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Author Topic:   Popular Vote vs Electoral College
AZPaul3
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Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


(2)
Message 70 of 118 (903824)
12-17-2022 3:54 AM
Reply to: Message 69 by xongsmith
12-17-2022 12:22 AM


Re: Proportional EC better
I mean, why are we arguing?
Well, uh, it's EvC and we do that here?
Besides, I was tired of Kleinman.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 69 by xongsmith, posted 12-17-2022 12:22 AM xongsmith has seen this message but not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


Message 85 of 118 (903963)
12-19-2022 12:33 PM
Reply to: Message 83 by Taq
12-19-2022 12:12 PM


Re: Proportional EC
If the candidates schmooze equally in high density areas then they will split the vote in those areas.
And what do think that will lead to? The 2 coastal areas ARE the MAJOR voting population of the nation. Of course there is a "split". Some red some blue. Some undecided thus the schmoozing of those voters.
Remember we're talking about a popular vote for president. States don't matter.
You have $1000 to schmooze with. Are you going to spend that chasing 15 votes in Manhattan KS or 10,000 in Manhattan, NY?
It makes them spend time in swing states which can be anywhere on the map.
Exactly. Look at swing states and battleground states from past elections. Lots of interior states (Arizona, Michigan, Illinois). That's because the state's electoral votes are the prize. There are no battleground states in a popular vote scheme.
When the popular vote is the prize there is no need to chase sparse populations in less populated areas. You chase the major populations on the coasts where the majority of votes are.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 83 by Taq, posted 12-19-2022 12:12 PM Taq has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 89 by xongsmith, posted 12-19-2022 5:48 PM AZPaul3 has replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


Message 90 of 118 (903975)
12-19-2022 6:35 PM
Reply to: Message 89 by xongsmith
12-19-2022 5:48 PM


Re: Proportional EC
Do you schmooze the 3 elector state of Wyoming or the 55 elector state of California?
In today's world then, as usual, it depends on whether California is in play or is it well set. If prospects and polls are good for a party then it's not a battleground state. So who has the largest electoral vote that's within 3% differential? That is a battleground state, like Illinois or Michigan.
Schmoozing is by definition dishonest.
So choose a different word. No you cannot outlaw a candidate from giving a speech or hosting a community talk or a neighborhood bbq. This is still America.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 89 by xongsmith, posted 12-19-2022 5:48 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 91 by xongsmith, posted 12-19-2022 11:27 PM AZPaul3 has replied
 Message 93 by ringo, posted 12-20-2022 10:58 AM AZPaul3 has not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


(2)
Message 92 of 118 (903988)
12-20-2022 12:31 AM
Reply to: Message 91 by xongsmith
12-19-2022 11:27 PM


Re: Proportional EC
Why would Illinois or Michigan be a "battleground state" in a population wins election?
Today's world is electoral college, not popular vote. I wasn't addressing pop vote.
Your question from Message 89
quote:
But in a proportional EC system, which ones are swing states? Do you schmooze the 3 elector state of Wyoming or the 55 elector state of California?
That's what I was answering.
And you still have the undemocratic 2 Senators per state regardless of their population.
Who's talking democracy? We are a republic. At the time of the formation the political dynamics were different. If I don't get my 2 senators then you don't get your republic. The majority can be harsh and I want protection.
In a popular election for president, no EC votes or by state votes, just national totals, there would not be any battleground states. The battle will be for the hearts and minds of the voters regardless of location. That means the coasts 150 million voters will be the major portion of the 200 million national totals.
Now, in a modified electoral college, I find it more than appropriate to give the two at-large votes to the overall popular winner in the state. They did get the majority of the states vote. The rest going to the congressional district winners. For 2020, Arizona would have had 4 votes for red and 7 for blue. I was happy with the 11 blue but the modified result is more accurate.
The major issue for us is how to get this one very doable change made. A wholesale re-write of the constitution (long, long overdue) is not going to happen.
The League of Women Voters could put up the objective hard evidence in a weekly list of all voting and positions held by the candidates.
Seems fair.
They should do that regardless but not as an enforced monopoly.
I'm a free speech nut. Let the bozos and the liars and the good guys talk till their vocal chords fall out. If we, the people, aren't good enough to notice the difference then that's on us, not so much the system.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 91 by xongsmith, posted 12-19-2022 11:27 PM xongsmith has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 95 by Phat, posted 12-20-2022 3:34 PM AZPaul3 has replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


Message 97 of 118 (904043)
12-20-2022 4:45 PM
Reply to: Message 95 by Phat
12-20-2022 3:34 PM


Re: Is A Republic Popular?
Pure majority vote versus elected officials constrained by checks and balances.
Xongsmith mentioned that 2 senators per state regardless of population was undemocratic.
He's right, from a pure democracy point of view, but The USofA was formed as a republic with 2 senators per state as a check on the majority so we don't care.
quote:
The Founding Fathers of the United States often criticised direct democracy, which in their view often came without the protection of a constitution enshrining inalienable rights; James Madison argued, especially in The Federalist No. 10, that what distinguished a direct democracy from a republic was that the former became weaker as it got larger and suffered more violently from the effects of faction, whereas a republic could get stronger as it got larger and combats faction by its very structure.
Democracy - Wikipedia

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 95 by Phat, posted 12-20-2022 3:34 PM Phat has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 98 by xongsmith, posted 12-20-2022 5:53 PM AZPaul3 has replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


(1)
Message 102 of 118 (904052)
12-20-2022 9:49 PM
Reply to: Message 98 by xongsmith
12-20-2022 5:53 PM


Re: Is A Republic Popular?
hmmm? answer me that.
hmmm ... maybe because of a flaw in the process we've known about for 200+ years and have been too stupid to fix? Maybe because of the gaping hole in the electoral college that we have been talking about?
The system wasn't set up to keep would-be tyrants out. The EC was not "the very thing that was installed to prevent a looney from winning". That was not a consideration in its formation. Nor could it ever have that effect.
The framers knew (read the Federalist Papers) the passions of the people and knew no system could keep a groundswell of stupid from election. Other structures in the constitution were to address that. To paraphrase Ben Franklin: Impeachment was not tightly defined so the nation wouldn't have to suffer a nincompoop.
That is where the republican senate failed the nation.
We have more than one gaping hole in this constitution to fill.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 98 by xongsmith, posted 12-20-2022 5:53 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 108 by xongsmith, posted 12-21-2022 2:24 AM AZPaul3 has replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


Message 103 of 118 (904053)
12-20-2022 10:18 PM
Reply to: Message 101 by xongsmith
12-20-2022 8:03 PM


Re: Is A Republic Popular?
Again, AZPaul3's proportional EC is a vast improvement, but then which states would become "swing states", which sort of implies vaguely still thinking in a "Winner-Take-All" rule state of mind.
If you find it a problem then get off this self-imposed mindset of winner-take-all. The reality would be quite different and so would the political strategy.
Do you know what a swing state, a battleground state, is? Do you know what gives a state that designation?

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 101 by xongsmith, posted 12-20-2022 8:03 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 107 by xongsmith, posted 12-21-2022 2:03 AM AZPaul3 has not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


Message 105 of 118 (904055)
12-20-2022 11:07 PM
Reply to: Message 101 by xongsmith
12-20-2022 8:03 PM


Re: Is A Republic Popular?
to give voice to the interior states, my ass.
I think you confuse intent with side effect. The EC is not there to give interior states a share of the largess of political limelight. Battleground states, internal or coastal, develop as a result of that specific years election's own political dynamic.
In every election I looked up there are a number of the interior states garnering extra special attention from both candidates. So, yes, in the absence of any other data, right now, our electoral college scheme creates battleground states, many not coastal, where candidates flock. This has the effect, not the intent, of giving more states more political influence.
This is contrast to a direct popular election for president where states don't count and only density of population determines where the campaigns would focus.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 101 by xongsmith, posted 12-20-2022 8:03 PM xongsmith has not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


(1)
Message 106 of 118 (904056)
12-20-2022 11:43 PM
Reply to: Message 104 by Theodoric
12-20-2022 10:56 PM


Re: Is A Republic Popular?
Continue to improve the flawed framework they came up with.
Don't quote me on this but I think I remember Thomas Jefferson once wrote he expected a constitutional convention of the states to rewrite the whole thing every 25 years.
We're late.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 104 by Theodoric, posted 12-20-2022 10:56 PM Theodoric has not replied

  
AZPaul3
Member
Posts: 8525
From: Phoenix
Joined: 11-06-2006
Member Rating: 5.2


(1)
Message 109 of 118 (904060)
12-21-2022 7:10 AM
Reply to: Message 108 by xongsmith
12-21-2022 2:24 AM


Re: Is A Republic Popular?
I seem to remember reading that the Electors would be selected from trustworthy men (no women then) who would not let their passion take over their voting.
That was the original intent (Federalist Papers #68) but within the first 50 years things changed when states legislated their electoral votes, forcibly, to the majority winner in the state instead of proportionally or allowing electors any options in voting.
The ancient history and their unenlightened ways are not the issue. We know better today. The question is what can we do about it today. This EC problem, regardless of the ancient history that got us here, can be solved by the states legislating proportionality in their EC votes.
The more aggressive options are to have an amendment, or, hold a constitutional convention and rewrite the whole thing.
The major impediment to either of these is that we have republicans.

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 108 by xongsmith, posted 12-21-2022 2:24 AM xongsmith has not replied

  
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