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Member (Idle past 1659 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
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Author | Topic: Are Uranium Halos the best evidence of (a) an old earth AND (b) constant physics? | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dr Adequate Member Posts: 16113 Joined: |
When Einstein came up with his theory about gravity, about the first thing he did was to check that if it was correct, planets would go round the sun in ellipses with the sun at one focus, the way that they are known to to.
This was because he wanted to make sure that his theory really did explain gravity and wasn't just a collection of words and equations with no relevance to reality. And he was able to do this because his theory had predictive power --- it said something about what reality should look like if Einstein was right, and so all he had to do was derive from his theory a prediction about planetary orbits and so see if it was really about reality or just about the imaginary physics of an imaginary reality that existed only in Einstein's head. So, foreveryoung, if you want to claim to have a theory which explains gravity, you need to do something similar. You could show that if your idea is right, planets would travel in ellipses; or that when I throw a stone, it'll travel in a parabola (modulo friction) or that a heavy object and a light one will be attracted to the Earth with forces proportional to their weights. Or you could try proving that if you're right, then an object I drop will fall down, towards the center of the Earth, and not up or sideways. That would be a start. Or you claim to be able to explain the speed of light. Splendid, calculate from your idea what the speed of light should be. If the answer you get is what the speed of light is measured to be, then we shall begin to think that we are in the presence of an undiscovered genius. But you can't do any of that, because your idea has not yet attained even the status of a hypothesis. It doesn't have sufficient content that you, or I, or anyone, can derive predictions from it. In which case it fails to explain phenomena, 'cos of not predicting any. This is the difference between pop-science physics and actual physics. When we have an actual scientific hypothesis, we can do something with it, and so it provides us with real understanding. When we have a pop-science explanation, all it does is give us the sensation of understanding some aspect of physics. But unless it relates in some way to an actual scientific theory, this sensation is false.
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NoNukes Inactive Member |
You could show that if your idea is right, planets would travel in ellipses; or that when I throw a stone, it'll travel in a parabola (modulo friction) or that a heavy object and a light one will be attracted to the Earth with forces proportional to their weights. Just to expand on what Dr. A is saying, it is necessary that any new theory give results that match the old theory in places where the old theory is known to work. It is not fatal if some notions of the new theory involve a little handwaving, but it is fatal if those notions don't lead to a theory that matches the old theory in domains where the old theory is good. It is also fatal if the notion cannot be used to make any calculations at all, but perhaps such a failure is only due to the lack of skill of the notioneer. In addition, if the new theory is going to replace the old theory, then there need to be some observations where the new theory explains things that the old theory cannot. And despite the wishes of some, Biblical interpretations of Genesis are NOT scientific observations. For both types of predictions, we need to be able to proceed from notion, no matter how hand-wavy to calculation in a rigorous way. It is not enough to say "light comes in quantized energies", but we must be able to show that such quantization requires a given result that matches a known observation. For example, when Plank postulated the energy of photons to be hf, he was able to mathematically produce a prediction of the spectrum for black bodies that matched reality extremely well. Applying those principles to fy's notion that vacuum energy affects the speed of light or any other physical, a convincing argument would require: 1. A rigorous calculation showing that the notion leads to predictions known to be true. 2. A rigorous calculation showing that some known observation not predicted by current theory follows directly from the given notion. Again the notion itself might involve some handwaving and plausibility based argument. I would suggest that something like the equivalence principle or invariance of physical laws would serve such a role in General Relativity. But Einstein's was able to proceed from those notions to accurately account for the orbit of Mercury including motions not modeled using Newtonian physics. Fy has not yet done a convincing job of hand waving.
Splendid, calculate from your idea what the speed of light should be. Alternatively, it would be okay to use the known speed of light as a constraint or boundary condition. But you'd still need to make some calculations that have the predictive power I oulined above. After making those calculations, and only after, we might take a look at what your notion leads to in domains that we cannot currently observe.
In which case it fails to explain phenomena, 'cos of not predicting any. That's it in a nutshell. Exactly so.Under a government which imprisons any unjustly, the true place for a just man is also in prison. Thoreau: Civil Disobedience (1846) The apathy of the people is enough to make every statue leap from its pedestal and hasten the resurrection of the dead. William Lloyd Garrison
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1659 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined:
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A "uranium halos for dummies" condensed version.
Message 1 laid out the initial premise:
... from Dr Wiens: Radiometric Dating quote:(bold added for empHASis, part deleted not about uranium halos) The basic radiohalo principle is simple: radioactivity produces alpha decay, and the alpha particle have a certain energy (usually measured in million electron volts, MeV) based on the familiar e=mc² formula and the conservation of energy/mass (see ref):
M1 = M2 + mp + e/c²
Thus when you have isotopes decaying into other isotopes by alpha decay, the energy of the alpha particle is unique to that decay stage because of the unique before and after mass of the decaying isotope and the constant mass of the alpha particle. This unique energy then determines how far (on average) an alpha particle will travel before it gets stopped and absorbed into the surrounding material (and causes the ring pattern to be visible) and the result is a halo or a number of halos around decaying inclusions that look like rings, but are actually spherical, and something like this:
The halos require more than one particle to form as each one only makes a point on the ring. Thus uranium, with it's long half-life, takes "several hundred million years to form." Now the fun part: this is based on our knowledge of physics and the physical constants that tell us how things behave in the universe, so what happens if you have fast decay instead of old time? ... Alpha Decay, Alpha detectors and identification:
quote:(bold for empHASis) Very simply put, if you change the decay rate, you change the decay energy, and the diameter of the halo changes. There should be no characteristic uranium halos with the unique energy of uranium alpha decay from fast decay. The existence of (common) uranium halos then is evidence that shows the physical constants have not changed while they were formed, and their formation in turn is evidence that the earth is old, at least several hundred million years old. Message 3 adds information on the physical process for how the halos are made:
article abstract The nature of radiohaloes in biotite: Experimental studies and modeling:
quote:(bold for empHASis) SO the ring would be caused by the alpha particle causing a "point defect" in the surrounding material, interrupting the normal light pattern And it takes a lot of those single point impacts at the same decay energy distances from the core to accumulate over time into a visible halo. See Message 3 for more complete quote of the abstract.
Message 5 presents some of the mechanics of alpha decay:
... article on the forces in a nucleus and how that affects decay:
The Strong Nuclear Force, Alpha Decay and Fission quote: This is just background information ... Message 7 adds to the mechanics of alpha decay and includes the inverse relationship of alpha particle energy to isotope half-life:
From Alpha Barrier Penetration quote: Why an alpha particle and not a proton?
Alpha Binding Energy quote: I envisage it as a pyramid with each particle in contact with the other, and therefore bound by the strong force. Message 8 provides the crux of the process:
Alpha Tunneling Model quote: Change the decay rate, and you change the energy of the alpha particle. Not a strict inverse relationship (exponential?) Message 9 provides some formulas:
PHYS 490/891 - Winter 2007, 2.8 Alpha-Decay quote: Message 82 adds more information:
CF210: Constancy of Radioactive Decay Rates
quote: Which means that the radii of the different halos for the different daughter isotopes would change by different amounts - yet this is not observed in the Uranium halos .... and therefore Uranium halos are indeed evidence that the earth is very old. Note that not only do we have fully formed uranium halos, but the halos for each different element in the decay change are at the same relative location to each other based on current alpha decay energies. When you look at the decay chain for 238U you see: Radioactive decay - Wikipedia
quote: And the top three alpha decay events all have half-lives well in excess of any young earth fantasy model, so all three would need to be altered by magic in such a way that they still provide the same halo diameter ... Change the physics to affect one, and not only do you have the problem of this also changing the alpha particle energy (and hence the halo diameter for that isotope), so that you need an additional "correction" of the alpha energy, but you have the problem of changing the other isotope decay rates and alpha particle energies to a different degree, that must now all individually be "corrected" by further adjustments to the physics while not undoing the "corrections" already made ..... The evidence speaks for itself: the earth is old. You need to invoke different magic alteration of the physical constants for each isotope to end up with the observed results, which are in agreement with the predictions from the calculations. Now I am going to include Message 90 because the argument from Smooth Operator is similar to the argument from Starman:
Uranium halos are not evidence for an old Earth because they are based on two assumptions you don't know anything about. So let's take it step by step... 1.) Half life of U238. 1.) The claim that U238 half-life is 4.5 billion years. How do you know that? Where has this been shown to be true? You don't know that. You assume that. And since you don't know it, you don't know that it took 4.5 billion years to make ANY U238 halo. This denial of reality is based on both a logical fallacy (argument from incredulity) and general logically false thinking. The astute reader will note that Smooth Operator did not provide any evidence of a different decay rate, he just employed the PRATT that because event X was not observed we can know nothing about event X. Curiously, the claim that Uranium Halos are evidence of extreme age for the earth comes from a scientist who does in fact know a whole heck of a lot more about the physics involved than Smooth Operator has demonstrated (he can't even get the facts right): Radiometric Dating
quote: Not just the 238U half-life, but the half-life of several of the decay products as well. Amusingly, one does not need to observe a radioactive material for the full length of the half-life in order to measure the decay rate, as the physics involved follows very predictable paths. If Smooth Operator's claim were true we would not know the half-life of a single element with a half-life over 50 years, while curiously, the half-lives of almost all elements are known to a high degree of precision. Not only do we have the initial information of decay curves to provide the slopes at the beginning of exponential curves actively defining the half-life for the elements, we have parent-daughter relationships that show that the proportions of elements found does in fact correlate with the measured half-lives. Radioactive dating methods also correlate and confirm each other, even though they are derived from materials with different half-lives and therefore different proportions of the various elements at different ages. One example of such correlations is found with the Oklo evidence.http://oklo.curtin.edu.au/ Another example of this is the correlation of radiocarbon dating with both annual tree rings and with organic specimens from the varves in Lake Suigetsu, showing that 14C dating methods do in fact represent the age of the specimens, because we know their age by other means, means that are more accurate than 14C (due to atmospheric variations in 14C) and which can be used to correct for the atmospheric fluctuations in the past.However, to more fully discuss radioactive decay and dating systems that are based on this concept we would prefer a system not subject to this kind of variation seen with 14C. We also need one that can be correlated over substantial time to validate the system. Such an example is found in USGS URL Resolution Error Page (8)
quote: Corroborated by two independent radiometric methods. The oldest date in the data table is 567,700 years ago. So what exactly do we have here? Water dripping down a cave wall, depositing calcite and various other minerals and impurities, elements that are soluble in water, including trace levels of radioactive isotopes of uranium. Material that gets deposited with the calcite formation as the water evaporates, forming layer after layer of similar deposits, each one trapping the material in their respective layers. The calcite forms a matrix that holds the impurities, minerals and trace elements in a position related to the time the calcite was deposited. The calcite is deposited year by year, with the soluble elements being trapped as the water evaporates, and thus dating the layers radioactively by the measurement of the relative amounts of non-soluble elements that are derived by radioactive decay of soluble radioactive elements. In this case two independent radioactive elements, Thorium and Protactinium. Radiometric Dating (9)
quote: http://www.ead.anl.gov/pub/doc/protactinium.pdf (5)
quote: The U-235 to Pa-231 decay is from a different series than the U-234 to Th-230 decay, so the two are independent of each other. Again, as the Devil's Hole calcite was deposited after being dissolved in water, the Pa-231 in the calcite could only come from the decay of the parent U-235, giving an accurate measurement of the age of the layers of calcite. Exponential decay - Wikipedia (4)
quote: Using the half-lives of thorium-230 (75,380 years) and protactinium-231 (32,760 years), we can now draw the exponential curves for these isotopes (with % on the y-axis and time in k-yrs on the x axis, thorium in blue and protactinium in red): This means we have a series of data with three different pieces of information: calcite layer age by relative depth in the formation, and Thorium-230 content and Protactinium-231 content in each layer. We also note that Thorium-230 has a half-life of 75,380 years, while Protactinium-231 has a half-life of 32,760 years - less than half the half-life of Thorium-230. This means that layer by layer the ratio of Thorium-230 to Protactinium-231 is different:
Age THr=THf/THo PAr=PAf/PAo THr/PAr So for these dates to be invalid there would have to be a mechanism that can layer by layer preferentially change the ratio of these two {elements\isotopes} within the solid calcite vein. Rather than just wave his hands in denial, Smooth Operator -- or anyone else trying to deny this evidence -- would have to show some reasonable method to achieve these different ratios by some other system. This validates radioactive decay rates for the 567,000 year duration of this evidence, and confirms the half-lives for each of these isotopes. In other words, we can have a high degree of confidence in the measured decay rates of the various elements involved from the multiple sources of information and from the correlations of information that validate these rates.
2.) Halo itself. 2.) And the second assumption, which is even worse. Is the assumption that the U238 halo was produced by a constand decay rate. And then you turn and say that since it was constant decy, it had constant energy, thus a specific halo was formed that can only be produced by constant energy. That's circular logic. Since you don't know by what energy strength was that halo formed, you don't know if it was formed by constant decay, and of course constant energy. And you don't know that, because you never saw a U238 halo form, and what energy it took to form the said halo, that you never saw form in the first place. Again, Smooth Operator is missing the vital element of this issue: the alpha decay energy needs to be constant for the halos to form, as the diameter of the halo for each different isotope in the decay series is fixed by the unique alpha decay energy for that isotope. Nobody needs to observe the halo being formed to see that the result is due to the alpha decay energies being the same for each isotope in the series over a period of time long enough for all the alpha decay events to have occurred. Due to the physics involved, decay energy, whether alpha or beta, is related to the half-life of the particular isotope. Each isotope that decays by alpha decay has a unique alpha decay energy specific to that kind of decay event. This physics also shows that if you change the decay rate that this results in change to the alpha energy. Further the physics shows that any change to the basics of decay will affect different isotopes to different degrees, so the change to one isotope's alpha decay rate\energy will be different from the change to another isotope's alpha decay rate\energy. Thus the problem that needs to be explained is how all these decay events actually occurred with the precise alpha energy to form the halos if the decay rates were different. Each isotope decay rate change needs to be "juggled" in a different degree to explain the evidence of the halos. Saying that there is evidence of decay rate changes (even if true) and saying that there is evidence of alpha energy changes (also even if true) does not show how this is coordinated to produce the halo at the correct diameter. One needs to complete an alternate explanation that fully explains all the evidence, not just denial of the explanation provided by physics, the halos, and an old age for the earth. Smooth Operator has not done this. His premises are false, and therefore all his conclusions are invalid. I have no interest in debating Smooth Operator further on this issue, until he can show how each precise alpha decay energy can be produce by some other method, and demonstrate that decay rates can be changed by factors of thousands while producing the same alpha decay energy. He can start another thread to do this. and the final bit I want to include in this summary is from Message 99:
Gamow factor - Wikipedia
quote: Oh look, I found this by googling gamow decay energy calculation http://www.phy.uct.ac.za/courses/phy300w/np/ch1/node38.html
quote: Change the decay rate and you change the energy of the decay particle. and
(PDF) On the Effectiveness of Gamow's Method for Calculating Decay Rates quote: The decay rate is calculated from the decay energy. There you have it -- a direct link between decay energy and the half-life of the isotopes. Note that this is not a linear function, so doubling the decay rate results in different decay energies of the alpha particles from different isotopes and they don't have the same ratios one to the next as we observe with today's decay rates. Link this with the large number of decay events needed to form a visible halo and it is clear that these constants have not changed during the formation of the uranium halos Enjoy Edited by RAZD, : . Edited by RAZD, : .by our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1659 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
The evidence speaks for itself: the earth is old. Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1659 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined: |
quote: So one of the results was that the decay process produced not just alpha and beta decay particles and the isotopes made by their removal by decay, but also the rarer fission into two much larger products: the "new, lighter elements" and their abundance confirmed that a nuclear chain reaction similar to what is seen in man-made reactors. We also see that the "plutonium itself underwent fission, as attested by the presence of its characteristic fission products." What happens with a decay chain is that isotope after isotope is produced until a much smaller stable element is created by the removal of the decay particles. But there is also an aspect of this decay process called ...
quote: Radionuclide B also produces a radionuclide C that can be in secular equilibrium , and on down to the final stable isotope. This means that the proportions of the different decay products in a decay chain that has existed long enough to reach secular equilibrium at all levels would have specific proportions that depend on the individual isotope half-lives. Changing the half-life of one isotope creates different changes to the other isotopes (see Message 139 above) and thus the secular equilibrium would result in a different set of proportions of the decay chain isotopes. This was not observed at the Oklo Natural Reactors even though massive investigation and testing and evaluations were done. What they found was the same as observed in man-made reactors. Remember that the Oklo Natural Reactors were found because the secular equilibrium level for 235U was only 99.6% of the natural decay uranium secular equilibrium levels (0.717% instead of 0.720%). Logical Conclusion: the decay rates have not changed for over 2 billion years. Enjoy Edited by RAZD, : .by our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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AlexCaledin Member (Idle past 667 days) Posts: 64 From: Samara, Russia Joined: |
It's completely pointless to assert what actually happened two billion years ago. Things only seem that way, allowing to suggest a good model for putting some measured (and not actually interesting) things in some order - but no more than that.
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RAZD Member (Idle past 1659 days) Posts: 20714 From: the other end of the sidewalk Joined:
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It's completely pointless to assert what actually happened two billion years ago. Things only seem that way, allowing to suggest a good model for putting some measured (and not actually interesting) things in some order - but no more than that. So you prefer to believe in a lying god/s that create hoaxes and false narratives. Something that I consider totally pointless, so totally pointless that you run away from any point on which to base your view of reality. What you believe in becomes a world of illusion and make believe, where anything - repeat ANYTHING - is of equal importance: none. You have no test for reality. Enjoyby our ability to understand Rebel☮American☆Zen☯Deist ... to learn ... to think ... to live ... to laugh ... to share. Join the effort to solve medical problems, AIDS/HIV, Cancer and more with Team EvC! (click)
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