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Author | Topic: Why is evolution so controversial? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined:
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You, on the other hand, assume that what happened is whatever you make up in order to satisfy your religious myths. You claim your scenarios all happened naturally but don't seem to realize how severely they contradict natural laws. To have a rational discussion with you we need you to understand the explanations of how you're violating natural physical laws. This almost never happens. That's one of the reasons I've started using 'magic' in response, where magic would be defined as "anything not occurring according to natural laws" ... 'magic water' sorts fossils and carves canyons deep underwater ... deposits gravels on top of silts ... flows in 'magic' paths not defined by geographical or tectonic features ... Nothin like a little mushroom eh? Edited by RAZD, : starsby our ability to understand Rebel American Zen Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined:
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It is entirely possible to believe the above without accepting the Modern Evolutionary Synthesis, which is an attempt to reconcile Mendelian genetics with Darwinism. One states that variations in an organism never go past a certain limit whereas the other one states that they do. Curiously genetics was unknown by either Darwin or Mendel, and Mendel had some results from his experiments that did not fit into his neat boxes -- new mutations. Science has advance in the intervening years, and we now have evidence of mutations occurring, mutations causing new variations in breeding populations, and no apparent barrier to evolution occurring.
You're certainly right that evolution is an established part of biology. However, its definition of evolution is merely that the frequency of alleles changes from generation to generation. Another, slightly more complete version, is
The process of evolution involves changes in the composition of hereditary traits, and changes to the frequency of their distributions within breeding populations from generation to generation, in response to ecological challenges and opportunities. Now this is the process of how evolution occurs and it has been observed and documented, but this is not the Theory of Evolution ... Enjoy.by our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined:
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What evolved characteristic was reached in man that differentiated him from the other creatures? Our level of cognitive capacity and tool use. That's about it as far as I can see. There are other animals that exhibit these abilities, and the difference is more a difference in degree of ability than a different kind\type of ability. The one characteristic that differentiates man from other species is the same characteristic that differentiates any other species from all other species -- reproductive isolation of the breeding population. But destruction of habitat is coming in a close second ... (and that isn't very intelligent imho) Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
Explain how you can account for the high U that would be imparted if mutation rates were met for a human chimp divergence of 5.6 million years? I can quantify that number but you would not like the result. Selection pressures can lead to a higher-than-average U value. That's nothing new. We also know that humans have undergone strong (runaway) sexual selection putting higher than average selection pressure on mating, and that this is still going on. Among other things, strong (runaway) sexual selection explains the apparent hairlessness, the neoteny and the large brain. See Sexual Selection, Stasis, Runaway Selection, Dimorphism, & Human Evolution for more information in this regard. Such runaway sexual selection in addition to normal survival selection is more than sufficient to cause a higher U value than would otherwise be expected. Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
I wouldn't expect such a thing. I think it is reasonable to assume that most of the things that make us look for human than a chimpanzee developed post divergence. That's just a guess of course, but I don't understand why we should favor a guess that chimpanzees actually lost a bunch of human features which is what would have to happen if our common ancestor looked like Ardi. When you consider timing, Ardi is about when the genetics says the divergence event happened, thus it is very likely that she is close to that population splitting phenotype. But also remember that this is an artistic rendition, and that Ardi was fully capable of living in trees: Ardipithecus - Wikipedia
quote: Some people put the split at 6 million years ago. Ardi is also how we know that our ancestors were pre-adapted to walking upright before the Savannah period, and thus was able to take advantage of the new habitat. Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
New evidence on Neanderthal mixing
quote: Not really. What it shows is that the rate since 50,000 to 60,000 years ago has been slow, it does not say what it was before that time. Extrapolations are highly questionable and would need further evidence to support.
quote: OR the assumption of a constant slower mutation rate before 60,000 years ago is false. Mutation rates are not constant and the rates at which mutations are mixed\fixed in a breeding population is related to selection pressure.
quote: What 2.3 percent represents is an overall average of a variable rate for the last 45,000 years, and if later rates are closer to 1.7 to 2.1 then that would indicate that the rate of mutation 45,000 years ago was higher. Curiously this is also about the time for that bottleneck event ... when high survival pressure would have increased both mutation selection and made hybridization more likely. Enjoy.by our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
I figure after we/they left the savanna they ended up adapting to the trees. That is, our common ancestor was already on the route towards what you'd call modern humans features but then when the chimp-side split off they evolved the more monkey-like adaptations because they ended up in the trees. But I could be completely wrong. Not so much "monkey-like" as becoming more adapted for tree\jungle habitat, and that is consistent with a division of apes into savannah apes and forest apes as they diverged. This also means re-emergence of knuckle-walking on the ground and shortened rear legs as they become more adapted to branch swinging (like gibbons and orangs). Knuckle-walking - Wikipedia
quote: Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
Do you really think that the human population always grew at a set rate? Really? That's a completely unsupported assumption. Worse. It is actually contradicted by known population levels and other evidence. A chain is as strong as it's weakest link, and a population can only grow to the limits of it's least available food\nutrient supply. Once the grass is gone the cows die. Enjoy.by our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
First off, let's be honest and start off with proper representation of the quoted material.
The continuous-growth formula is first given in the above form "A = Pert", using "r" for the growth rate, but will later probably be given as A = Pekt, where "k" replaces "r", and stands for "growth (or decay) constant". Or different variables may be used, such as Q = Nekt, where "N" stands for the beginning amount and "Q" stands for the ending amount. The point is that, regardless of the letters used, the formula remains the same. And you should be familiar enough with the formula to recognize it, no matter what letters happen to be included within it. Should have been edited to indicate the superscript used in the article quoted by using and codes as follows (use peek function to see):
The continuous-growth formula is first given in the above form "A = Pert", using "r" for the growth rate, but will later probably be given as A = Pekt, where "k" replaces "r", and stands for "growth (or decay) constant". Or different variables may be used, such as Q = Nekt, where "N" stands for the beginning amount and "Q" stands for the ending amount. The point is that, regardless of the letters used, the formula remains the same. And you should be familiar enough with the formula to recognize it, no matter what letters happen to be included within it. OR by using the ^ to indicate superscript as in N = ne^rt as quoted from dwise1. Second you have to admit that you are definitely wrong here:
No it is not look at the equation. A pure-birth model is not a continuous-growth formula. Before you go off into left field do a little reasearch. Curiously, the curve formulas you reference are exactly the same type of curve that dwise1 was criticizing you for using -- or are you quibbling over calling it "pure-birth" vs "continuous-growth"? Let me help you with that:
Are you kidding? Are you really that clueless? Don't you know what that equation is? It is the continuous-growth model. The one that doesn't work because it doesn't take the environment's carrying capacity into account. Is that better? Clear now? Capisce? Put bacteria in a petri dish on a consumable substrate and what happens? Put the same bacteria in a completely sterile petri dish and what happens? What happens to the first dish when the consumable substrate is gone\eaten\used? Do you get the same results? Do you get unlimited continuous growth? No? Then the N = ne^rt model is insufficient to account for the differences. Enjoy Edited by RAZD, : capisce not capicheby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
Now you are being obtuse. I did say that an (r) takes into account environment too. You must calculate a new (r) for that island, you know with a initial population over a set time frame ending in a final population. Do the math and you can predict a population at some reasonable point in the future. And after the first generation the numbers are different, so -- according to you and your way of approaching this -- you would need to calculate a new r for that generation ... ... and the next generation ... etc etc etc :: each generation would have a different r value by your calculations. Curiously if you plot that r value against generations you will see that it declines ... in an exponential decay curve.
No I am not a prophet, I can do simple math. But not exponential math apparently. Enjoy.by our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
... With some modification to the continuous-growth equation you can normalize the end population to a limit of resources. ... This is really bad thinking and bad math. Yes you can bastardize the formula to give you correct beginning and end results, but it will NOT model the actual population growth pattern of a population with a limited necessary resource.
My point if you renormalize a (r) to a local environment, the renormalization to end population is not necessary. Unlike bacteria we do not live in a jar. There's another earth available?
... This works good for bacteria in a jar with limited growth media. But humans are bit smarter than bacteria right? We do grow most of our own food for example, that is true for all recorded history. Actually, (a) the growth curve does not work "for bacteria in a jar with limited growth media" because that growth is not exponential after the bacteria has spread out (substrate becomes unavailable for new growth at the center, for instance, breaking the assumptions for continuous growth, and this become critical as the bacteria fill the "jar" and now new growth is possible and old bacteria die), ... ... and (b) there are starving people in the US and around the world -- the ability to create food is offset by the need to distribute it and by the land requirements for other uses -- how much food is grown in a parking lot? How much food is grown in New York City? People are dying of starvation. How does your model account for deaths? Even IF food is not a limiting factor there is the issue of space per person. Finally, I have already shown this graph on Message 182 on another thread:
quote: The middle line represents the growing proportion of humans living in an urban non-food producing habitat, a habitat that precludes the land from being used for agriculture so the amount of land available for food growth is shrinking. Just like the quantity of substrate available for the bacteria decreases over time. Curiously it is based on actual population and population density data. Humans differ from other animals in their ability to innovate new ways to produce and distribute food, but it is still an exhaustible resource. You just cannot model population size with a single simplistic formula. Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
What is the challenge here? To fit a (r) to your numbers? I can do that. ... And it would be stunning if you couldn't, seeing as the numbers are generated from specified r values. The challenge for you is to explain why these numbers do not represent actual population numbers for those dates but rather impossible ones: 436 people to build the pyramids? really?
... Now here is your question Effective zero population growth in humans from a initial population of 10,000 over 50,000 years is a fairytale. Curiously I don't need to argue that "zero population growth in humans from a initial population of 10,000 over 50,000 years" occurred to know that your model is false. This is a straw man, as it is not what is being argued afaik. Certainly it is not critical to you being wrong. What the argument involves is whether we use real population numbers or fantasy numbers and whether we model real population growth patterns versus an imaginary growth patterns. And I have and I can use real numbers (see Message 633) while your numbers are imaginary.
I am not here to read an essay. So you are not here to learn but to pretend to know. Looks like Coyote has you pegged. Enjoy Edited by RAZD, : ... Edited by RAZD, : ...by our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
The maximum sustainable population size was steady until such time as methods and technology existed (ie., agriculture) ... First off any species in equilibrium with their ecology will oscillate around an average value due to perturbations in climate etc. Moose and wolves on Isle Royale for example as one of thousands of case studies. Second, agriculture was the second revolution in providing sustenance, the first was hunting and the technology for making weapons, when hominids went from scavengers to killers.
... to increase the maximum sustainable population size, at which point the population would increase in size until it found a new plateau. By 5,000 years ago or so, the plateaus were short lived and they became shorter and shorter till they stopped existing. See my graph. Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
According to the genetic bottleneck theory, between 50,000 and 100,000 years ago, human populations sharply decreased to 3,000—10,000 surviving individuals.[32][33] It is supported by genetic evidence suggesting that today's humans are descended from a very small population of between 1,000 and 10,000 breeding pairs that existed about 70,000 years ago.[34] Toba catastrophe theory - Wikipedia Now you can answer the question How could a breeding population of humans remain at effective zero growth for 50,000 years? What 50,000 year period was that? Or don't you realize that the two sets of data you give ...
... are different estimates talking about the same bottleneck event? Don't you realize that they are actually in agreement within their ranges of error? Or don't you realize that the statement "between 50,000 and 100,000 years ago, human populations sharply decreased to 3,000—10,000 surviving individuals" means that at some time between 50,000 and 100,000 years ago the population hit that level, not that it held at that level for the whole 50,000 year period? Really?
I agree and I was carful not to be dogmatic about the formula I used (it provided only a foil for my point.).The illustration is that human growth is exponential ... Except that it isn't purely exponential. It doesn't matter to me what foil you use on your head, your argument is wrong, demonstrably wrong ...
... I like the graph supper. Glad you liked it (was it a good feast?): it shows graphically that the human race has not grown along a purely exponential curve, but has plateaued several times as the resources have run down for supporting further growth. What your simplistic approach fails to account for are the effects of the death rate and how that varies with food supply and climate and plague etc.
How could a breeding population of humans remain at effective zero growth for 50,000 years? Curiously ANY species that remains at effective zero growth rate for ANY extend period of time is actually doing a lot better than the majority of species that have gone extinct. Enjoy Edited by RAZD, : clrtyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1435 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
What absurd results are you referring to? My simple point is that human population growth is exponential by all observable and recorded evidence. And yet the graph that you supped on shows this to be a false statement. What reality shows is population growth that takes off when a new adaptation reduced constraints on growth, and then constrained growth as those adaptations reached their maturity.
The problem is that if you are talking 50,000 or 70,000 year time frames and we were fully human back then (no significant evolution in 50,000 years). With our enlarged brains why is the last 5000 years so magical? Technology only reared it’s head now? Curiously, the oldest anatomically modern humans date to 160,000 years ago, not "50,000 or 70,000" years ago.
Your story can be reallocated to the other fables of evolution. Why is that? Or are you under the common creationist misunderstanding that evolution must cause continual change? The natural history of life on earth is littered with species in virtual stasis for much longer periods; this is something that usually occurs when (a) the species is well adapted to their habitat and (b) there are no changes to that habitat. You will note that humans have taken the need to adapt to changing or different habitats out of the equation by adapting technology to provide the necessary fitness adaptations, thus there is not much need for any visible physical adaptations. You might want to read Sexual Selection, Stasis, Runaway Selection, Dimorphism, & Human Evolution ... ... and I think you will find that the human population does continue to evolve: certainly it evolves immunities to fight diseases (do I need to discuss the effect of immunity to disease on the invasion of the Americas by Europeans?). If you think that humans need to adapt and change physically, then what pressure would be behind that need and what would you expect to see. For myself I see further development of the brain, something that can change a lot without showing much difference in fossils because the change is in the soft tissues. I also note that certain athletic records are consistently broken by newer generations. Evolution does not have to be dramatic to occur: it just needs opportunity (mutations) and fitness (selection). Humans have been selecting for larger heads to the point where further head enlargement often results in death to mother and\or child (see section on runaway sexual evolution in thread above), a problem not seen in other species, certainly not in other apes. Humans have also been selecting for barer and younger appearing people, especially women, to the point where there are now whole industries built around providing artificial adaptations and exploiting sexual selection via "photo-shopping" of models until they no longer look the way real people look -- that runaway sexual selection is still operating.
... Technology only reared it’s head now? You seem to be under a mistaken impression that human selection is for intellectual improvement: that Nobel Prize winners are major sex symbols rather than the pop music rock stars ... or have you just not thought about it ... ? What is much more likely (and more in alignment with the evidence) is that sexual selection is for young creative people -- the singers and the dancers, the artists and the musicians -- and that brain size and attendant intellectual growth came along for the ride.
... Technology only reared it’s head now? Technology reared it's head when the first tool was used.
... With our enlarged brains why is the last 5000 years so magical? ... Or the last 200 years when we learned to apply the scientific method to understanding the world around us instead of myth and magic thinking. What we have learned is built on the foundations of what was known before, whittling away the concepts that don't pan out to leave us with a better and better approximation of the nature of reality. Or the last 50 years when we learned to make machines to think and solve problems? Enjoy. Edited by RAZD, : clrtyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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