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Author Topic:   If it can be, how can the "Absence of Evidence" be "Evidence of Absence?".
Rahvin
Member
Posts: 4046
Joined: 07-01-2005
Member Rating: 8.3


(1)
Message 166 of 309 (535175)
11-13-2009 12:02 PM
Reply to: Message 153 by kbertsche
11-12-2009 10:13 PM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
You (like the YouTube video narrator) are completely missing the point.
Quite to the contrary - you have completely ignored the point that the "fine-tuning" argument rests entirely on the unfounded assumption that life as we know it is somehow a "goal" of the Universe.
Show support for this assumption, or the rest of your house of cards topples.
I won't hold my breath.
A universe which lasts for a millisecond, or which expands so fast that stars never form, is uninteresting. Such a universe cannot generate the complexity needed to support complex life.
So?
Let's return to the pothole-puddle analogy.
Instead of a pothole, we could have a flat patch of ground, or even a mound - a place where water would not have a place to fill. Does this mean that potholes are fine-tuned to hold water?
A universe with the correct expansion rate to be interesting requires an extreme fine-tuning of the cosmological constant, in the neighborhood of one part in 10^120. Otherwise you cannot support complex life of ANY sort (not just "life as we know it").
And again...so?
You continue to operate under the unfounded assumption that life as we know it is a "goal" for the Universe.
Take a look at the Harnik paper referenced in the YouTube video (R. Harnik, G.D Kribs, and G. Perez, "A universe without weak interactions," Phys. Rev. D 74 (3), 2006, id 035006.) The YouTube narrator thinks this supports his claims but it actually contradicts them:
Harnik et al writes:
quote:
The apparent habitability of the weakless universe suggests that the anthropic principle does not determine the scale of electroweak breaking, or even require that it be smaller than the Planck scale, so long as technically natural parameters may be suitably adjusted. ... Considering a similar analysis for the cosmological constant, however, we argue that no adjustments of other parameters are able to allow the cosmological constant to raise up even remotely close to the Planck scale while obtaining macroscopic structure. The fine-tuning problems associated with the electroweak breaking scale and the cosmological constant therefore appear to be qualitatively different from the perspective of obtaining a habitable universe.
I didn't appeal to a YouTube video. I don't argue via proxy - I'm capable of presenting my own argument. I couldn't care less what that YouTube video says - I didn't even watch it.
But again - your source argues using the unfounded assumption that life as we know it is a "goal" for the Universe"
quote:
from the perspective of obtaining a habitable universe.
This assumption is key to the remainder of the argument. If life as we know it is not a "goal" for the Universe, then the Universe cannot be "fine-tuned" to support life.
No evidence has been presented to support the concept that life as we know it is a "goal" for the Universe. In fact, I alluded to evidence that this is explicitly [i]not[i] the case in my previous post...which you ignored, in favor of simply repeating yourself. Allow me to be more specific:
The concept that human life is a "goal" for the Universe is on the level with the assumption that the Earth is the center of the universe. You can make a self-consistent argument using both assumptions, but there is no reason to think they are true beyond simple human self-importance.
Life as we know it occupies a single small planet orbiting a single star in a Universe so inconceivably vast that to assume that the purpose of the whole thing is to give rise to us demonstrates a staggering level of arrogance. The vast majority of the Universe is not "fine-tuned" to life. The Universe is far more "fine-tuned" to support Hydrogen or Oxygen or stars or galaxies or interstellar dust particles or comets or water or any number of other things that by far outnumber and out-mass every living thing that has ever existed combined.
The basic laws of the Universe may have been inevitable, the only way that a Universe can form. Or it may have been one of an infinite number of infinitely varied Universes, ranging from those that can support life throughout their entire volume to those where no life or even matter could ever form. We simply don't know. What we do know is that our Universe bears no evidence of having been "tuned" to cause us to form - rather, we show very conclusive evidence of having evolved and adapted to fit one niche within the Universe. This is the assumption of many Theists, but is still an unfounded, unevidenced assumption upon which the entire concept of "fine-tuning" rests.
We are the water, and the Universe is the pothole. We formed to fit the Universe, not the other way around. If the pothole had a different shape that could still hold water, "life" would simply possibly exist in a form different from ours. If the pothole was not a pothole but was rather a flat patch of ground or a mound or a mountain or an empty space or any number of other options, then life would simply not have formed. None of which means that the pothole was specifically dug in an exact shape to cause water to fill it in a precise way.
In other words, they claim that the electroweak interaction does not need fine-tuning (so long as other parameters are fine-tuned to account for its variation). But the same is NOT true of the cosmological constant, which DOES require extreme fine tuning for any possible universe which can support life.
In other words, you continue to babble about irrelevant topics rather than addressing the root of the problem:
Your argument only follows if the assumption that life as we know it is a "goal" for the Universe is true.
You have not shown that it is true. Therefore, your argument does not follow. You have shown no evidence for the "fine-tuning" of the Universe because your argument rests on an unproven premise. End of story. QED. Done.
Support that basic assumption with evidence, and then your other arguments will be relevant. Until then, it's a house built with no foundation.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 153 by kbertsche, posted 11-12-2009 10:13 PM kbertsche has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 168 by kbertsche, posted 11-13-2009 1:06 PM Rahvin has not replied

cavediver
Member (Idle past 3674 days)
Posts: 4129
From: UK
Joined: 06-16-2005


Message 167 of 309 (535178)
11-13-2009 1:03 PM
Reply to: Message 164 by Huntard
11-13-2009 7:55 AM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
The Cosmological Constant is actually a very good example of fine tuning - we do need a reason why it has the value it takes, and much study has been made in this area. There are various potential mechanisms and of course the standard multi-verse possibility. But it does need addressing. Umpteen parameters that are necessary for life on Earth are finely tuned, and the fine tuning is kindly provided by the multiverse of planets and stars that make up the Universe.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 164 by Huntard, posted 11-13-2009 7:55 AM Huntard has not replied

kbertsche
Member (Idle past 2162 days)
Posts: 1427
From: San Jose, CA, USA
Joined: 05-10-2007


(1)
Message 168 of 309 (535179)
11-13-2009 1:06 PM
Reply to: Message 166 by Rahvin
11-13-2009 12:02 PM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
quote:
Quite to the contrary - you have completely ignored the point that the "fine-tuning" argument rests entirely on the unfounded assumption that life as we know it is somehow a "goal" of the Universe.
Show support for this assumption, or the rest of your house of cards topples.
I have not argued that "life as we know it is somehow a 'goal' of the Universe." This does not underlie my claims or the data that I've presented.
quote:
You continue to operate under the unfounded assumption that life as we know it is a "goal" for the Universe.
I have not argued this.
quote:
This assumption is key to the remainder of the argument. If life as we know it is not a "goal" for the Universe, then the Universe cannot be "fine-tuned" to support life.
This does not follow. No matter what the "goal," the cosmological constant must be extremely fine-tuned for the universe to be be able to sustain life.
quote:
No evidence has been presented to support the concept that life as we know it is a "goal" for the Universe.
Exactly. I have not argued this point. It is not relevant to my argument.
quote:
Your argument only follows if the assumption that life as we know it is a "goal" for the Universe is true.
Not so. The statement is very simple. If a universe will be able to sustain life (whether that is its "goal" or not), then the cosmological constant must be extremely fine-tuned. Do you disagree with this?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 166 by Rahvin, posted 11-13-2009 12:02 PM Rahvin has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 169 by Parasomnium, posted 11-13-2009 4:27 PM kbertsche has replied

Parasomnium
Member
Posts: 2224
Joined: 07-15-2003


Message 169 of 309 (535198)
11-13-2009 4:27 PM
Reply to: Message 168 by kbertsche
11-13-2009 1:06 PM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
kbertsche writes:
If a universe will be able to sustain life (whether that is its "goal" or not), then the cosmological constant must be extremely fine-tuned.
I think part of the problem in this debate lies in two different meanings connected with the term 'fine-tuned'. The meaning of the verb 'to fine-tune' is something like "precisely adjusting something towards an optimum setting". On this interpretation, the idea of a goal is an implicit part of it. Moreover, those who use the argument of fine-tuning as evidence for an intelligent creator of the universe, can only do so consistently if they admit that their fine-tuning entity had a goal in mind, or else their argument is useless.
Another possible interpretation of the word (not the verb) 'fine-tuned' is something like "having a very exact, particular value". If the term is used in this sense, the notion of a goal is much less strongly implied, if at all. On this interpretation, the fact that we find ourselves in a universe that's exactly right for us cannot be a surprise, because if the universe wasn't exactly right for us, we wouldn't be here to think about it.
The use of these two different meanings as interchangeable interpretations might be the cause of some confusion.

"Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge: it is those who know little, not those who know much, who so positively assert that this or that problem will never be solved by science." - Charles Darwin.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 168 by kbertsche, posted 11-13-2009 1:06 PM kbertsche has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 170 by bluescat48, posted 11-13-2009 5:47 PM Parasomnium has replied
 Message 174 by kbertsche, posted 11-16-2009 10:43 AM Parasomnium has replied

bluescat48
Member (Idle past 4220 days)
Posts: 2347
From: United States
Joined: 10-06-2007


Message 170 of 309 (535204)
11-13-2009 5:47 PM
Reply to: Message 169 by Parasomnium
11-13-2009 4:27 PM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
The point is not whether the universe is fine tuned for us as much as we are fine tuned to the universe. Without us be tuned for the universe than life is impossible or would be totally different than it is. It is not that the universe exists for us but that we are capable of being here do to the physical properties that allow us to be here and the fact that over the course of 13.8 billion years there have been numerous creation of life supporting elements from such things as supernovae, which creates the heavier elements from which provides the substances that contribute to life. It is not that it it the only possibility as some in this topic would state. We exist because we are tuned to the universe.

There is no better love between 2 people than mutual respect for each other WT Young, 2002
Who gave anyone the authority to call me an authority on anything. WT Young, 1969
Since Evolution is only ~90% correct it should be thrown out and replaced by Creation which has even a lower % of correctness. W T Young, 2008

This message is a reply to:
 Message 169 by Parasomnium, posted 11-13-2009 4:27 PM Parasomnium has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 171 by Parasomnium, posted 11-13-2009 6:12 PM bluescat48 has replied

Parasomnium
Member
Posts: 2224
Joined: 07-15-2003


Message 171 of 309 (535206)
11-13-2009 6:12 PM
Reply to: Message 170 by bluescat48
11-13-2009 5:47 PM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
Bluescat48, what exactly do you think my argument was in post 169? And what do you think my view is with regard to the fine-tuning argument?

"Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge: it is those who know little, not those who know much, who so positively assert that this or that problem will never be solved by science." - Charles Darwin.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 170 by bluescat48, posted 11-13-2009 5:47 PM bluescat48 has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 172 by bluescat48, posted 11-13-2009 11:09 PM Parasomnium has replied

bluescat48
Member (Idle past 4220 days)
Posts: 2347
From: United States
Joined: 10-06-2007


Message 172 of 309 (535241)
11-13-2009 11:09 PM
Reply to: Message 171 by Parasomnium
11-13-2009 6:12 PM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
I was agreeing with you just extrapolating it. The point I was trying to make is that the universe is not tuned for us we are tuned to it since we are made from it.

There is no better love between 2 people than mutual respect for each other WT Young, 2002
Who gave anyone the authority to call me an authority on anything. WT Young, 1969
Since Evolution is only ~90% correct it should be thrown out and replaced by Creation which has even a lower % of correctness. W T Young, 2008

This message is a reply to:
 Message 171 by Parasomnium, posted 11-13-2009 6:12 PM Parasomnium has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 173 by Parasomnium, posted 11-14-2009 4:06 AM bluescat48 has not replied

Parasomnium
Member
Posts: 2224
Joined: 07-15-2003


Message 173 of 309 (535253)
11-14-2009 4:06 AM
Reply to: Message 172 by bluescat48
11-13-2009 11:09 PM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
I was agreeing with you just extrapolating it.
Ah, OK. That wasn't quite clear to me from what you wrote. Excuse me for perhaps sounding a bit condescending, I didn't mean it that way.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 172 by bluescat48, posted 11-13-2009 11:09 PM bluescat48 has not replied

kbertsche
Member (Idle past 2162 days)
Posts: 1427
From: San Jose, CA, USA
Joined: 05-10-2007


Message 174 of 309 (535495)
11-16-2009 10:43 AM
Reply to: Message 169 by Parasomnium
11-13-2009 4:27 PM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
quote:
I think part of the problem in this debate lies in two different meanings connected with the term 'fine-tuned'. The meaning of the verb 'to fine-tune' is something like "precisely adjusting something towards an optimum setting". On this interpretation, the idea of a goal is an implicit part of it. Moreover, those who use the argument of fine-tuning as evidence for an intelligent creator of the universe, can only do so consistently if they admit that their fine-tuning entity had a goal in mind, or else their argument is useless.
Another possible interpretation of the word (not the verb) 'fine-tuned' is something like "having a very exact, particular value". If the term is used in this sense, the notion of a goal is much less strongly implied, if at all. On this interpretation, the fact that we find ourselves in a universe that's exactly right for us cannot be a surprise, because if the universe wasn't exactly right for us, we wouldn't be here to think about it.
The use of these two different meanings as interchangeable interpretations might be the cause of some confusion.
Perhaps. Some are probably unclear about what they mean by "fine-tuning," and I suspect others read things in to the phrase that aren't there. The phrase fine-tuning in science simply means the second of your two definitions. The universe is fine-tuned to very high precision.
The next question is "Why?" There are a number of possible answers. Perhaps this is the goal of a divine creator, or perhaps there are a nearly-infinite number of multiverses. Neither of these answers is implicit in the phrase "fine-tuning." Both answers are inferences to the data.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 169 by Parasomnium, posted 11-13-2009 4:27 PM Parasomnium has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 175 by Parasomnium, posted 11-16-2009 3:05 PM kbertsche has replied

Parasomnium
Member
Posts: 2224
Joined: 07-15-2003


Message 175 of 309 (535529)
11-16-2009 3:05 PM
Reply to: Message 174 by kbertsche
11-16-2009 10:43 AM


Re: Fine tuning is alive and well
kbertsche writes:
The phrase fine-tuning in science simply means the second of your two definitions. The universe is fine-tuned to very high precision.
The next question is "Why?"
But I thought I'd just implied that on the second interpretation there is no "why". It's one side of the coin, the other side of which is: if the universe were different, there wouldn't be a "why not".
Actually, considering there is neither a "why", nor a "why not", there is in fact no coin, no dilemma.

"Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge: it is those who know little, not those who know much, who so positively assert that this or that problem will never be solved by science." - Charles Darwin.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 174 by kbertsche, posted 11-16-2009 10:43 AM kbertsche has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 183 by kbertsche, posted 11-17-2009 10:35 AM Parasomnium has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 176 of 309 (535530)
11-16-2009 3:14 PM
Reply to: Message 141 by RAZD
11-11-2009 7:56 PM


Empirical Objective Evidence In Favour Of Gods?
RAZD writes:
I think god/s may be possible, but I have no certainty on this issue.
Huntard writes:
Yes, they would be different.
Why would there need to be a reason for them to exist?
The empirical objective evidence is that they do exist. Some people wonder why.
Are you now claiming that there is empirical objective evidence in favour of the existence of gods?
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 141 by RAZD, posted 11-11-2009 7:56 PM RAZD has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 177 by Huntard, posted 11-16-2009 3:23 PM Straggler has replied
 Message 181 by RAZD, posted 11-16-2009 7:18 PM Straggler has replied

Huntard
Member (Idle past 2326 days)
Posts: 2870
From: Limburg, The Netherlands
Joined: 09-02-2008


Message 177 of 309 (535535)
11-16-2009 3:23 PM
Reply to: Message 176 by Straggler
11-16-2009 3:14 PM


Re: Empirical Objective Evidence In Favour Of Gods?
Straggler writes:
Are you now claiming that there is empirical objective evidence in favour of the existence of gods?
I don't think he is. The thing for which empirical evidence exists that he is talking about are the "laws of nature". The speculating he is talking about refers to the gods being the reason for them to exist.
Read my Message 116 for my original reply to RAZD for more clarity.

I hunt for the truth
I am the one Orgasmatron, the outstretched grasping hand
My image is of agony, my servants rape the land
Obsequious and arrogant, clandestine and vain
Two thousand years of misery, of torture in my name
Hypocrisy made paramount, paranoia the law
My name is called religion, sadistic, sacred whore.
-Lyrics by Lemmy Kilmister of Motorhead

This message is a reply to:
 Message 176 by Straggler, posted 11-16-2009 3:14 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 178 by Straggler, posted 11-16-2009 6:04 PM Huntard has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 178 of 309 (535552)
11-16-2009 6:04 PM
Reply to: Message 177 by Huntard
11-16-2009 3:23 PM


Re: Empirical Objective Evidence In Favour Of Gods?
Straggler to RAZD writes:
Are you now claiming that there is empirical objective evidence in favour of the existence of gods?
I don't think he is. The thing for which empirical evidence exists that he is talking about are the "laws of nature".
OK. I guess unless RAZD clarifies we can leave it at that. But he seems to me to be be suggesting that the existence of laws compatible with life is evidence of some sort of "why" question that implies the existence of gods.
RAZD writes:
Science does not explain why these forces exist in the first place.
That science is not equipped to test these concepts does not mean they are invalid, it just means that "the model" is incomplete. Message 115
The fact that our models are always necessarily incomplete doesn't seem to justify what is being implied here.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 177 by Huntard, posted 11-16-2009 3:23 PM Huntard has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 179 by Huntard, posted 11-16-2009 6:59 PM Straggler has replied

Huntard
Member (Idle past 2326 days)
Posts: 2870
From: Limburg, The Netherlands
Joined: 09-02-2008


Message 179 of 309 (535566)
11-16-2009 6:59 PM
Reply to: Message 178 by Straggler
11-16-2009 6:04 PM


Re: Empirical Objective Evidence In Favour Of Gods?
Straggler writes:
The fact that our models are always necessarily incomplete doesn't seem to justify what is being implied here.
Yes, like I said to him, we don't know, therefore claiming they must be because of a god is not a position I think someone should take.
They could be because of a god. But as long as no evidence of that fact is presented, acting like it isn't so has no consequence to reality whatsoever.

I hunt for the truth
I am the one Orgasmatron, the outstretched grasping hand
My image is of agony, my servants rape the land
Obsequious and arrogant, clandestine and vain
Two thousand years of misery, of torture in my name
Hypocrisy made paramount, paranoia the law
My name is called religion, sadistic, sacred whore.
-Lyrics by Lemmy Kilmister of Motorhead

This message is a reply to:
 Message 178 by Straggler, posted 11-16-2009 6:04 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 180 by Straggler, posted 11-16-2009 7:13 PM Huntard has replied

Straggler
Member (Idle past 96 days)
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 180 of 309 (535571)
11-16-2009 7:13 PM
Reply to: Message 179 by Huntard
11-16-2009 6:59 PM


Re: Empirical Objective Evidence In Favour Of Gods?
Huntard writes:
They could be because of a god.
Indeed they could. But the number of unevidenced possible causes for the universe and it's nature (of which gods are just a small subset) are all but infinite. Even if any of these actually are the cause the idea that anyone has guessed the right gap filler is 1 out of near infinity.
And then we have the fact that all the evidence so far suggests that supernatural answers are more than likely just the result of humans asking the wrong questions.
Edited by Straggler, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 179 by Huntard, posted 11-16-2009 6:59 PM Huntard has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 182 by Huntard, posted 11-17-2009 1:54 AM Straggler has seen this message but not replied

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