That leaves Arizona which is very Republican in non Presidential years and Jeff Flake is a mild mannered Pro Immigration conservative and it is tough to find many weaknesses on
I agree that flipping the senate in a single election is unlikely. But the problem with your projections is that generally speaking, in off year senate elections, only a tiny minority of folks participate. A motivated voting block, Republican or Democrat, can change things in a remarkable fashion during these elections.
After the last election, there appeared to be plenty of motivated folks who are adamantly opposed to Trump. Perhaps it will turn out that the past November butt whooping will have some positive results.
Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846)
History will have to record that the greatest tragedy of this period of social transition was not the strident clamor of the bad people, but the appalling silence of the good people. Martin Luther King
I never considered a difference of opinion in politics, in religion, in philosophy, as cause for withdrawing from a friend. Thomas Jefferson
Seems to me if its clear that certain things that require ancient dates couldn't possibly be true, we are on our way to throwing out all those ancient dates on the basis of the actual evidence. -- Faith
Some of us are worried about just how much damage he will do in his last couple of weeks as president, to make it easier for the NY Times and Washington post to try to destroy Trump's presidency. -- marc9000