This video shows a man getting a hole in one on a par 3 hole by happening to hit his ball so that it lands on the green, rolls, bounces off of his opponents ball, and drops in the hole. For all those math whizzes out there that are so good at calculating how impossible evolution is, what is the probability that this man would be able to hit this shot? I'm betting the odds against it are super high. Does that mean that it didn't happen? Should I disregard the evidence that is this video, because, obviously, it's just too improbable? /point
We have many intuitions in our life and the point is that many of these intuitions are wrong. The question is, are we going to test those intuitions?
-Dan Ariely