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Author Topic:   Why is evolution so controversial?
frako
Member (Idle past 335 days)
Posts: 2932
From: slovenija
Joined: 09-04-2010


Message 826 of 969 (740329)
11-04-2014 2:51 AM
Reply to: Message 823 by zaius137
11-03-2014 9:43 PM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
and 20 years per generation
The problem is where?
how do you know the average generation is 20 years? chimps live for 35 years in the wild and reproduce at 12 years. And we don't know what the life cycles of our extinct ancestors where.

Christianity, One woman's lie about an affair that got seriously out of hand
What are the Christians gonna do to me ..... Forgive me, good luck with that.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 823 by zaius137, posted 11-03-2014 9:43 PM zaius137 has replied

Replies to this message:
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sfs
Member (Idle past 2563 days)
Posts: 464
From: Cambridge, MA USA
Joined: 08-27-2003


Message 827 of 969 (740333)
11-04-2014 8:02 AM
Reply to: Message 823 by zaius137
11-03-2014 9:43 PM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
quote:
Well I guess you better notify Michael W. Nachman, and Susan L. Crowell that the units do not match in the equation they used for this paper. By the way do you know the units of (k) and (u)?
Go back and read the post immediately before yours. It gives the units, and also explains why Nachman and Crowell's equation is just fine for single-base substitutions. Think about it until you understand it.
quote:
k = is mutations (%)
Which is it? The number of mutations or the percentage difference? If you have two identical genomes, except that one of them has had an insertion mutation of 30 million base pairs, 1 out of 100 bases is different, but only 1 out of 3,000,000,000 sites has mutated. The mutation rate counts this as 1 event, while the percentage difference counts it as 30,000,000 differences. Counting the number of mutations is never going to get you to the percentage difference unless you know how big the mutations are.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 823 by zaius137, posted 11-03-2014 9:43 PM zaius137 has replied

Replies to this message:
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sfs
Member (Idle past 2563 days)
Posts: 464
From: Cambridge, MA USA
Joined: 08-27-2003


Message 828 of 969 (740337)
11-04-2014 8:29 AM
Reply to: Message 825 by zaius137
11-03-2014 10:37 PM


Re: A mutation is a mutation is a mutation.
quote:
Are you claiming interbreeding populations (by the way the populations at this point were relatively large) did not have a female female linage? That is what would have to happen again and again.
The population in question -- the people migrating out of Africa -- was small, and probably only a handful of matings between anatomically modern humans took place. Only about a third of the Neandertal genome is preserved in the descendants of those matings; there's no reason that mitochondrial DNA should be part of it.
quote:
You accuse me of having improbable mechanisms? That is total nonsense.
Show your work: given a plausible demographic model of the Out of Africa migration, and estimates for the amount of Neandertal admixture, calculate the probability that Neandertal mtDNA would have survived.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 825 by zaius137, posted 11-03-2014 10:37 PM zaius137 has replied

Replies to this message:
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Dr Adequate
Member (Idle past 314 days)
Posts: 16113
Joined: 07-20-2006


Message 829 of 969 (740343)
11-04-2014 9:08 AM
Reply to: Message 823 by zaius137
11-03-2014 9:43 PM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
The problem is where?
The problem is that since your value for k is the divergence between the genomes, then is not, in fact, "mutations (%)".
This has been explained to you. And explained to you. And explained to you.
Well I guess you better notify Michael W. Nachman, and Susan L. Crowell that the units do not match in the equation they used for this paper.
They didn't make your mistake. This has also been explained to you. This is why they did a different calculation and got a different answer. This has been explained to you.
Your mistake was passably interesting when you first made it. Watching you make it again and again and again is boring.
Edited by Dr Adequate, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
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New Cat's Eye
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 830 of 969 (740344)
11-04-2014 9:53 AM
Reply to: Message 822 by sfs
11-03-2014 6:59 PM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
Multiply the mutation rate (= (number of mutations)/bp/generation) by the mean size of the mutation (= (number of bases changed)/mutation) and you'll get (number of bases changed)/bp/generation. Multiply that by the number of generations, and you've got k, the fraction of bases that differ (= (number of bases changed)/bp). For single-base substitutions, it doesn't matter, since it's 1 (base changed)/mutation.
Hey man,
Have you ever used LaTeX?
Percy put the coding in so we could use it here. With it, you can change your paragraph into formulas. Check it out:

\\
and\\
\\
mean\ size\ of\ the\ mutation = {number\ of\ bases\ changed \over mutation}\\
\\
so\\
\\
mutation\ rate \times mean\ size\ of\ the\ mutation\ =\\
\\
{number\ of\ mutations \over {bp \times generation}} \times {number\ of\ bases\ changed \over mutation}\\
\\
\\
which\ gives\\
\\
\\
{number\ of\ bases\ changed \over {bp \times generation}}
\\
\\
Multiply\ that\ by\ the\ number\ of\ generations\ and\ you\ get\
\\
\\
k = {number\ of\ bases\ changed \over bp} [/latex]-->
Its kind of a bitch to type all the coding out, but once its done it looks a lot better.
Dontcha think?

This message is a reply to:
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Replies to this message:
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Dr Jack
Member
Posts: 3514
From: Immigrant in the land of Deutsch
Joined: 07-14-2003
Member Rating: 9.2


Message 831 of 969 (740345)
11-04-2014 9:59 AM
Reply to: Message 807 by zaius137
11-03-2014 3:14 PM


Re: A mutation is a mutation is a mutation.
Oh dear, not the most credible source, I'm afraid. Cherry-picked data and a confused blending of methods doesn't give a reliable estimate.
I suggest you'd be rather better off reading the research of actual scientists rather than agenda-driven drivel of creationists.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 807 by zaius137, posted 11-03-2014 3:14 PM zaius137 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 833 by zaius137, posted 11-04-2014 11:34 AM Dr Jack has replied

  
zaius137
Member (Idle past 3439 days)
Posts: 407
Joined: 05-08-2012


Message 832 of 969 (740351)
11-04-2014 11:29 AM
Reply to: Message 827 by sfs
11-04-2014 8:02 AM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
quote:
Which is it? The number of mutations or the percentage difference?
Units are mutations and represent variance is percentage. Any way the mutation units (what ever they may be) are canceled in the first division.
k/u leaves generation. (t) is in units of generation.
quote:
If you have two identical genomes, except that one of them has had an insertion mutation of 30 million base pairs, 1 out of 100 bases is different, but only 1 out of 3,000,000,000 sites has mutated. The mutation rate counts this as 1 event, while the percentage difference counts it as 30,000,000 differences.
OK let us count every site difference between the two genomes and see what percentage of variance comes up. The number is bp adjusted via alignment tool.
quote:
Counting the number of mutations is never going to get you to the percentage difference unless you know how big the mutations are.
Again bp is not completely counted, it is defiantly the adjusted percentage difference between the human chimp genome. Look, if you did a bruit force comparison between base pairs, human against chimp, the similarity of base pairs would be in the 65% range. You do not want to go there. So saying that all base pairs are accounted for in variance is just not true.
I used to write algorithms for variance (not for biology). The alignment tools used in these comparisons adjust for distances and gaps and bp, in the genomes.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 827 by sfs, posted 11-04-2014 8:02 AM sfs has replied

Replies to this message:
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zaius137
Member (Idle past 3439 days)
Posts: 407
Joined: 05-08-2012


Message 833 of 969 (740352)
11-04-2014 11:34 AM
Reply to: Message 831 by Dr Jack
11-04-2014 9:59 AM


Re: A mutation is a mutation is a mutation.
You are a agenda driven evolutionist and I am a faith driven creationist.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 831 by Dr Jack, posted 11-04-2014 9:59 AM Dr Jack has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 845 by Dr Jack, posted 11-04-2014 1:13 PM zaius137 has replied

  
Taq
Member
Posts: 10085
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.6


Message 834 of 969 (740355)
11-04-2014 11:44 AM
Reply to: Message 823 by zaius137
11-03-2014 9:43 PM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
Well I guess you better notify Michael W. Nachman, and Susan L. Crowell that the units do not match in the equation they used for this paper.
The units they are using do match since they are using number of mutations for both.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 823 by zaius137, posted 11-03-2014 9:43 PM zaius137 has replied

Replies to this message:
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zaius137
Member (Idle past 3439 days)
Posts: 407
Joined: 05-08-2012


Message 835 of 969 (740356)
11-04-2014 11:46 AM
Reply to: Message 830 by New Cat's Eye
11-04-2014 9:53 AM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
It is great far better than my chicken scratch. How do you get to the generation units of (t)?
Remember:
t = .5(k/u - 4Ne).
Units of (u) cancel all units of (k) except the generation unit. Does your point even matter?
My point may not be as pretty, but it carries more weight.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 830 by New Cat's Eye, posted 11-04-2014 9:53 AM New Cat's Eye has replied

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Taq
Member
Posts: 10085
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.6


Message 836 of 969 (740358)
11-04-2014 11:47 AM
Reply to: Message 824 by zaius137
11-03-2014 10:11 PM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
Keep in mind I am a narrow minded creationist who needs more proof than a speculation.
If that were so, then there would be no creationists since creationism is based purely on faith.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 824 by zaius137, posted 11-03-2014 10:11 PM zaius137 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 839 by zaius137, posted 11-04-2014 11:50 AM Taq has replied

  
zaius137
Member (Idle past 3439 days)
Posts: 407
Joined: 05-08-2012


Message 837 of 969 (740359)
11-04-2014 11:47 AM
Reply to: Message 834 by Taq
11-04-2014 11:44 AM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
quote:
The units they are using do match since they are using number of mutations for both.
So am I....

This message is a reply to:
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RAZD
Member (Idle past 1435 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 838 of 969 (740360)
11-04-2014 11:49 AM
Reply to: Message 824 by zaius137
11-03-2014 10:11 PM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point -- hominid ancestors
Only cranial material? ...
And yet a fairly complete skull. Other places where we could look for intermediate traits would be in the hips, knees and feet, but having a full skull means a wealth of information is available.
... Keep in mind I am a narrow minded creationist who needs more proof than a speculation.
Curiously it is the cranium (skull) that shows a mix of differences between chimp and human traits -- an intermediate mosaic of traits -- from teeth to eyebrows to location of the spine connection. It falls into sequence with other fossils:
It is before {B} in this diagram
29 Evidences for Macroevolution: Part 1
{A} is a modern chimp, {B} is (B) Australopithecus africanus (STS 5), 2.6 My old.
All those skulls except {A} have the same location of the spine to skull connection that shows upright posture and it is an adaptation that allows\facilitates bipedal locomotion.
In between Sahelanthropus tchadensis and Australopithecus africanus we have three sets of fossils, starting with Orrorin tugenensis
quote:
Nickname: Millenium Man
Where Lived: Eastern Africa (Tugen Hills, central Kenya)
When Lived: Sometime between 6.2 and 5.8 million years ago
Living around 6 million years ago, Orrorin tugenensis is the one of the oldest early humans on our family tree. Individuals of this species were approximately the size of a chimpanzee and had small teeth with thick enamel, similar to modern humans. The most important fossil of this species is an upper femur, showing evidence of bone buildup typical of a biped - so Orrorin tugenensis individuals climbed trees but also probably walked upright with two legs on the ground.
Now we know that Australopithecus africanus (skull {B} above) was also able to climb trees and walk upright, so this is consilient with hominid evolution.
We also have Ardipithecus kadabba:
quote:
Where Lived: Eastern Africa (Middle Awash Valley, Ethiopia)
When Lived: Between about 5.8 and 5.2 million years ago
Ardipithecus kadabba was bipedal (walked upright), probably similar in body and brain size to a modern chimpanzee, and had canines that resemble those in later hominins but that still project beyond the tooth row. This early human species is only known in the fossil record by a few post-cranial bones and sets of teeth. One bone from the large toe has a broad, robust appearance, suggesting its use in bipedal push-off.
And we have Ardipithecus ramidus:
quote:
Nickname: Ardi
Where Lived: Eastern Africa (Middle Awash and Gona, Ethiopia)
When Lived: About 4.4 million years ago
Ardipithecus ramidus was first reported in 1994; in 2009, scientists announced a partial skeleton, nicknamed ‘Ardi’. The foot bones in this skeleton indicate a divergent large toe combined with a rigid foot — it's still unclear what this means concerning bipedal behavior. The pelvis, reconstructed from a crushed specimen, is said to show adaptations that combine tree-climbing and bipedal activity. The discoverers argue that the ‘Ardi’ skeleton reflects a human-African ape common ancestor that was not chimpanzee-like. A good sample of canine teeth of this species indicates very little difference in size between males and females in this species.
Ardi’s fossils were found alongside faunal remains indicating she lived in a wooded environment. This contradicts the open savanna theory for the origin of bipedalism, which states that humans learned to walk upright as climates became drier and environments became more open and grassy.
And it is pretty clear (to me) that the ability to walk upright was an earlier adaptation to a mixed ecology. These lineages take the hominid family tree from present day back to the time for the common ancestor species and our divergence from chimpanzees. Their gradual changes in characteristics, where each group is intermediate between ones before and ones after show a clear trend fully explained by evolutionary processes.
Enjoy
Edited by RAZD, : clrty

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This message is a reply to:
 Message 824 by zaius137, posted 11-03-2014 10:11 PM zaius137 has not replied

  
zaius137
Member (Idle past 3439 days)
Posts: 407
Joined: 05-08-2012


Message 839 of 969 (740361)
11-04-2014 11:50 AM
Reply to: Message 836 by Taq
11-04-2014 11:47 AM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
quote:
If that were so, then there would be no creationists since creationism is based purely on faith.
And your faith in evolution takes more imagination than I could ever muster.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 836 by Taq, posted 11-04-2014 11:47 AM Taq has replied

Replies to this message:
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Taq
Member
Posts: 10085
Joined: 03-06-2009
Member Rating: 5.6


(1)
Message 840 of 969 (740363)
11-04-2014 11:54 AM
Reply to: Message 832 by zaius137
11-04-2014 11:29 AM


Re: Any real evidence for evolution, point on point.
Units are mutations and represent variance is percentage.
False. You are using two different sets of units: Mutations/generation and bases changed/generation. 1 mutation can change 1 or even 10,000 bases.
OK let us count every site difference between the two genomes and see what percentage of variance comes up.
Ok, let's do that:
seq A:  GCTTAGATTATTTCGAGATG
seq B:  GCTTAG_____TTCGAGATG
For a 20 base sequence, they differ by 5 bases for 75% identity. However, they only differ by 1 indel mutation. We get 25% for variance but 1 for mutation.

This message is a reply to:
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