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Author | Topic: Why is evolution so controversial? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
Well, there are a number of things wrong with this. Most obvious is your apparent assumption that every mutation in protein-coding DNA must be deleterious, which is known to be false.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
My friend Dr. Adequate You know what I have posted here is not my calculations. I only substituted in the 95% similarity in the paper found here: Estimate of the Mutation Rate per Nucleotide in Humans | Genetics | Oxford Academic If you reject the proceeding calculation you must take it up with Michael W. Nachman⇓ and Susan L. Crowell. All the justifications apply to what I have done. As their estimate for U is between 1.5 and 4, and your estimate is 10.7, it is you who is rejecting their calculation, and you who should take this up with Nachman and Crowell. If you think you know better then them, you should say why, rather than referring me to a paper which says you're wrong and pretending that it says you're right. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined:
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Do you get the part where they are using 1.33% divergence between human and chimp genomes and I am using 5% (new finding) As has been pointed out, that is not a new finding. Nor is your substitution legitimate --- they can count the point mutations, you haven't counted the indels. Knowing how big they are isn't the same as knowing how many of them there are. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
Did you know that (r) the rate of natural increase is a unit less factor that auto adjusts environment, reproductive rates and food source (among other things). This appears to be gibberish.
The value of accepted (r) is between .01 and .005 for humans. r is, obviously, not a constant.
Now who’s proposition is sillier? Well, your apparent belief that r can be taken to be constant is screaming twitching lunacy. That's a 10 on the silly scale.
Numbers don’t lie people do Sadly, creationists lie about numbers.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
What absurd results are you referring to? My simple point is that human population growth is exponential by all observable and recorded evidence. And yet it is trivial to prove that this cannot always have been the case.
The problem is that if you are talking 50,000 or 70,000 year time frames and we were fully human back then (no significant evolution in 50,000 years). With our enlarged brains why is the last 5000 years so magical? Technology only reared it’s head now? Unless you have proof otherwise. Show us a 50,000 year old lightbulb and we'll rethink that. Otherwise, we evolutionists will just go on believing what all the evidence shows.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
I am not joking about this, there is no answer. You see one near extinction event after another does not do the job of keeping down the diversity of the population. As soon as the population grows past 10,000 individuals, pocket isolation drives up the diversity. The population must be keep homogenous. The compared genomes of all humans today is observed to be homogenous in this manner. If you allow a bumpy multitude of near extinction events a homogenous population is not sustained . The growth percentage must remain literally zero over 50,000 years. That is like balancing a bowling ball on the head of a pencil. It has never been seen in any wild population ever. You balance your bowling ball on the pencil, I will accept a recent origin of our species. Your argument consists of vague disjointed rambling without any actual math. To the extent to which it is meaningful, it is obviously false: "near extinction events" would, obviously, not make the population more heterogeneous.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined:
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The growth percentage must remain literally zero over 50,000 years. That is like balancing a bowling ball on the head of a pencil. Let's do some real math, if only to demonstrate what it looks like. So, let T = [T1,T2], and define a set F of functions T → R+, where each function in F represents one possible function of population with respect to time over the time interval [T1,T2]. Note that for any n in the natural numbers, there is a function kn in F given by kn(t) = n for all t in T. We may define a function H : F → [0,1] given by saying that H(f) is the (average, statistically expected) heterozygosity of the population at time T2 if the population over the time interval was given by f(t). For convenience, let us write that for any f, g in F we have f < g if and only if f(t) < g(t) for all t in T. It is evident that if f < g then H(f) < H(g), and in particular if f(t) < n for all t, i.e. f < kn, then H(f) < H(kn); similarly if kn < g(t) then H(kn) < H(g). Choosing any such f, g in F, we can of course construct a function jλ in F given by jλ(t) = ( 1-λ )f(t) + λg(t), which is well-defined, indeed sensibly defined, for λ in [0,1]. Now it is evident that H(jλ) is a function of λ and that this function is well-defined, continuous, and in fact monotonic over the domain [0,1]. By the intermediate value theorem, there is a value of λ such that H(jλ) = H(kn). Now it is trivially the case that we can choose an infinite number of pairs of functions fitting the bill for f and g as given above, such that the two functions are themselves linearly independent, and such that they do not form a basis for any member of any other pair on the list. And for any two such functions, as we have seen, there will be a linear combination such that H of that combination is equal to H of kn. It follows that: for any constant population size n, there exists an infinitely large number of distinct functions of population size with respect to time which will produce the same heterozygosity as though the population had been at that constant size over the same interval. So instead of saying "That is like balancing a bowling ball on the head of a pencil", zaius should have written: "This is like 'balancing' a bowling ball anywhere on an infinitely large and completely flat plain." --- (A pedant might object that the codomain of the functions in F should have been N, and that our conclusion should have read "very very large". On the other hand, T is not discrete, since time is not neatly broken up into generations for our convenience, and this would justify "infinitely large" after all. But all this is splitting hairs: zaius is completely wrong, and that's what matters.) Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
OK DocI honestly could not follow your reasoning. Summary: you're completely wrong.
I think stability in this case can best be represented by a phase-plot using population dynamics. The one that shows that the logistic equation has a stable equilibrium?
Er ... what we're looking at here is something saying that a population of zero is unstable, but that logistic growth necessary is stable around the population K --- i.e. it's not like a pencil balanced on its end, but like a marble at the bottom of a hemispherical pit. When you yourself cite things that show that you're completely wrong, this is maybe a sign that you don't understand them. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined:
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Let's try to communicate the same point in a more intuitive manner. Zaius claims that the data for heterozygosity depend on the population holding exactly steady over a given period, that a "bumpy" population graph would not achieve the same effect. Intuitively this is obvious nonsense, and I've tried to bring that out.
So, consider the three graphs of population with respect to time given below. The graph of k(t), you will note, shows the population holding steady at 10,000, and so in zaius' opinion represents the One True Graph. Each of these graphs will have associated with it a figure for the final heterozygosity of the population. Now you can see that since f(t) is always smaller than k(t), the heterozygosity associated with it will be less than that associated with k(t); and because g(t) is always larger than k(t), it must be associated with a greater heterozygosity. Now the point is that it is possible to construct a whole range of compromises, of weighted averages, between the graphs f and g. This will of course correspond to a range of heterozygosities between that associated with f and that associated with g. So we can choose one compromise between them associated with just the same heterozygosity as k. This is necessarily bumpy, since f doesn't go down where g goes up, and so the weighted average can't cancel out the bumpiness of the curves from which it's constructed. So we have at least one "bumpy" population curve which has the same effect on heterozygosity as the flat one. And there is nothing so special about f and g that we can't pull this same trick an infinite number of times using different curves to construct our compromise from. So there is, literally, an infinite number of things the population can do which will result in the same heterozygosity as though the population had stayed exactly the same over the same time period. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given. Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
I have backed up all my arguments with accepted science. No. This is why the things you yourself have cited say that you're talking crap.
Inventing impossible bottleneck scenarios because evolution science needs to establish why the human genome exhibits linkage disequilibrium; it is ad-hock and scientifically unsustainable. Explaining the phenomena in terms of established theories is exactly what scientists do. All the time. Haven't you noticed?
You still do not understand, that the low population choices that evolutionists present have nothing to do with caring capacity Being an evolutionist, he does know exactly what evolutionist arguments have to do with. You, on the other hand, don't.
Just because speculative extreme views are held by some does not deter a logical examination by curious laymen (myself). Yeah, what actually deters you from carrying out a logical examination is that you have the same capacity for logic as an avocado.
Humans can and do modify the caring capacity of their environments. But when their tools were rocks, their ability to do so was rather limited.
Yes human population growth is exponential ... But it can't always have been.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined:
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Possibly, but I usually consider the Occam’s razor in such matters and reject fairy tails out of hand. Perhaps you could expand on this gibberish, both to clarify your point and because it promises to be extremely funny.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined:
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Rather than being logically consistent in your application of Occam's razor you only apply it to the benefit of your argument. Oh, he's not applying Occam's razor. He's just mentioning it, as though the words "Occam's razor" were a magical incantation for making reality disappear.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
Bozo could prove Evolution. A final hope for the theory of evolution could rest on Bozo. The "final hope" rests on the overwhelming, crushing evidence of the fossil record, genetics, morphology, etc. And yeah, it seems pretty damn final. This is why the opponents of evolution are reduced to posting gibberish about clowns. Apparently that's their final hope. Let us know how that works out for you.
My frustration here is not with the critics of evolution but the lack there of. Oh, there's no lack of creationists. It's just that all their arguments turn out to be stupid. Some of them involve driveling about clowns.
The branches of that hominid family tree, according to the theory, should support the phylogenic tree. But these days’ recent findings in the fossils are causing an explosion of new supposed of hominids. Can you explain what you think the word "but" is doing in there? --- I notice that none of this sad silly nonsense was a reply to my post. May I take it you find my point unanswerable? Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined: |
It was a jest nothing more. Quite. Perhaps you should aspire to something more.
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Dr Adequate Member (Idle past 314 days) Posts: 16113 Joined:
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From my perspective, I would like some citations of actual papers (that are available in full) when you claim my point is unsubstantiated. This subject is changing fast in scientific circles and even recent papers throw out previous axioms. Well, surely the onus is on you. I mean, there aren't going to be any recent papers titled (for example) "The Logistic Equation STILL Has A Stable Equilibrium At K". Because no-one gets published asserting that truisms are still true. If you think that the existence of stable equilibrium is one of those axioms that's been thrown out (and your argument seems to depend on it) then it would be your job to find a recent paper saying so.
Here is Velhurst's original paper on the subject, published in 1844. If you think it has been superseded, let us know where.
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