead us to the conclusion that Earth's spin rate is decreasing. For example, each day a growth mark is deposited on a certain type of coral in the reefs off the Bahamas. These growth marks are similar to the annual rings found in tree trunks, except that in the case of coral, the marks are made daily, in response to the day”night cycle of solar illumination. However, they also show yearly variations as the coral's growth responds to Earth's seasonal changes, allowing us to perceive annual cycles. Coral growing today shows 365 marks per year, but ancient coral shows many more growth deposits per year. Fossilized reefs that are five hundred million years old contain coral with nearly 400 deposits per year of growth.
Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
Nice discussion of tides and the astronomical evidence that correlates with the biological. Of course that is evidence that extends into the 'deep' past, millions of years ago, and we are only concerned with the immediate past -- what we agree on and 100 years before that.
What we see is a complete correlation of seasons and days within an annual cycle that holds solid for the complete record that we agree on. We see annual rings, we see daily rings, we even see evidence of moon cycles and tidal cycles that are consistent with
Observed Growth Patterns from:
Days (from rotation of the earth)
Fortnights (from tidal cycles, 2 max/min cycles per moon orbit)
Months (from lunar cycle, moons orbit)
Years (from orbit of earth about the sun)
evo conclusion: it was the same kind of time then as it is now.
simple conclusion: (stamps foot, pouts) no, it was totally different.
No. You just can't see the error. If you explained it better, I might be able to help. Here is the formula. Trees grew yearly rings (possibly with minimal exceptions due to climate, etc) since 4400 years ago. Any rings more than this grew in the former conditions. This means that we could have had the whole tree in a week, rings and all. See how the dating you used falls by the wayside?
This doesn't explain the correlations of those 4,500 year old tree rings with (a) seasonal patterns of growth, especially during the winter, and (b) radiometric dating from C-14, (c) annual rings from other sources, (d) daily rings within annual rings at 4,500 years ago.
quote:
(2) It demonstrates that these daily rings also occurred during the winter season, which you claim was night and your concept is void of any mechanism to "mimic" different rates of growth in a cyclic pattern during the dark hours.
This is a bit cryptic. I claim that night was winter, you say???? No, I never mentioned any such thing. But we can say the winters were different.
Please try to keep your own concept straight. If one (1) simple day = one (1) evo year then the growth ring relationship is {fast growth period} = simple daytime = evo summer, and {slow growth period} = simple nighttime = evo winter.
This is your concept, after all.
Now explain cyclic growth patterns during the nighttime in a system that needs sunlight to grow.
You could have tried to use the moon to provide such {evo daily} cyclic patterns during the {nighttime=winter}, changing it's orbit to be a 24 hour cycle instead of 29 +/- day cycle, but this doesn't explain the {evo daily} cyclic patterns during the {daytime=summer}, and you can't explain the cyclic patterns that match monthly moon orbits and fortnight tide fluctuations caused by monthly moon orbits.
evo conclusion: it was the same kind of time then as it is now.
simple conclusion: (stamps foot, pouts, jumps on hat) NO. no no no. it was totally different.
Notice something else:
For days to last long enough for a whole years worth of growth, you have to slow down the rotation of the earth in the past, while evidence shows the opposite trend -- rotation was faster in the past, and that this is totally consistent with all astronomical observations of our system.
Slowing days down does not affect the length of the year because that is dependent on the orbit of the earth around the sun, so you could have a day that is the equivalent of 365 +/- evo days and the length of the year would be totally unaffected -- the age in years of the data would still be valid.
A change in the length of a year in this imaginary past would not change the total increments of time that would otherwise go into measuring a year ... if an evo year is
365.24daysx24hoursx60minutesx60seconds = 31,556,736seconds
Then any interval of 31,556,736 seconds would still be measured as a year in evo time regardless of the rotation of the earth and the orbit of the earth about the sun. This is the time measured by any of the radioactive element techniques.
This is the time measured by the C-14 technique for the 4,500 year old tree ring within the still living (when cut down) 'Josua' Tree.
evo conclusion: it was the same kind of time then as it is now.
simple conclusion: (stamps foot, pouts, jumps on hat, plugs ears with fingers, shouts) NO. no no no. NO!!! it was totally different.
Finally, your basic concept -- that at some point in the past {everything} was totally different -- does not mean that only one possibility exists for that previous time. What it means is that every possibility that has ever been thought of and all those that have not yet been though of have an equal possibility. Last-Thursdayism is just as valid as the Norse mythology and any other religion or fantasy. Pick a book on any shelf in the science fiction\fantasy section ... gosh: it really could be!!! it's so simple!!!!
All you have done is swept all the evidence for anything off the table. {Total Denial of Everything} is not a basis for belief or science.
Enjoy.
This message has been edited by Adminnemooseus, 05-06-2006 01:27 PM

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 81 by simple, posted 05-06-2006 2:02 AM simple has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 92 by simple, posted 05-07-2006 12:17 AM RAZD has replied

  
simple 
Inactive Member


Message 88 of 130 (309879)
05-06-2006 11:44 PM
Reply to: Message 84 by lfen
05-06-2006 3:18 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
More importantly, how can your position that the past and future will be in the current state be falsified?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 84 by lfen, posted 05-06-2006 3:18 AM lfen has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 91 by lfen, posted 05-07-2006 12:06 AM simple has replied
 Message 107 by happy_atheist, posted 05-07-2006 5:55 PM simple has replied

  
simple 
Inactive Member


Message 89 of 130 (309882)
05-06-2006 11:55 PM
Reply to: Message 85 by mark24
05-06-2006 4:10 AM


Re: Another Correlation problem.
quote:
You can count ice layers back to major eruptions that can be dated radiometrically. It's a fact, not an assumption. There is also both ice core & dendrochronological evidence of climate change. Even seabed cores tell the same story. Why do different lines of evidence agree?
If you mean beyond 4400 years, all things also agree with the different past young earth dates, why? Can you explain this?
quote:
I did present it. READ my last post.
Reread it, and try to comprehend where you assume assume assume. Then try to look at what the evidence really actually is, and how your colored interpretation is not the only one.
quote:
What evidence do you have that tree rings were daily rather than annual in the past?
What evidence do you have they worked the same? None.
quote:
What evidence do you have at all that physical laws differed in the past? What evidence do you have at all that the earth is 6,000 years old?
NO evidence the laws were the same. No scientific evidence either way. That is what counts. That is the Achilles heel of old age belief.
quote:
So if you think earth age determinations are moot without first proving that physical laws are constants, in order to accept Jesus existing 2,000 years ago, you have to show you weren't created this week. Otherwise you are just making assumptions.
No, proof beyond reasonable doubt is readily available we were here more than a week. The reason deep age determinations are moot is because they go beyond reason, evidence, observations, testings, documentation, witnesses, etc. They rest on the limb of pure assumption.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 85 by mark24, posted 05-06-2006 4:10 AM mark24 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 104 by mark24, posted 05-07-2006 11:14 AM simple has replied

  
simple 
Inactive Member


Message 90 of 130 (309883)
05-06-2006 11:57 PM
Reply to: Message 86 by JonF
05-06-2006 8:16 AM


Re: universal constants
You deal in evidence, that is good news. Move beyond the assumptions of a past that was the same and into evidence it was. (Not in a group of other assumptions it was the same but actual evidence)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 86 by JonF, posted 05-06-2006 8:16 AM JonF has not replied

  
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