Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 65 (9162 total)
3 online now:
Newest Member: popoi
Post Volume: Total: 915,821 Year: 3,078/9,624 Month: 923/1,588 Week: 106/223 Day: 4/13 Hour: 0/2


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   Probability of It Being Their Own Particular God
xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2578
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.8


Message 11 of 30 (895944)
07-26-2022 2:28 PM


Drake's Equation
seems a lot like Drake's Equation of the odds on SETI finding extraterrestrial life....

"I'm the Grim Reaper now, Mitch. Step aside."
Death to #TzarVladimirtheCondemned!
Enjoy every sandwich!

- xongsmith, 5.7dawkins scale


  
xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2578
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.8


Message 30 of 30 (896775)
08-21-2022 9:15 PM
Reply to: Message 29 by dwise1
08-21-2022 4:42 PM


Re: Pascal's Wager on YouTube
and i have a problem with the first matrix.
- - - - - -   believe   dontbelieve

   exists       +inf           -inf
   doesnt        x              0
x is presented as 0
i say bullshit. think of the time you wasted believing something that doesn't exist. that costs you! maybe not an infinite cost on you, but Not Zero. and +inf is also bullshit - how many times have comedians noted that so-and-so is so good she's going to heaven and you might be thinking "damn, you mean i gotta spend eternity with her? how boring!" and -inf is also bullshit - that's where all your good friends are.
so the net probability of having to spend eternity with that woman x that value - probability of no gods x cost of going to church every Sunday instead of something you'd rather do then (i dunno, touching yourself?) has to be a positive number to go with believing and right now, using the extremely large sample size we've seen so far (getting into the science of MTBF calculations, that's an application of mean time between failure analysis) it's looking like a very dark world for believers to be right.
sorry about that.

Edited by xongsmith, : "holdspace" subbed with dashes


"I'm the Grim Reaper now, Mitch. Step aside."
Death to #TzarVladimirtheCondemned!
Enjoy every sandwich!

- xongsmith, 5.7dawkins scale


This message is a reply to:
 Message 29 by dwise1, posted 08-21-2022 4:42 PM dwise1 has not replied

  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024