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Author Topic:   myths about welfare
Zhimbo
Member (Idle past 6041 days)
Posts: 571
From: New Hampshire, USA
Joined: 07-28-2001


Message 16 of 42 (261319)
11-19-2005 5:32 PM
Reply to: Message 15 by randman
11-19-2005 5:18 PM


Dodge, dodge, dodge.
THIS IS A TRANSPARENT, OBVIOUS DODGE.
I'm so sick of people making wild claims about social programs encourage promiscuity and/or reckless pregnancies....Huge claims with major policy implications...
And present no data.
Randman made such claims. Supplied no data. Runs, runs away when asked to back it up. Dodges, dodges, dodges when confronted with his running away. Pretends to be on the debate high ground in order to get OTHER people to do the hard work.
"I love to discuss issues"
No, you love to assert your opinion. And you're unwilling to back up the opinion with anything other than random nonsense and hearsay you pull off the top of your head.
SHOW US THE EVIDENCE!
This message has been edited by Zhimbo, 11-19-2005 05:33 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by randman, posted 11-19-2005 5:18 PM randman has not replied

  
Zhimbo
Member (Idle past 6041 days)
Posts: 571
From: New Hampshire, USA
Joined: 07-28-2001


Message 17 of 42 (261328)
11-19-2005 6:05 PM
Reply to: Message 15 by randman
11-19-2005 5:18 PM


Re: randman, please address the OP
link
Here's a reminder of WHAT RANDMAN CLAIMED.
"Here in the US, we tried welfare in the Aid to Dependant Children, which is still in effect but with some reforms.
Unfortunately, it had the opposite effect. Instead of being a stepping-stone to help poor kids get ahead in life, it produced more and more fatherless children borne of teen-aged Moms that decided it was better to get pregnant and get their own apartment than to stay at home and in school. Sometimes it was unwanted pregnancies. Other times, it was not."

This message is a reply to:
 Message 15 by randman, posted 11-19-2005 5:18 PM randman has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 19 by Nuggin, posted 11-20-2005 12:04 AM Zhimbo has replied

  
Nuggin
Member (Idle past 2522 days)
Posts: 2965
From: Los Angeles, CA USA
Joined: 08-09-2005


Message 18 of 42 (261413)
11-19-2005 11:48 PM
Reply to: Message 1 by nator
11-12-2005 8:23 PM


Hate to offer Randman a foothold but...
This is anecadotal at best. When I was living in Phoenix, a friend of mine told me about a conversation that he had just had with his cousin (also living in Phx). She was 15-16ish and had said that "She couldn't wait to be old enough to have a kid so she could go on welfare and help the family".
Chalk it up to 16 yr old thinking, but I wouldn't be suprised to find more people thinking this way.
Endnote - everyone in the story is White.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by nator, posted 11-12-2005 8:23 PM nator has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 23 by nator, posted 11-20-2005 8:11 AM Nuggin has not replied

  
Nuggin
Member (Idle past 2522 days)
Posts: 2965
From: Los Angeles, CA USA
Joined: 08-09-2005


Message 19 of 42 (261416)
11-20-2005 12:04 AM
Reply to: Message 17 by Zhimbo
11-19-2005 6:05 PM


Look! I changed the subject line
Disclaimer - I have NOT read the source thread, I'm only commenting on what I see here.
"Here in the US, we tried welfare in the Aid to Dependant Children, which is still in effect but with some reforms.
Unfortunately, it had the opposite effect. Instead of being a stepping-stone to help poor kids get ahead in life, it produced more and more fatherless children borne of teen-aged Moms that decided it was better to get pregnant and get their own apartment than to stay at home and in school. Sometimes it was unwanted pregnancies. Other times, it was not."
Going to try to talk for Randman here. I don't think that this above quote is all that outrageous, though I do think that he's reaching a bit.
One of the things we study in Anthro is cultural economics. Sometimes this refers to what types of food are harvested, etc. Sometimes it's about trade between groups. And still other time it's about cultural systems that lead to unintended economic situations.
I don't think that ADC is solely to blame for the situation. And I think the the designers had the best of intentions when they set out.
Obvious a child with one parent needs more help than a child with both. Obvious a house with several children needs more help than a house with one child.
It's not unreasonable to assume that there are people "gaming the system" by having kids and not getting married. I don't think that this is unique to the black community. There are far more white recipients of welfare than black. I'm sure that this same scenario is occuring on all fronts.
Randman's experience was coming from a person with first had knowledge of a particular community. Since economic downturns often effect an area, it's not surprising that such a downturn would plunge many families in a single community into needing state/federal assistance.
Over a prolonged period, the forces driving the economic engine are going to have an effect.
Are these forces the only effect - NO!
For example, (jumping back to African-Americans since that was the original assertion) the disproportionately higher rate of incarceration of AA males means that there is a likewise higher rate of children who's fathers are in jail. But, like the ADC, this is just one of many many factors which cause this scenario.
I may have wandered a bit in my post, so I'll try to sum up.
I don't think Randman was wrong on this topic. I think he was overreaching and oversimplifying what's going on. I think that his language was blunt.
I completely believe the research posted. I doubt that any studies have been done to scientifically confirm what I've been talking about here largely because it would be very difficult to isolate just one factor causing what's happening.
This message has been edited by Nuggin, 11-20-2005 03:03 AM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by Zhimbo, posted 11-19-2005 6:05 PM Zhimbo has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 20 by Adminnemooseus, posted 11-20-2005 12:36 AM Nuggin has replied
 Message 24 by Zhimbo, posted 11-20-2005 9:57 AM Nuggin has not replied

  
Adminnemooseus
Administrator
Posts: 3976
Joined: 09-26-2002


Message 20 of 42 (261422)
11-20-2005 12:36 AM
Reply to: Message 19 by Nuggin
11-20-2005 12:04 AM


Really, really would like a friendlier subtitle there
In the last two messages you have made an attempt to, for lack of a better term, meet randman somewhere in the middle. In the first message you supplied the subtitle "Hate to offer Randman a foothold but..." - I like it.
But in the second message, you fell back to using the rather brutal "randman, please address the OP" subtitle chain - Not nearly as good. I would strongly suggest changing that subtitle to something along the lines of "Hate to offer Randman a foothold but... #2".
Not that there aren't an abundance of other places the same would be true, but I think this is a spot where a good new subtitle would be especially good - Offer randman (and yes, I realized the message is a reply to Zhimbo) a little friendlier position to reply to.
Adminnemooseus

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 19 by Nuggin, posted 11-20-2005 12:04 AM Nuggin has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 21 by Nuggin, posted 11-20-2005 3:02 AM Adminnemooseus has not replied

  
Nuggin
Member (Idle past 2522 days)
Posts: 2965
From: Los Angeles, CA USA
Joined: 08-09-2005


Message 21 of 42 (261436)
11-20-2005 3:02 AM
Reply to: Message 20 by Adminnemooseus
11-20-2005 12:36 AM


Re: Really, really would like a friendlier subtitle there
2nd post, I was just replying to the string. I typically don't change the subtitle when replying to an ongoing conversation.
I actually wasn't fishing for a response from Randman, I was trying to support his position since the whole string up to the point seemed like it was just baiting him.
I see your point, and will try to pay more attention to the subtitles.
I remember a couple of strings where the conversations had drifted so much the subtitles had absolutely nothing to do with them.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 20 by Adminnemooseus, posted 11-20-2005 12:36 AM Adminnemooseus has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 22 by nator, posted 11-20-2005 8:06 AM Nuggin has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2199 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 22 of 42 (261489)
11-20-2005 8:06 AM
Reply to: Message 21 by Nuggin
11-20-2005 3:02 AM


reply to adminmoose and nuggin both
quote:
Adminemooseous writes: But in the second message, you fell back to using the rather brutal "randman, please address the OP" subtitle chain - Not nearly as good.
Excuse me, but when did a simple, direct statement like "please address the OP" become "brutal"?
Should I start using a lot of pleady, whiny language, or maybe manipulative flattery to try to get someone to do the bare basics of honest debate, or something?
Smilies? Do you want me to use smilies?
quote:
Adminemooseous writes:Offer randman (and yes, I realized the message is a reply to Zhimbo) a little friendlier position to reply to.
Why? Why does he deserve this? Why are we treating him like a deficient child who just needs a little understanding and love instead of what he is; an intelligent adult who agreed to follow the forum rules when he registered here and refuses to?
As an admin, shouldn't you be encouraging him to support his claims or withdraw them?
quote:
nuggin writes:I actually wasn't fishing for a response from Randman, I was trying to support his position since the whole string up to the point seemed like it was just baiting him.
Look, he refused to support his claim in the thread where it was, frankly, off-topic, so I created a new one.
He still refuses to support his claim, and is pulling every sneaky, slippery, weasly, dishonest debate dodge out of the book to continue to avoid supporting his claim.
A normal request for him to back up his claims or withdraw them, like the opening post of this thread clearly didn't work, as I knew it wouldn't.
Baiting him, which only began when he ignored the thread for a week or so, was the only thing that got him to respond at all in case you hadn't noticed.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 21 by Nuggin, posted 11-20-2005 3:02 AM Nuggin has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2199 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 23 of 42 (261491)
11-20-2005 8:11 AM
Reply to: Message 18 by Nuggin
11-19-2005 11:48 PM


Re: Hate to offer Randman a foothold but...
quote:
This is anecadotal at best. When I was living in Phoenix, a friend of mine told me about a conversation that he had just had with his cousin (also living in Phx). She was 15-16ish and had said that "She couldn't wait to be old enough to have a kid so she could go on welfare and help the family".
Chalk it up to 16 yr old thinking, but I wouldn't be suprised to find more people thinking this way.
That is a single anecdotal story, and therefore meaningless to this debate. Anecdotes are not data.
If you really want to help randman, you will address the questions in the OP.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 18 by Nuggin, posted 11-19-2005 11:48 PM Nuggin has not replied

  
Zhimbo
Member (Idle past 6041 days)
Posts: 571
From: New Hampshire, USA
Joined: 07-28-2001


Message 24 of 42 (261516)
11-20-2005 9:57 AM
Reply to: Message 19 by Nuggin
11-20-2005 12:04 AM


So...where's the *evidence*?
This is just more loosely argued appeals to intuition. In fact, I "intuit" that a close examination of the cultural economics of the situation would show the *opposite* conclusion - that ADC does not have a measurable effect above and beyond its socio-economic covariates.
However, that's my intuition, not my claim. Randman, on the other hand, has made a claim. And isolated anecdotes, some anonymous person's unchecked statistical claim, and vaguely argued appeals to intuition are not enough to back up a claim.
No one is looking for "PROOF". Just some decent evidence.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 19 by Nuggin, posted 11-20-2005 12:04 AM Nuggin has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 25 by nator, posted 11-20-2005 10:11 AM Zhimbo has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2199 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 25 of 42 (261517)
11-20-2005 10:11 AM
Reply to: Message 24 by Zhimbo
11-20-2005 9:57 AM


Re: So...where's the *evidence*?
quote:
However, that's my intuition, not my claim. Randman, on the other hand, has made a claim. And isolated anecdotes, some anonymous person's unchecked statistical claim, and vaguely argued appeals to intuition are not enough to back up a claim.
No one is looking for "PROOF". Just some decent evidence.
...or a withdrawal of the claim would be fine as well.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 24 by Zhimbo, posted 11-20-2005 9:57 AM Zhimbo has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 26 by GDR, posted 11-20-2005 10:47 AM nator has not replied

  
GDR
Member
Posts: 6202
From: Sidney, BC, Canada
Joined: 05-22-2005
Member Rating: 2.1


Message 26 of 42 (261526)
11-20-2005 10:47 AM
Reply to: Message 25 by nator
11-20-2005 10:11 AM


Re: So...where's the *evidence*?
Preservation Institute Policy Study writes:
But we apparently did too good a job of removing the stigma from being an unwed mother supported by AFDC. In 1960, 20 percent of black children were born to unwed mothers. By the 1990s, over two- thirds of black children are born to unwed mothers, and some families had been welfare-dependent for generations. Studies differed about how common long-term welfare dependency was, but the consensus was that most recipients remained on welfare for less than four years, but at least 15 percent were long-term welfare dependents. Most of the welfare dependent first received welfare as unwed mothers.
When AFDC was at its height, there were whole communities where virtually all the households were headed by unwed mothers, whose welfare payments supported their children and their unemployed boyfriends, communities where it was taken for granted that this is the normal way that families are organized. At the Robert Taylor Homes, a complex of twenty-eight sixteen-story buildings that is Chicago's largest housing project, 93 percent of the households with children were headed by unwed mothers, virtually all of them supported by welfare. This one housing project, with less than 30,000 residents, accounted for about 10 percent of the major crimes committed in Chicago
Here's the link to the whole article
http://www.preservenet.com/studies/WelfareReform.html

This message is a reply to:
 Message 25 by nator, posted 11-20-2005 10:11 AM nator has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 27 by Chiroptera, posted 11-20-2005 11:09 AM GDR has not replied
 Message 37 by Zhimbo, posted 11-28-2005 3:56 PM GDR has not replied

  
Chiroptera
Inactive Member


Message 27 of 42 (261536)
11-20-2005 11:09 AM
Reply to: Message 26 by GDR
11-20-2005 10:47 AM


Re: So...where's the *evidence*?
But we apparently did too good a job of removing the stigma from being an unwed mother supported by AFDC.
Hmm. I suppose that if they had written, "We apparently did a good job of removing the stigma of having children without the means to support them...." then maybe one might be able to take this "study" seriously. But it seems possible that these peoples' concerns aren't about the practical problems of poverty or of having children before one is ready for them; it seems to me that it is about the completely subjective moral "problem" of unmarried women having children regardless of "poverty". In fact, I would bet that the real "problem" for these people is unmarried women having sex. I wonder if their concern over the "morals" of their fellow citizens are biasing their interpretations of the scientific literature (if, in fact, they are reading the scientific literature).

"Intellectually, scientifically, even artistically, fundamentalism -- biblical literalism -- is a road to nowhere, because it insists on fidelity to revealed truths that are not true." -- Katha Pollitt

This message is a reply to:
 Message 26 by GDR, posted 11-20-2005 10:47 AM GDR has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2199 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 28 of 42 (261844)
11-21-2005 9:18 AM
Reply to: Message 10 by randman
11-18-2005 7:14 PM


Re: randman, please address the OP: Day 11
It's been 11 days since I have asked randman to provide evidence for his unsupported claim.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 10 by randman, posted 11-18-2005 7:14 PM randman has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 34 by nator, posted 11-24-2005 9:54 AM nator has not replied

  
watta
Inactive Member


Message 29 of 42 (261862)
11-21-2005 10:01 AM


Here in Australia we have a breed of talk-back radio "personalities" sometimes called "shock jocks".
They generally espouse lowest common denominator rave and rant type discussions attacking a variety of issues. Race, foreigners, welfare "cheats", "dole bludgers" [lazy people on unemployment benefits] and so on.
Very very powerful men with the ability to detirmine government policy.
A few years ago there was an episode where several of them complained about a specific woman [unnamed] who was rorting the welfare system by having children to 5 different fathers. Lots of call-back discussion about the amount of money she received, the benefits and righteous indignation expressed by nearly all callers.
[Do you have this sort of thing in UK/USA?]
It went on for a couple of days and then they moved on.
Just one teensy weensy problem.
It was clearly established that no such woman existed.
A couple of the "jocks" were forced to admit, very briefly, that their source was lying.
And then they moved on and it was all forgotten but imprinted in the mind of the listening community.

Replies to this message:
 Message 30 by nator, posted 11-21-2005 10:42 AM watta has not replied

  
nator
Member (Idle past 2199 days)
Posts: 12961
From: Ann Arbor
Joined: 12-09-2001


Message 30 of 42 (261886)
11-21-2005 10:42 AM
Reply to: Message 29 by watta
11-21-2005 10:01 AM


oh, sure, we have shock jocks here. They were invented here.
Howard Stern is the original and most famous.
But the phenomena you are talking about is the conservative "infotainment" pseudo news/political commentary pundit radio talkshow host a la Rush Limbaugh. He was absolutely HUGE (literally and figuratively) a few years back when the republicans took over the senate and the congress. He's lost his TV show since then, and is popular only with his diehard "dittoheads" ever since he was revealed to be addicted to Oxycontin and was buying it illegally to maintain his drug habit.
These people are liars, yet they claim to tell the truth. They are political activists, yet when called on that fact that they often urge their audiences to contact their senators about certain issues and whatnot, they simply hide behind their "entertainment" status.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 29 by watta, posted 11-21-2005 10:01 AM watta has not replied

  
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