Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 63 (9162 total)
6 online now:
Newest Member: popoi
Post Volume: Total: 916,353 Year: 3,610/9,624 Month: 481/974 Week: 94/276 Day: 22/23 Hour: 0/1


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   The best scientific method (Bayesian form of H-D)
Stephen ben Yeshua
Inactive Member


Message 211 of 273 (83845)
02-06-2004 8:23 AM
Reply to: Message 182 by nator
01-30-2004 9:47 PM


Re: Curing Delusion
S.
You say, about science,
Science doesn't deal with God because it isn't set up to deal with anything supernatural.
H-D science has no limitations regarding spiritual matters, and is often applied to deal with them. God, meaning the God, Jehovah, clearly states of Himself that He can be proved scientifically. "prove Me now in this." If He is out there, science can deal with Him. If He is not, the test He provides will "prove" or test the point. So, this statement is wrong.
Science does not deny or confim the supernatural; science ignores the supernatural.
The Journal of Scientific Exploration is full of scientific articles pertaining to the supernatural. Dossey reviews hundreds of such studies. This statement is also wrong.
Science deals with naturalistic explanations for naturalistic phenomena.
True, but it also deals with what cannot be explained, such as quantum mechanics.
About scientists who care nothing for human suffering, only their own egos:
Consider the scientists 150 years ago who ignored the women dying of childbirth fever, so they could keep their professional smell acquired doing autopsies and wouldn't have to wash away the germs they were carrying. They did not concern themselves with human suffering. Today, we have better evidence for the effectiveness of prayer than Semmelweis was able to provide for handwashing. And, like handwashing, it is such an easy thing to pray, to do prayer experiments, and prayer has such a potentially powerful cure for so much human suffering. But scientists today, like the ones who ignored Semmelweis' early studies on hand washing, don't care that they might be able to lower the damage that potential demons are doing to people. They don't want to pray, think it will make them ridiculous before their peers, and don't care who might be helped by prayer. Instead, they concern themselves for their opinions and self-righeousness, do all they can to pick holes in the efforts of others to show that prayer can do some, maybe a lot, of good, and do their best to stay ignorant of ways that prayer has been shown to help.
Stephen

This message is a reply to:
 Message 182 by nator, posted 01-30-2004 9:47 PM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 219 by nator, posted 02-07-2004 9:25 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied

  
Stephen ben Yeshua
Inactive Member


Message 212 of 273 (83850)
02-06-2004 8:28 AM
Reply to: Message 206 by nator
02-05-2004 6:16 PM


Re: Curing Delusion
S.
How arrogant of you.
Arrogance is thinking you know more and better than Yeshua or Jesus. It is looking over the human race, 80-90% of which believes in God, that demons exist, that prayer is essential to life, and ignoring the scientific evidence that confirms these beliefs, deciding that you know better, that what makes sense to you is more likely to be right, and doing what you think is right in your own mind is better. That's arrogance.
At least you don't like arrogance.
Stephen

This message is a reply to:
 Message 206 by nator, posted 02-05-2004 6:16 PM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 220 by nator, posted 02-07-2004 9:59 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied
 Message 221 by Percy, posted 02-07-2004 10:31 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has not replied

  
Admin
Director
Posts: 13014
From: EvC Forum
Joined: 06-14-2002
Member Rating: 1.9


Message 213 of 273 (83915)
02-06-2004 11:41 AM
Reply to: Message 209 by Stephen ben Yeshua
02-06-2004 7:53 AM


Re: It Doesn't Get Any Clearer Than This
Hi, Stephen!
First things first:
Stephen ben Yehsua writes:
If you want me to go away, Percy, just say so...It's your forum.
We don't work that way here. However, some people find they are unable to conform to the guidelines. This is a community, with a set of community standards. Surely you recognize the unfairness if everyone but you is held to one standard, the Forum Guidelines, while you follow your own muse. You agreed to abide by the guidelines when you joined, and it is assumed you will live up to your word.
An example of your guideline violations is your repeated assertion that Loehr's prayer experiments with plants are scientific. It has been pointed out a number of times that Loehr's experiments were never published in any peer-reviewed science journal. You dispute this, yet are unable to provide any citation (while denigrating peer-reviewed journals in general), and your original mention of Loehr mentioned only his book The Secret Life of Plants. A search of net reveals only this book - had there been an actual scientific research article by Loehr in a peer-reviewed journal that revealed the efficacy of prayer on plants, that fact would be trumpeted at Creationist and Christian sites everywhere. That no site mentions it or knows of it is strong indication that no such paper exists.
Until you have support for your belief that Loehr's prayer studies were published in a scientific journal, continued repeating of this assertion violates forum guideline rule 2:
  1. Debate in good faith by addressing rebuttals through the introduction of new information or by providing additional argument. Do not merely keep repeating the same points without elaboration.
You must either move the debate forward by finding the missing evidence of this scientific paper by Loehr, or stop making the assertion, else you're in violation of forum guidelines, and I'll be forced to take administrative action.
This of course applies to all your other positions. Either move the debate forward by supporting your statements with new information or argument, but do not keep repeating the same assertions or arguments that you've already offered
Clear?
On to another issue. One problem we have faced a couple times in the past, though not recently, is when someone with a unique and controversial viewpoint begins making it the subject of every thread in which they participate. This is beginning to happen here, and so we're going to do some thread pruning. All discussion on your version of HD science is to be confined here. The other HD thread will be closed. Your version of HD science is not to be mentioned outside this thread. If and when you persuade others here of the validity of your approach, only then can it be used in support of your arguments in other threads.
Clear?
Please indicate your agreement by a reply to this message. Thanks!

--Percy
EvC Forum Administrator

This message is a reply to:
 Message 209 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-06-2004 7:53 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 223 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-08-2004 10:46 AM Admin has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22473
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 214 of 273 (83926)
02-06-2004 11:54 AM
Reply to: Message 209 by Stephen ben Yeshua
02-06-2004 7:53 AM


Stephen's Scientific Errors
Before I reply to the substance of this message (which I'll do in a separate message), I posted a message very relevant to your application of your Bayesian version of H-D in another thread (Message 75 of the designing a convincing prayer experiment thread), but you never answered. Here is the main part of that message again:
Your arguments tend to have at least one flaw. Here I enumerate your arguments and identify the flaws:
  1. Confirmed prayer studies imply demons
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection has been established for demons as the instruments of the positive results, and you haven't proposed a scientifically valid deductive connection.
  2. The prayer studies used anti-demonic prayers.
    Flaw: Error of fact. None of the prayer studies cited here have described what prayers were used.
  3. The Lord's prayer is an anti-demonic prayer.
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection has been established for the effectiveness of different prayers for various purposes, including getting rid of demons, and you haven't proposed a scientifically valid connection.
  4. Demons exist.
    Flaw: Circular reasoning. Many of your claims, like those above, assume the existence of demons before you've produced any evidence supporting their existence.
  5. Bible code studies confirm the validity of the Bible.
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection between word patterns in texts and the text's validity has been scientifically established, and you haven't proposed a scientifically valid connection.
  6. Bible code studies are valid.
    Flaw: Error of fact. Bible code studies have been demonstrated to be worthless. There are many debunking sites on the web (eg, Bible Codes Refutation).
  7. NDEs (Near Death Experiences) confirm the validity of the Bible
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection has been scientifically established, and you haven't proposed a scientifically valid connection.
  8. NDEs have been subjected to studies testing the "orthodox theology hypothesis" (a term apparently of your own invention - a Google search brings up only a single result, a post by you here at EvC Forum)
    Flaw: Error of fact. No scientifically valid studies of this nature have been conducted.
  9. Theomatics confirms the validity of the Bible.
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection has been scientifically established, and you haven't proposed a scientifically valid connection.
  10. The Bible confirms itself (specifically, you say, "As to the falsification of the Bible, it declares of itself that the 'tests' you refer to prove nothing.")
    Flaw: Circular reasoning. The Bible's declarations about its own qualities, such as that it contains the Word of God, are not valid evidence that it actually possesses those qualities. You need independent and scientifically valid confirmation.
  11. The Bible is never wrong because it says it can be wrong (specifically, you say, "An alternative hypothesis about the Bible, that it is literally true in every statement has been disproven, but the Bible declares of itself that that is not true. 'It's the glory of God to conceal a matter.' Prophecy is 'dark sayings.' As written, every test of the scriptures that I know of have been confirmed when tested."
    Flaw: Non sequitur. You're in essence saying that the Bible is right even when it's wrong.
  12. There is a scientific controversy concerning demons (switching now to Message 153 in the History's Greatest Holocaust Via Atheistic Ideology thread).
    Flaw: Error of fact. There is no evidence of this controversy in any scientific literature.
  13. Scientists have been wrong in the past, and this is evidence that they are wrong about demons.
    Flaw: Error of fact *and* leap of logic. First, scientists have taken no position on the existence or non-existence of demons because there is no evidence for the phenomena. Second, even if scientists *had* taken a position that there is no such thing as demons, the likelihood that they are wrong is a function of the evidence and not of past episodes of scientific error.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 209 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-06-2004 7:53 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 224 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-08-2004 12:03 PM Percy has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22473
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 215 of 273 (83949)
02-06-2004 2:12 PM
Reply to: Message 209 by Stephen ben Yeshua
02-06-2004 7:53 AM


More Misrepresentations from Stephen
Stephen ben Yeshua writes:
Percy writes:
None of this stuff has ever made it into peer-reviewed journals,...
You are perhaps unaware of the Journal for Scientific Exploration.
Uh, perhaps, like almost everyone, I'm unaware of most of the thousands of journals out there?
Of course, you neglected to quote enough of what I said to provide context:
Percy writes:
First, I don't think Franklin Loehr, founder of the Religious Research Foundation, ever worked as a real scientist. He was always looking into things like past lives, out-of-body experiences, near death experiences, and so forth. None of this stuff has ever made it into peer-reviewed journals,...
Gee, what do you know, I was talking about the work of Franklin Loehr. Who would ever have guessed based on your quote?
So, Stephen, are you claiming that Franklin Loehr's work was published in the Journal for Scientific Exploration? If so, please provide a citation of this paper which no one else seems to be aware of.
Of course, you won't be able to provide a citation, because it doesn't exist. You're just making more misrepresentations.
And, as expected, the Journal for Scientific Exploration is a journal of pseudoscience. Here are some examples of papers from this journal. Feel free to cite all those many, many papers that have actually contributed to legitimate science:
Moving on:
Much that I have cited as evidence has appeared in peer-reviewed journals.
You're just making it up as you go along again. Nothing you have cited has ever appeared in a peer-reviewed journal (Witztum wrote such a paper, but Gil cited that, not you). That's because neither you nor the people whose work you accept are part of the scientific community. You're all out there on the pseudo-scientific fringe united by your inability to do, nay, even recognize, legitimate science.
If you really want a persuasive debate, we will see if we can find some objective outside referee...
Your inability to discuss rationally would make any effort to do this a waste of time. Feel free to use your own time to make this happen, though. EvC Forum will be glad to sponsor the debate. But your premise won't do:
Statistically significant results published in peer reviewed journals, or otherwise professionally reviewed, stemming from an appeal to hypothetical spiritual entities constitute evidence that increases the plausibility that such hypothetical entities are real.
You keep arguing for plausibility, but all we're asking for is evidence. In any debate here, you would be expected to provide evidence.
That Mammathus is starting to understand what I am saying achieves the only goal I have here.
There you go again. You say that Mammuthus is "getting this", I reply that you're delusional, and you just restate your original assertion in slightly different words. Reference the message and quote for us where Mammuthus is "starting to understand what [you] are saying", or provide some additional argument outlining what Mammuthus said that makes you think he is "getting this", but don't just keep repeating your original assertion. I can't debate with a parrot. Either move the discussion forward or drop this point.
Stephen ben Yehsua writes:
Percy writes:
Quite obviously no one here is following your leap from step A (successful prayer studies) to what looks to everyone else like step Z (Jehovah and Satan exist).
I am frustrated, since my point is not that these beings exist, but that they might exist, and that the idea that they do exist, under H-D methodology,...
H-D methodology is a deductive method based upon the gathering of evidence. What you are engaged in is subjective Bayesianism. Please stop purposefully misrepresenting your position.
...has some plausibility, which has been increased by the data I present.
You have presented no data.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 209 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-06-2004 7:53 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 225 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-08-2004 12:52 PM Percy has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22473
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 216 of 273 (83952)
02-06-2004 2:42 PM


Stephen Fails Again
Hi Stephen,
This is a reply to your Message 79 in the Why are evolutionists such hypocrites thread:
Stephen ben Yeshua writes:
Percy writes:
...you're just parroting your original premise over and over and over again.
Because your arguments against it are usually non-sequitors.
Then instead of repeating your original assertion, you must explain how my arguments are non sequiturs. Certainly I'm not aware of the fault myself or I wouldn't have offered those arguments in the first place, so how am I to identify the faults if all you do is repeat yourself?
More likely, there were no actual non sequiturs in my arguments, since you most certainly would have taken the opportunity to point out actual flaws had they been present, and especially since you offer no examples. Once again, bald assertions from Stephen. You're just making it up again as you go along.
Stephen ben Yehsua writes:
Percy writes:
You continue your mode of dishonorable debate by asserting positions that have been called into question and then ignoring those questions. Until you address the rebuttals, you have no right to continue making these assertions.
Pure projection of your own guilt here.
No, Stephen, it is a matter of fact. You didn't respond to any of the challenges to your Bible code, theomatics, prayer study stuff. There's a Bible Code thread recently opened, I doubt you'll address the issues there, either.
There is no point responding to facts with subjective opinions and misstatements of facts. Here's hoping you address the Bible Code issues constructively in the Bible Codes and Bible Numerics for Stephen ben Yeshua thread.
--Percy

  
Stephen ben Yeshua
Inactive Member


Message 217 of 273 (84164)
02-07-2004 8:25 AM
Reply to: Message 204 by Brad McFall
02-05-2004 12:44 PM


Re: Quite a thread!
Brad,
An intriguing post, this! Lots of terms and allusions the meaning of which I am only dimly aware. But, I think I get your drift, and will try to rephrase the problem in H-D terms. Recall that H-D science attempts to deal with three problems: idea plausibility, idea subjectivity, and idea comprehensibility. It does this by forcing ideas into a modelled mode, a near- or actual mathematical statement that, to the original thinker, seems a caraciture (sp?) of the idea as it rattles around in their intuitive mind. But, these statements are well-defined, and one is able to deduce from them predictions of measurables. This process connects the idea to the rest of our known world in ways that deepen considerably our understanding of what it means.
Let's say that you are wondering why there are more beetle species identified than fly species. (If, indeed, this is a true statement. I'm hoping it is one of the "everybody knows" of taxonomy.) Granted, if you are a taxonomist, you know a whole lot about the groupings for both beetles and flies, and want an explanation for all the questions raised by this knowledge at once. H-D science assures you that you will make satisfying progress towards that goal if you just focus on the beetle/fly problem, which is manageable.
But, subjectively, we hunger for recognition, and want to answer questions and do science in such a way that our colleagues will be impressed. Again, H-D science assures us that our simple-minded beginnings, which will seem like play to our colleagues, and hardly worth the effort, in fact will take us places that will earn their respect. The discipline of the method, in part, works on subjectivity by forcing us away from cosmic, whole life emotional issues, and allowing us the passion of the game. Hence, we get the energy of subjectivity, without the deep philosophical entanglement. But that comes, later, without blinding us to arguments and data that cause us to fall behind in the game, to have the "My bad!" experience.
Well, before I go further with this, am I on track? Is the beetle/fly question in the ball-park you are working in? Or have I totally missed what has got you and Levin and others wondering?
Meanwhile, define conceptual neutralism for me, and elaborate on baramin. Incidence geometry for dummies? Sorry, but I have been deeply involved for twenty years working on applied epistemology and spiritual ecology, so haven't kept up as I might.
Your calcium/zinc allusions also interested me. Do you take strontium? Lithium? Mineral nutrition and metabolism is a bit of a hobby with me, because of the way these influence the way one does "science." These and other minerals appear to either enable the mind to go certain places, or direct it to respond/react to ideas in a certain way. The beer makers are into some of this. And as we all know, "beer does more than theology can, to explain the ways of God to man."
Stephen

This message is a reply to:
 Message 204 by Brad McFall, posted 02-05-2004 12:44 PM Brad McFall has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 222 by Brad McFall, posted 02-07-2004 12:57 PM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22473
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.7


Message 218 of 273 (84176)
02-07-2004 9:13 AM
Reply to: Message 207 by Stephen ben Yeshua
02-06-2004 6:05 AM


Stephen ben Yeshua writes:
Evidence for something deals only with something quite uncertain, that is at least a little less uncertain because of the evidence at hand. It is suggestive, but not persuasive. It confirms, is consistent with the idea, and is itself implausible enough to not occur unless the idea under consideration, or something like it, is true. This is all in the bayes theorem. P, plausibility, given E, is higher than P given not E. If P given E is still fairly low, this state is addressed with "evidence for." If P given E is close to one, we say "evidence of."
Thank you for explaining this more clearly. However, you seem to be making things up again. This Google search of the web:
    Does not bring to light any site that specifies such a distinction. Please produce references indicating that these definitions are the conventions within Bayesianism. Until then, since you make so many untrue statements it would be foolish to accept your say-so on this, or anything else for that matter. Until you produce such evidence I will continue to use "evidence of" and "evidence for" as synonyms, just like everyone else appears to do when I did a Google search.
    Since we're talking about definitions, you also appear to have a weird definition of "confirmed". How do you define this word?
    --Percy

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 207 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-06-2004 6:05 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has not replied

      
    nator
    Member (Idle past 2188 days)
    Posts: 12961
    From: Ann Arbor
    Joined: 12-09-2001


    Message 219 of 273 (84180)
    02-07-2004 9:25 AM
    Reply to: Message 211 by Stephen ben Yeshua
    02-06-2004 8:23 AM


    Re: Curing Delusion
    quote:
    H-D science has no limitations regarding spiritual matters, and is often applied to deal with them. God, meaning the God, Jehovah, clearly states of Himself that He can be proved scientifically. "prove Me now in this." If He is out there, science can deal with Him. If He is not, the test He provides will "prove" or test the point. So, this statement is wrong.
    I just have one question for you.
    What evidence could disprove the existence of God?
    quote:
    The Journal of Scientific Exploration is full of scientific articles pertaining to the supernatural.
    I went to the website of this journal and read a number of the abstracts.
    Very few of them deal with anything supernatural; they discuss anaomalies in nature, not God.
    Most were simply reports of incidents and case studies rather than tests of theories.
    It actually reminded me a lot of a slightly better quality Fortean Journal.
    For instance, there is a paper about "posession" which recounts an incidence of a woman in India dying and then being revived. Upon revival this woman claimed to have "been" another woman in a neighboring town.
    The paper is merely a case study, because there is no "Theory of Posession" described or defined with positive predictions and possible falsifications.
    So, case studies are a good starting point for real, detailed investigation, but they are hardly evidence for anything because they haven't defined or tested anything. They have just told a story.
    quote:
    Schrafinator: Science deals with naturalistic explanations for naturalistic phenomena.
    quote:
    True, but it also deals with what cannot be explained, such as quantum mechanics.
    ...except that quantum mechanics meets all the requirements to be a scientific theory; it is supported by positive evidence which can be observed by anyone, it's observations are replicable by anyone, and it is falsifiable.
    If all you are saying is that there are fundamental properties of the Univerese which are not explainable by other fundamental properties, that doesn't mean that any fundamental properties are supernatural. It just means that they are unexplainable.
    Of course, that's not all you are saying, is it? You are somehow expecting acceptance of an enormous leap from "we don't understand this" to "Jehova and demons of the Christian Bible exist".
    quote:
    About scientists who care nothing for human suffering, only their own egos:
    Consider the scientists 150 years ago who ignored the women dying of childbirth fever, so they could keep their professional smell acquired doing autopsies and wouldn't have to wash away the germs they were carrying.
    First of all, those were doctors, not scientists, who weren't washing their hands.
    Second, the Germ Theory of Disease was not widely accepted at that time so doctors didn't wash their hands out of ignorance, not malice.
    Third, it was the scientists who eventually figured out that doctors should wash their hands.
    http://www.mansfield.ohio-state.edu/~sabedon/biol2007.htm
    quote:
    They did not concern themselves with human suffering. Today, we have better evidence for the effectiveness of prayer than Semmelweis was able to provide for handwashing. And, like handwashing, it is such an easy thing to pray, to do prayer experiments, and prayer has such a potentially powerful cure for so much human suffering. But scientists today, like the ones who ignored Semmelweis' early studies on hand washing, don't care that they might be able to lower the damage that potential demons are doing to people.
    If prayer works, how is this evidence for demons or your God?
    It only means that prayer works.
    Some other God could be answering your prayers, or demons could be answering the prayers, or space aliens could be answering the prayers.
    Besides, you haven't demonstrated that prayer heals people. If it really did, insurance companies would pay for it in a heartbeat.
    quote:
    They don't want to pray, think it will make them ridiculous before their peers, and don't care who might be helped by prayer.
    You really do hate it that people don't believe as you do; so much so that you vilify all non-beliving scientists as cold, uncaring people.
    Yep, those cold, uncaring cancer researchers who save lives every day; they sure do waste their time trying to understand how cancer grows and begins. If they would all just stop trying to understand stuff and just pray a whole bunch, we wouldn't have any cancer, right?
    Stupid, uncaring scientists.
    quote:
    Instead, they concern themselves for their opinions and self-righeousness, do all they can to pick holes in the efforts of others to show that prayer can do some, maybe a lot, of good, and do their best to stay ignorant of ways that prayer has been shown to help.
    Um, isn't it the job of all scientists everywhere to critically analyse ("pick holes in the efforts of others", as you call it) the relevant work in their respective fields?
    I mean, that's how science remains a very accurate, powerful, and most importantly, self-correcting method of inquiry.
    You think that prayer proves the existence of your God and demons?
    Fine.
    What is your theory of the existence of your God and what is your theory of the existence of demons? Please define your terms, provide positive evidence observable by anyone and replicable by anyone, for each, and potential falsifications for each.
    To me, those prayer studies disprove the existence of Jehova, and here's why:
    Jehova is all-powerful, correct?
    If Jehova is all-powerful, I would have predicted that the people not being prayed for would show no change in healing, while the people being prayed for should have shown a 100% cure rate.
    If this wasn't the outcome, then Jehova could not have been the cause of the improvement in healing.
    [This message has been edited by schrafinator, 02-07-2004]

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 211 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-06-2004 8:23 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 231 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-10-2004 11:31 AM nator has replied

      
    nator
    Member (Idle past 2188 days)
    Posts: 12961
    From: Ann Arbor
    Joined: 12-09-2001


    Message 220 of 273 (84188)
    02-07-2004 9:59 AM
    Reply to: Message 212 by Stephen ben Yeshua
    02-06-2004 8:28 AM


    Re: Curing Delusion
    quote:
    Arrogance is thinking you know more and better than Yeshua or Jesus.
    Nice sermon.
    Too bad it's not a relevant answer.
    quote:
    It is looking over the human race, 80-90% of which believes in God,
    Irrelevant.
    Just because lots of people believe something doesn't mean it's true.
    Not long ago, close to 100% of people believed in a flat Earth, but belief doesn't make something true.
    But hold on, do you claim that 80%-90% of all people believe in your particular version of God?
    quote:
    that demons exist,
    Please define "demon".
    Furthermore, please provide some documentation to support your claim that 80%-90% of the world's population believes in the existence of demons as you define them.
    quote:
    that prayer is essential to life,
    Define "prayer".
    Please provide some documentation to support your claim that 80%-90% of the world's population considers prayer essential to life, as you define it.
    quote:
    and ignoring the scientific evidence that confirms these beliefs,
    I don't ignore the evidence; I disagree with your wild extrapolations of the evidence.
    quote:
    deciding that you know better, that what makes sense to you is more likely to be right, and doing what you think is right in your own mind is better. That's arrogance.
    You still haven't responded to my post, Steve. I'll keep reposting it untill you defend or retract your insulting, unfounded statements.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 212 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-06-2004 8:28 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 232 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-10-2004 11:49 AM nator has replied

      
    Percy
    Member
    Posts: 22473
    From: New Hampshire
    Joined: 12-23-2000
    Member Rating: 4.7


    Message 221 of 273 (84198)
    02-07-2004 10:31 AM
    Reply to: Message 212 by Stephen ben Yeshua
    02-06-2004 8:28 AM


    Stephen: The Epitomy of Arrogance
    Stephen ben Yeshua writes:
    Arrogance is thinking you know more and better than Yeshua or Jesus.
    Actually, true arrogance is believing you speak for Yeshua and Jesus.
    --Percy

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 212 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-06-2004 8:28 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has not replied

      
    Brad McFall
    Member (Idle past 5051 days)
    Posts: 3428
    From: Ithaca,NY, USA
    Joined: 12-20-2001


    Message 222 of 273 (84249)
    02-07-2004 12:57 PM
    Reply to: Message 217 by Stephen ben Yeshua
    02-07-2004 8:25 AM


    Re: Quite a thread!
    As for hypothetical-deduction and Simon...once I got out of Florida and survived not being involutarily electroshocked because no one had ever asked for HOW lithium BALANCE was measured during treatment I found that he was motivated to introduce a NEXT MUTATION when he co-authored with Kaufmann. I was fresh from Africa tying to situate my newly scoped view of electric fish ECOLOGIAL differences and this with herpetology had already provided me with plenty of diveristy (and if you compare with Provine on phone to Sewall Wright it was more than his but at least as much as Goulds') that I saw NO NEED to hypothesize a NEXT mutation. If one simply looks at Muller's defintions of kinds of mutations somatically one can easily see that these terms he invented before had not by then been worked up so why hypothesize a NEXT mutation (for use with moleuclar clocks etc., Penny vs Gould etc etc). So though baraminically I might move over to that thread or here and discuss flys vs beetle numbers (especially interms of NOT A BIRD in the Carribean hortizian vs parian distributions of insects or reptiles for Penny's interest not Gould's in panbiogeography) no the problem in the meta kind of conversation you appear to be having is for me between let me say Galvani and Volta not Goethe and Newton for which topic I was subjectively failed by LP Williams despite the now available fact that Penrose is thinking of microtublue quantum mechanics and I had placed my sights there way back before I met Levin's pleasent pollution in the Hudson river deameanor.
    Ok- that problem then was that Volta reasoned from the electric fish torpedo TO Galvani's frogs and THEN to any organism. This IS a form of reasoning encounterable in evolutionary theory if generalized. A variant of creationism could be that the is not even reasonable. To say so would mean that one would have to explain how psychiatrists attempted to "balance" ME chemically given that Faraday had showed how to advance THE ARGUMENT without resoving the evolutionary issue &&&&&& that the physical path such reasoned (mentally and physcio-chemically)is not illogical on use of Faraday's TESTIMONY that ADDED to the discussion just as for today's instance the state of Lousiana sought to ADD INFORMATION to the school curriculum and not detract from it as in EPPERSON.
    As for my own idea directly of such "next" I could get at it outside c/e but then You would have to follow me as I attempt to explain the statement I wrote fro Loudmouth and say again somewhat flippantly, that traits of the 3:1 kind can be rotated not merely encounted. The notion of a "web service" will only be able to spin these but other technologies can be found to not force one to escape this thought only between two "/" lines. Penny has an interesting article on Chimps in Nature I want to read before I way lay Gould's elecistical claded in this techonology that I know I can imagine as well as state.
    The zinc allusion is not illusory but will be univocal if everything I said was correct. I am not that confident however. You would be better to pay attention to guanosine metabolic strigency instead for more info would likely arise that way than in the simply H-D showing that Galvani's electrobiological response to Volta WAS logical. Meta commentary may aver here for failure to follow up Newton for which info from some Faraday archive could gain say and obviate my need to refer to Williams failing me after I listened to him preach in Sage Hall pulpit. Faraday's accepted extension and quantum mechanical synthetic chemsitry via psychiatry has confused the rather repetious psychology involved in any c/e difference. The problem is topology is not always the matching of a clade and a result tree.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 217 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-07-2004 8:25 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 228 by Stephen ben Yeshua, posted 02-10-2004 10:06 AM Brad McFall has replied

      
    Stephen ben Yeshua
    Inactive Member


    Message 223 of 273 (84449)
    02-08-2004 10:46 AM
    Reply to: Message 213 by Admin
    02-06-2004 11:41 AM


    Re: It Doesn't Get Any Clearer Than This
    Admin,
    You assert, if I may paraphrase, that human behavior may not be called science unless it is published in a peer-reviewed journal. Perhaps you could document that assertion for me. Never, in all my studies of scientific methodology or history, have I heard of such a thing. None of the web-sites that describe H-d science say that, to my knowledge. Instead, they assert a methodology, which Loehr followed. He was trained as a scientist, claimed to approach his work scientifically, presented it in his book in a way that made it easily replicatable, by anyone in their kitchen, with a friend or two.
    Meanwhile scientific studies of peer review have shown it to be "unscientific," that is, unreplicatable. See the review in Beth Savan's "Science under seige." It is useful, according to Kuhn's analysis, as a censorship tool, to be used by paradigm maintainers, to keep unwanted ideas away from the public. Perhaps that is why you find it so attractive.
    As to the "way we work here," as I have noted in the thread on evolutionist hypocrisy, it would not be surprising to me if you say you work one way, then set out and actually do work another.
    Loehr's book, by the way, is "The Power of Prayer on Plants."
    only then can it be used in support of your arguments in other threads.
    Advise me more specifically on what exactly I can say about this methodology as we work on a prayer experiment validating Loehr's work.
    Stephen

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 213 by Admin, posted 02-06-2004 11:41 AM Admin has replied

    Replies to this message:
     Message 230 by Admin, posted 02-10-2004 11:17 AM Stephen ben Yeshua has replied

      
    Stephen ben Yeshua
    Inactive Member


    Message 224 of 273 (84458)
    02-08-2004 12:03 PM
    Reply to: Message 214 by Percy
    02-06-2004 11:54 AM


    Re: Stephen's Scientific Errors
    Percy,
    Thanks for reminding me where this was. I do lose posts here, when it is clear that a lengthy response is needed.
    Confirmed prayer studies imply demons
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection has been established for demons as the instruments of the positive results, and you haven't proposed a scientifically valid deductive connection.
    I don't believe that confirmed prayer studies imply demons. They make the idea of demons more plausible than it was before, if we have any reason to believe that those praying were asking for God to deliver us from evil, e.g. that they were Christians. My statement about this was addressed to those who have put aside dogmatic opinionation, as defined by me to be the habit of giving new ideas a plausibility of zero or one. I thought I recall you describing yourself this way, but if not, please forgive me for putting this idea in front of you since those with DO cannot deal with such things. (See the quote at the end of Holmes' posts). Assuming that you have, in your mind, some non-zero, non-certain idea about demons, confirmed prayer studies are consistent with the idea of demons and increase the plausibility of that idea to some degree.
    The prayer studies used anti-demonic prayers.
    Flaw: Error of fact. None of the prayer studies cited here have described what prayers were used.
    Yeah, this definately weakens the influence of the prayer studies on the plausibility. That's why I recommend replication, with some persons using this standard Christian prayer, "deliver us from evil" while others do not. That should get us prayer studies that specifically enhance the plausibility of the demon part of orthodox theology.
    The Lord's prayer is an anti-demonic prayer.
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection has been established for the effectiveness of different prayers for various purposes, including getting rid of
    Sorry, I'm not following your argument here. We agree, I suppose, that the "deliver us from evil" in the Lord's prayer, which He commanded all Christians to pray whenever they do pray, is actually in there. Look at the Spindrift site for studies on the effectiveness of different ways of praying. I should note that their findings, which support the idea that "quiet" prayer is most effective, meshes with my own training, as reported in an earlier post, where the Hispanic exorcists (not Catholic) came and taught us to just be quiet, after asking that the evil be removed.
    But, I agree, the next studies need to specifically address this issue.
    Demons exist.
    Flaw: Circular reasoning. Many of your claims, like those above, assume the existence of demons before you've produced any evidence supporting their existence.
    Demons exist is a popular idea that has been around for a long time. The question is, how likely is it to be true, and what does it mean? And, given that some want it to be true very badly, while others are subjectively repulsed by the idea, or find it ridiculous, means that it is strongly subjective. A perfect scenario for H-D science, which exists to objectively assess the plausibility of an idea, using Bayesian methods, in a way that steadily deepens our understanding of what the idea really means, and in a strongly subjective context. But, of course, dogmatic opinionists, who assign a plausibility of zero to the idea, cannot use the method. The math in the bayesian formula won't work. I'm still trusting that that doesn't describe you, but correct me if I am wrong, and I'll shut up.
    Bible code studies confirm the validity of the Bible.
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection between word patterns in texts and the text's validity has been scientifically established, and you haven't proposed a scientifically valid connection
    Here, I am using confirm in my own, special, idiosyncratic way, where I mean to say that the plausibility of the idea that the bible is what it says it is, is higher given the validity of bible code studies. I agree, of course, that the connection...has not been scienctifically established. At least, H-D scientifically, since that method never establishes anything, and in fact exists to protect us from our inclination to establish anything scientifically, which historically has never been profitable. Once, the idea of a flat earth was established, as was Newtonian mechanics. OOPS! But, made very, usefully, plausible? Both flat earth mapping and Newtonian satelite engineering work very well, thank you. The rest of the story, on how much, if at all, existing bible codes studies improve the plausibility of the bible being what it says it is, is being discussed elsewhere.
    Bible code studies are valid.
    Flaw: Error of fact. Bible code studies have been demonstrated to be worthless. There are many debunking sites on the web (eg, Bible Codes Refutation).
    Either the pro-code sites are valid, or the debunking sites are valid. There's a choice we each have to make, based on personal standards of debate. I wish there were "Debates That Matter" somewhere, where an independent referee ruled, and clear rules were established. Until then, we are on our own. I'm not going to believe the Kuhnian majority on the matter. They have already been proven wrong-headed. As for me, I tend to ignore debunking generally as unscientific, and look at the efforts to replicate. And also, at the style of debate, whether it is addressed to objectivity or is appealing to subjectivity, ridiculing the other side, being sarcastic, etc. So far, it seems more likely, more plausible, to me that the debunkers are invalid, not those that contest their arguments.
    NDEs (Near Death Experiences) confirm the validity of the Bible
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection has been scientifically established, and you haven't proposed a scientifically valid connection.
    Again, I'm using confirm in my curious way. NDE's make several of the ideas in orthodox theology more plausible, to those who are on the fence on (not dogmatic about) the matter.
    NDEs have been subjected to studies testing the "orthodox theology hypothesis" (a term apparently of your own invention - a Google search brings up only a single result, a post by you here at EvC Forum)
    Flaw: Error of fact. No scientifically valid studies of this nature have been conducted.
    I stand corrected. The published NDE studies have studiously avoided tying their results to orthodox theology. I meant to say that NDE's have been studied scientifically, and validated in an effort to maintain objectivity. The author of "Beyond's Deaths Door" was a Christian physician on some repute, who collected data from heart patients that died temporarily during his surguries. He questioned them as they awoke, and recorded their experiences, if any, doing this to validate for himself his Christian faith. So, I'm not the only one who, hearing of these reports, thought that the information tended to increase our sense of the plausibility of "orthodox theology."
    Theomatics confirms the validity of the Bible.
    Flaw: Leap of logic. No connection has been scientifically established, and you haven't proposed a scientifically valid connection
    Theomatics was begun because luke-warm believers wanted to believe that the bible was more plausibly what it said it was, and finding extraordinary mathematical patterns through-out the scripture, set out to prove these were really present. Counseling with statisticians, and developing a rigorous protocol, they came up with some tools that validated the idea, that the bible says of itself, that it wal authored, or inspired, by a non-human of extraordinary intelligence and power. Applications of these techniques to other writings have provided a strong contrast to the results obtained with the Bible. That's what I know about theomatics, off-hand. It actually seems more easily validated than the Bible Codes. Washburn is quite frustrated that the codes are getting all the press, while his works, done decades earlier, are only quietly appreciated. But, of course, their effect on fence-sitters, is to make it more reasonable to jump off on the side of investing in getting wisdom for life from the bible.
    The Bible confirms itself (specifically, you say, "As to the falsification of the Bible, it declares of itself that the 'tests' you refer to prove nothing.")
    Flaw: Circular reasoning. The Bible's declarations about its own qualities, such as that it contains the Word of God, are not valid evidence that it actually possesses those qualities. You need independent and scientifically valid confirmation.
    Drosnin said of his work, that if codes could be found in Moby Dick, he would discount them, and admit that he was wrong. So, the critics looked for codes there, and found them. That made sense to them, and apparently to you. Similarly, Jehovah says, "If you tithe, and the windows of heaven do not open, and I do not rebuke the devourer for you, then you may accept ideas about my reality as wrong." Now, you cannot give to the united fund, and call it tithing. He gives in the Bible clear directions about tithing, a protocol for the experiment. Do the study with scientific rigor. If you get negative results, you have as much right to debunk the bible as McKay had to debunk Drosnin.
    The Bible is never wrong because it says it can be wrong (specifically, you say, "An alternative hypothesis about the Bible, that it is literally true in every statement has been disproven, but the Bible declares of itself that that is not true. 'It's the glory of God to conceal a matter.' Prophecy is 'dark sayings.' As written, every test of the scriptures that I know of have been confirmed when tested."
    Flaw: Non sequitur. You're in essence saying that the Bible is right even when it's wrong.
    When someone says that, at times, they are going to speak figuratively, and in so doing use poetic license to say something that is literally not true, we do not call them lying, or call what they said a lie, when discussing that figure of speech. In fact, we might even sigh and say, "So true!" because the figure helped us to an insight. This is how the bible says that it is written. And so, it is right, even when it is "wrong." Remember, the bible is written as a public communication in a wartime situation, containing at once content intended to delude God's enemies, and content intended to help His friends.
    There is a scientific controversy concerning demons (switching now to Message 153 in the History's Greatest Holocaust Via Atheistic Ideology thread).
    Flaw: Error of fact. There is no evidence of this controversy in any scientific literature.
    Again, I am using scientific the way I was taught, namely that it refers to the use of certain methodology. You are right, as far as I know, that no one is publishing on the matter, although Dr. Dossey's "Be careful what you pray for, you might get it." comes close. Wishful thinking on my part. I wish scientists who suspect demons have been behind certain life experiences would do studies and publish them. Thanks for the correction. I know what to pray for now.
    Scientists have been wrong in the past, and this is evidence that they are wrong about demons.
    Flaw: Error of fact *and* leap of logic. First, scientists have taken no position on the existence or non-existence of demons because there is no evidence for the phenomena. Second, even if scientists *had* taken a position that there is no such thing as demons, the likelihood that they are wrong is a function of the evidence and not of past episodes of scientific error.
    There is, as someone else has noted, tremendous amounts of anecdotal evidence that has been attributed to Demons, or Jinn, i think they called them. Most people in the world, in fact, consider the existence of demons most likely. So, that's not the reason scientists haven't studied the idea. Don't try to tell me that scientists don't ever respond to anecdotes, by the way, because I am a naturalist, and when someone comes off an expedition reporting some curious natural history phenomenon that I as a scientist am interested in, I go check it out. I got lots of dickcissel data that way, even though some of the anecdotes I heard about them being around weren't confirmed, or even shown to be mistaken. Frankly, it my gut sense that, as a naturalist expert at evaluating the distribution and abundance of life forms, I was derelict in my duty not to explore the anecdotes I had heard about demons. My first seminar on the subject was "the distribution and abundance of demons" beginning lightheartedly on the "angels on the head of a pin" joke.
    But, I agree. I am one in a thousand on this matter. As Kuhn reported has historically been the case.
    Stephen

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 214 by Percy, posted 02-06-2004 11:54 AM Percy has not replied

      
    Stephen ben Yeshua
    Inactive Member


    Message 225 of 273 (84470)
    02-08-2004 12:52 PM
    Reply to: Message 215 by Percy
    02-06-2004 2:12 PM


    Re: More Misrepresentations from Stephen
    Percy,
    Nothing you have cited has ever appeared in a peer-reviewed journal (Witztum wrote such a paper, but Gil cited that, not you). That's because neither you nor the people whose work you accept are part of the scientific community. You're all out there on the pseudo-scientific fringe united by your inability to do, nay, even recognize, legitimate science.
    I was thinking of the prayer studies that appeared in peer-reviewed journals, the bible codes paper, and some of the NDE studies. But you are right. I read Kuhn, and decided that if I wanted to be after truth, I had to get out of the mainstream.
    More later, another duty calls.
    S.

    This message is a reply to:
     Message 215 by Percy, posted 02-06-2004 2:12 PM Percy has not replied

      
    Newer Topic | Older Topic
    Jump to:


    Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

    ™ Version 4.2
    Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024