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Member (Idle past 1770 days) Posts: 19762 From: Silver Spring, MD Joined: |
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Author | Topic: For Inquisitor, et al: What is Evolution? | |||||||||||||||||||
zephyr Member (Idle past 4853 days) Posts: 821 From: FOB Taji, Iraq Joined: |
There are all sorts of problems with this description. Let me take first crack, before better men arrive and tear it to shreds.
quote:It's a well-known fact that many (possibly a majority) of those who support the theory of evolution believe in or accept the existence of the supernatural, myself and many others here included. This alone invalidates definition #1. Some day you will have to accept that evolution was not invented to take the place of a god. quote:More correctly, it has been developed and refined by thousands over the last 160+ years. Keep an eye out for those details. quote:(and just maybe because the evidence overwhelmingly favors it?) quote:At least you're actually approaching reality here. Still, if you think you've actually described the theory of evolution as it exists anywhere but in your own mind, I'd really like to see where you got your information. [This message has been edited by zephyr, 05-05-2003]
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zephyr Member (Idle past 4853 days) Posts: 821 From: FOB Taji, Iraq Joined: |
Hi crashfrog,
We seem to have had the same idea there....
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zephyr Member (Idle past 4853 days) Posts: 821 From: FOB Taji, Iraq Joined: |
quote:Actually, it was the inability of the Genesis creation account to harmonize with factual observations that first caused scientists to question its accuracy. quote:Only when one is conditioned or persuaded to enter such a mindset as requires that interpretation. quote:Natural selection is not random. It is determined by environmental factors which may change over time, but in a particular population it can be expected to favor the same traits for many generations. Now we're back to the calculations of probability after the fact. Have you ever asked a statistician how useful that is? I was once impressed in a "sermon" by some of the numbers frequently cited as evidence that abiogenesis and evolution could not occur. Now that I know more about math, I resent being manipulated by such an inappropriate use of it. All the "evidence" I ever saw while I was a YEC has now fallen into that same category: facts twisted to comfort the flock and turn their minds from intelligent inquiry based on the real evidence as observed in nature.quote:The validity of a theory isn't determined by how it makes you feel or how it causes you to perceive a supposed higher power. You seem to be objecting to evolution because of its lack of purpose and imprecise means, which doesn't affect the evidence that many, many fields of science have provided in its favor. quote:I don't think this thread needs another tangent, and my beliefs wouldn't be as interesting as you might hope. I'm still looking for the truth, and open to many possibilities. The point is, large-scale surveys have disproven the idea that evolution simply provides comfort to those who are afraid to believe in a god to whom they might be accountable. I and some of the scientists who post here are simply examples of a large cross-section of society.
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zephyr Member (Idle past 4853 days) Posts: 821 From: FOB Taji, Iraq Joined: |
quote:NO! Any unbiased statistician will tell you that the likelihood of a particular event happening is UTTERLY USELESS in determining whether it has in fact happened in the past. Stop confusing unlikely with impossible! Do you know how unlikely it was that you, exactly, would be produced from the hundreds of eggs your mother will have released in her lifetime and the hundreds of millions of sperm put into her on each of (probably) hundreds of occasions? You do the math and there it is, "nigh unto impossible." Yet, here you are. This is EXACTLY the type of logic that you find convincing, but which I circular-filed as soon as I had taken one basic stats course. You have been used.
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zephyr Member (Idle past 4853 days) Posts: 821 From: FOB Taji, Iraq Joined: |
quote:Straw man. quote:The likelihood of producing YOU is what I referred to. Very very small. It happened. The more important point you do not seem to understand is that the miniscule odds are irrelevant. You exhibit the classic creationist fallacy of equating small possibility with impossibility. A little math training exposes this error for what it is. Here is the simplest explanation of why: Very unlikely x many trials = LIKELY! It's that simple. Again, I repeat: The likelihood of something happening is _USELESS_ in determining after the factwhether it happened. Especially since, as others have pointed out, we do not know all the variables, and therefore your probability is only speculative. [This message has been edited by zephyr, 05-13-2003]
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zephyr Member (Idle past 4853 days) Posts: 821 From: FOB Taji, Iraq Joined: |
quote:Unsupported assertions, where is your evidence? quote:I don't recall anyone arguing for infinite time or infinite trials. Moreover, these would only be necessary if you actually provide evidence for a true ZERO value of the probability of abiogenesis. quote:I don't personally know, and neither do you, but our ignorance doesn't mean it didn't happen. quote:Again, you don't understand so it's impossible? Maybe you should try doing some research about theories of abiogenesis and recent experiments' effects thereon. quote:I see a strawman being assembled, starting with this irrelevant question. The term "belief system" is totally inappropriate for the discussion, but I'll avoid that for now. The best answer: my learning leads me to expect a finite, non-zero probability of any particular arrangement of matter spontaneously coming about. My knowledge of physics will fall apart if I try to explain any further than that. Hopefully someone else can give you a better answer.
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zephyr Member (Idle past 4853 days) Posts: 821 From: FOB Taji, Iraq Joined: |
quote:I'm getting tired of hearing this claim over and over again. If you would keep up with more threads, you would know that the complete column is found in over 20 locations. In the last 2 months, I've seen your claim refuted in this very forum multiple times. quote:Describe these discrepancies and you will get a good explanation for them. quote:Now you're avoiding specific evidence and repeating a generalized claim that does not explain the sorting. Address the sorting of similar bodies by features unrelated to intelligence, mobility, ecological niche, size, or shape: the shell sutures. Explain "flood" strata both below and above desert strata. Explain a stratum representing the gradual evaporation of a sea - with "flood" strata above and below. Until you can explain the complexity of the geologic record, in detail from top to bottom, you are clutching at straws.
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zephyr Member (Idle past 4853 days) Posts: 821 From: FOB Taji, Iraq Joined: |
quote:I saw a really good answer here, which I can't locate, so I'll paraphrase. (Apologies to the author, feel free to identify yourself and/or clarify) The older the earth is, the more likely that sections of the column will be missing in some places, because of long-term erosion or other effects. A young earth with rapidly formed strata would likely have a complete column in most or all areas; therefore, the complicated geologic record with its myriad distinct catastrophes and discontinuities, verifies that our world has been around a long time and subject to many long-term variations in environment. quote:Sure. Quick burial does seem to be a factor that encourages fossilization. Are you implying that the only way that anything would ever be buried quickly is in a worldwide flood? Or that nobody but creationists believes in floods, because they don't believe in *THE* flood? Hardly. There are floods all throughout the fossil record in many locations. Many separate floods at different strata, with dry environments preserved between them. What there isn't is a single flood at any level that reaches around the world. Creationists love the strawman of uniformitarianism, the one that implies that "evilutionists" can't comprehend catastrophes... well, modern geology is quite aware of catastrophes, including floods. It also interprets the geologic record as indicating a long and complex history which includes many large floods, but not a single one creating all the sediment in the world today.
quote:Nobody has ever claimed things sit around to be magically fossilized. Shameless strawman. Hydraulic sorting in no way, shape or form explains the sorting of the fossil record. The ability of all modern animals, regardless of size, shape, mobility, or intelligence, to run to the highest points of the earth before a rapidly moving flood could bury a single one of them in a place where we could find it, even if it were believable, would not explain why none of them sank to lower strata during the months when the entire earth was an ocean of watery mud. Large plant-eating animals of the Mesozoic and large plant-eating animals of today, with basically the same bodies, same ecological niche, probably the same behavior, intelligence, etc., are separated worldwide. Down low in the column we find only bacteria, despite their being the least likely organisms to settle in a flood. And so on and so forth. Once you start looking at the detailed information that has been gathered, a worldwide flood just doesn't make sense.
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zephyr Member (Idle past 4853 days) Posts: 821 From: FOB Taji, Iraq Joined: |
I was expecting that. I'd vote for closing it. Not sure how democratic it really is though so do your worst!
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