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Author Topic:   Quality Control the Gold Standard
Wounded King
Member
Posts: 4149
From: Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
Joined: 04-09-2003


Message 16 of 238 (284897)
02-08-2006 9:54 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by Evopeach
02-07-2006 8:50 PM


to say nothing of Von Neumann's mathmatical analysis.
Which is exactly what you do, say nothing about it.
You say that Von Neumann wished to design a self replicating machine himself and ended up throwing in the towel. You haven't presented a scrap of evidence that he concluded that such a system could not be produced by any mechanism all you have done is said that Von Neumann gave up on producing such a system himself. You certainly haven't shown that he ruled out random mutation and natural selection as a method of generating such a system.
Indeed Von Neumann himself explicity discusses the operation of a Von Neumann machine in terms of random mutation, (Von Neumann, 1966).
One of the difficulties in defining what one means by self-reproduction is that certain organizations, such as growing crystals, are self-reproductive by any naive definition of self-reproduction, yet nobody is willing to award them the distinction of being self-reproductive. A way around this difficulty is to say that self-reproduction includes the ability to undergo inheritable mutations as well as the ability to make another organism like the original.
So Von Neumann saw a requirement for heritable mutation in a self-reproductive system more complex than trivial systems such as crystalline growth.
TTFN,
WK

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by Evopeach, posted 02-07-2006 8:50 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 20 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 11:06 AM Wounded King has replied

Evopeach
Member (Idle past 6613 days)
Posts: 224
From: Stroud, OK USA
Joined: 08-03-2005


Message 17 of 238 (284901)
02-08-2006 10:02 AM
Reply to: Message 11 by crashfrog
02-08-2006 9:40 AM


Re: Now back to reality from goo goo land
The problem is you are again practicing obfuscation.
The DNA 7 sigma replication scheme and machinery had to EVOLVE from non-life to life and from the simplest possible, highly error prone replicator (which no one can define or demonstrate) to the present 7 sigma replicator by random mutation and natural selection.
The issue is that your example is "toy" and did not evolve but was designed, created de neuvo, by an intelligent designer.
So it has no evolutionary application unless and until it is developed by random "mutations" from say a one device string length to at least forty devices.
Please no more red herrings or strawmen analogies.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 11 by crashfrog, posted 02-08-2006 9:40 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 22 by crashfrog, posted 02-08-2006 11:41 AM Evopeach has replied

Modulous
Member
Posts: 7801
From: Manchester, UK
Joined: 05-01-2005


Message 18 of 238 (284902)
02-08-2006 10:04 AM
Reply to: Message 1 by Evopeach
02-07-2006 8:50 PM


Six Sigma isn't a good comparison
The present Six Sigma paradigm attempts to design and operate complex processes so accurately that only 3.4 errors per million operations is realized over the long run. That is the three sigma level of performance.
Six Sigma is for human driven processes. If humans were driving evolution then you'd have a point, but we aren't.
The cell/DNA replication process is operating at about 7 sigma... an undreamed of level of accuracy and quality performance.
If it was a human process it would be. However I have written a program which replicates itself perfectly every time. It does this through checksum algorithms. The biological system is very good, but it isn't as perfect as a designed system. Which is good for us, because we wouldn't have evolved. I'd imagine a rigidly perfect quality control system would be selected out because life is best when it is adaptable. It is adaptable when it doesn't replicate perfectly.
Ironically perhaps, airplane fatality rates are approaching 7 sigma levels, so its hardly undreamed of.
At no stage is the improvement sought by introducing a source of random error, operating, seeing if the market accepts the new result keeping those that are accepted and discarding those that are unworkable or inefficient or otherwise unmarketable.
Why,,, because it would absolutely never work in the real world.
Well of course not, one wouldn't want airplane designers to built real planes that get 'selected out' of the design circulation. However, evolutionary algorithms can simulate this process so no planes have to be lost. Its cheaper.
Time and again, optimum results are found using evolutionary methods as inspiration. Funny that.
No such R&D effort would ever result in a new or higher quality profitable marketable product... not ever and the enterprise would simply go bancrupt.
Falsified. They wouldn't do it using real life product, but they would do it using simulations (which aren't cheap).
Yet evolutionists suppose that a seven sigma replicator arose by a random error generator and an accept/reject "market " mechanism, namely random mutation and natural selection.
Not all evolutionists accept abiogenesis. Many do, but not all. Simple replication has been acheived, but it is not the kind of replication that would truly class as life. It is a good step though.
This message has been edited by Modulous, Wed, 08-February-2006 04:06 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1 by Evopeach, posted 02-07-2006 8:50 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 24 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 12:17 PM Modulous has replied

Wounded King
Member
Posts: 4149
From: Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
Joined: 04-09-2003


Message 19 of 238 (284905)
02-08-2006 10:07 AM
Reply to: Message 9 by Evopeach
02-08-2006 9:35 AM


Re: Red Herring Master
Perhaps it is worth pointing out that since you yourself were mentioning the many corrective systems you said were neccessary for a Von Neumann machine it seems a bit strange to complain when someone points out that such sytems can produce the sort of error levels you were calling for. Especially when living cells also have all these sorts of error correcting and detecting systems.
The basic replication machinery is much much less effective, as can be seen when elements of it are knocked out or misfunction, as in many cancers which show hypermutation and genetic instability.
TTFN,
WK

This message is a reply to:
 Message 9 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 9:35 AM Evopeach has not replied

Evopeach
Member (Idle past 6613 days)
Posts: 224
From: Stroud, OK USA
Joined: 08-03-2005


Message 20 of 238 (284910)
02-08-2006 11:06 AM
Reply to: Message 16 by Wounded King
02-08-2006 9:54 AM


Opps Now He'll be a Moron
... living organisms are very complicated aggregations of elementary parts, and by any reasonable theory of probability or thermodynamics highly improbable. That they should occur in the world at all is a miracle of the first magnitude; the only thing which removes, or mitigates, this miracle is that they reproduce themselves. Therefore, if by any peculiar accident there should ever be one of them, from there on the rules of probability do not apply, and there will be many of them, at least if the milieu is reasonable.
John von Neumann, Theory of Self-Reproducing Automata.
Imagine that Von Neumann stating the problems of probability and thermondynamics , miracles, highly improbable and surely he was semantically accurate being one of the great intellects in a semantically precise world and very knowledgeable of science in general.
The fact that he determined that error rates and self correction devices as outlined previously is a "mathmatically intractable problem" in the actual design and operation of anything approaching life processes is simply reality. No one could imagine the creation of such a device with error rates in the 10**-9 range being achieved by some random process. A mathmatical analysis by Von Neumann is not subjective and carries enourmous weight.
Of course his assumption of prepetuity after the fact is unconvincing because it assumes the first replicator could perform at the required accuracy.
The probability of a replicator happening de neuvo capable of the required extant accuracy or quality in performance is greater than the 10**-150 commonly used definition of impossibility. This has been accepted by your own people and is well documented in the literature.
The counter argument is that very poor replicators with high error rates could somehow be protected from opposing natural forces over eons of time as they evolved the required protective characteristics and and error correcting capacities; a premise unproven, undemonstrated and phantasmagorically improbable itself.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 16 by Wounded King, posted 02-08-2006 9:54 AM Wounded King has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 23 by Wounded King, posted 02-08-2006 11:49 AM Evopeach has replied
 Message 32 by sidelined, posted 02-08-2006 1:04 PM Evopeach has replied

Yaro
Member (Idle past 6495 days)
Posts: 1797
Joined: 07-12-2003


Message 21 of 238 (284924)
02-08-2006 11:38 AM


Engineering comparisions to Genetics/Evolution/Biology...
Don't work.
They presupose your conclusion. You assume that biology is intelligently designed, therefore you try to prove this by applying engineering methodologies to biology. Unfortunetly you are bobbing for oranges.
Engineering theories are not applicable to biology because, even if they were intelligently designed at one point, they aren't subject to intelligent design today and therefore can't be expected to performe to some sort of man-made quality control standard.
This message has been edited by Yaro, 02-08-2006 11:38 AM

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crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1466 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 22 of 238 (284925)
02-08-2006 11:41 AM
Reply to: Message 17 by Evopeach
02-08-2006 10:02 AM


Re: Now back to reality from goo goo land
The issue is that your example is "toy" and did not evolve but was designed, created de neuvo, by an intelligent designer.
So, what you're saying is, you didn't even read the article?
The DNA 7 sigma replication scheme and machinery had to EVOLVE from non-life to life and from the simplest possible, highly error prone replicator (which no one can define or demonstrate)
Why would it be both simple and error-prone? Spoken like someone who doesn't know anything about design.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 17 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 10:02 AM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 26 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 12:42 PM crashfrog has replied

Wounded King
Member
Posts: 4149
From: Cincinnati, Ohio, USA
Joined: 04-09-2003


Message 23 of 238 (284926)
02-08-2006 11:49 AM
Reply to: Message 20 by Evopeach
02-08-2006 11:06 AM


Re: Opps Now He'll be a Moron
Imagine that Von Neumann stating the problems of probability and thermondynamics , miracles, highly improbable and surely he was semantically accurate being one of the great intellects in a semantically precise world and very knowledgeable of science in general.
The question is how similar to a modern living organism, or a hypothetical Von Neumann capable system, the original self-replicator needs to be.
The probability of a replicator happening de neuvo capable of the required extant accuracy or quality in performance is greater than the 10**-150 commonly used definition of impossibility. This has been accepted by your own people and is well documented in the literature.
Why not provided some references to go with those claims. As far as I am aware this has barely any profile in the scientific literature but is rather a favourite of the ID crowd especially William Dembski who has popularised the concept.
This is all just an argument from incredulity tarted up with some numbers you made up off the top of your head.
That a problem is 'mathematically intractable' has absolutely nothing to do with its likelihood of occuring. N-body problems are mathematically intractable and yet few people resort to supernatural, or intelligent if you prefer, intercession to explain how the various bodies of the solar system interact.
TTFN,
WK

This message is a reply to:
 Message 20 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 11:06 AM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 30 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 12:56 PM Wounded King has not replied

Evopeach
Member (Idle past 6613 days)
Posts: 224
From: Stroud, OK USA
Joined: 08-03-2005


Message 24 of 238 (284937)
02-08-2006 12:17 PM
Reply to: Message 18 by Modulous
02-08-2006 10:04 AM


Re: Six Sigma isn't a good comparison
Human driven has nothing to do with it. Its analysis and mathmatics pure and siimple physical reality which is applicable and being applied in Nanoscience every day. See thats why our only hope of realizing Nano machines is to use molecules, DNA etc. because we have no hope of building them ourselves or "waiting for them to evolve".
Think about it ... if there were one airplane crash in all aviation military, public and private per billion flights we would essentially never have a crash. Yet we have reported crashes somewhere in the USA every day.. check the national database if you care to. Its more like 4 sigma even for the airlines.
As RR used to say "there they go again".
You program is designed, has an OS with error correcting processes none of which evolved.. period.
This is the same old .. look we made life using only a very small piece of rna or dna .. blah blah blah.
Assuming the answer you want or asserting that something is true is not rigerous science.. its a form of metaphysics.
Having spent several year as as an OR analyst in the defense industry and energy industry I can assure you that design was never approached by random trial and error componentry pertubation. I am quite familiar with Monte Carlo methods , etc and the modeling of error propagation models. Never was there any attempt to design from random trial and error using simulation.... not ever.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 18 by Modulous, posted 02-08-2006 10:04 AM Modulous has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 34 by Modulous, posted 02-08-2006 1:11 PM Evopeach has replied

Evopeach
Member (Idle past 6613 days)
Posts: 224
From: Stroud, OK USA
Joined: 08-03-2005


Message 25 of 238 (284942)
02-08-2006 12:26 PM
Reply to: Message 21 by Yaro
02-08-2006 11:38 AM


Precisely 100 % Wropng on every count
Genetic ENGINEERING is the precise attempt to apply ENGINEERING principles to biological R&D to effect characterisitics not otherwise extant. LOL!
Engineering, math, physics, chemistry and information theory is absorbing the biological sciences at light speed because the soft mushy qualitative evolutionary framework simply is an anachronism to progress.
Nanoscience is the application of ENGINEERING principles to the design of ano particle mfgt. etc. Check it out for yourself every Nanodegree program is set up in engineering divisions.. period.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 21 by Yaro, posted 02-08-2006 11:38 AM Yaro has not replied

Evopeach
Member (Idle past 6613 days)
Posts: 224
From: Stroud, OK USA
Joined: 08-03-2005


Message 26 of 238 (284954)
02-08-2006 12:42 PM
Reply to: Message 22 by crashfrog
02-08-2006 11:41 AM


Re: Now back to reality from goo goo land
Crashfrog,
This is supposed to be a forum restricting personal attacks.. how about following the guidelines.
The rna world theory is currently the hot theory for how abiogenesis might have occurred.. period. Yet although a replicator of sorts, very small and simplistic in size and complexity it has very high error rates .. words of the community not mine.. thus it is quite problimatical to even envision how it could evolve anything before dying.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 22 by crashfrog, posted 02-08-2006 11:41 AM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 28 by Chiroptera, posted 02-08-2006 12:46 PM Evopeach has replied
 Message 29 by AdminJar, posted 02-08-2006 12:47 PM Evopeach has not replied
 Message 31 by crashfrog, posted 02-08-2006 1:02 PM Evopeach has not replied

Chiroptera
Inactive Member


Message 27 of 238 (284955)
02-08-2006 12:45 PM
Reply to: Message 10 by Evopeach
02-08-2006 9:39 AM


Re: Preaching to the Choir
Hey, Evopeach. You are still avoiding the problem in your OP.
Your argument seems to go like this:
The error correction mechanism in DNA replication of the human cell is very efficient.
Therefore, there must be an intelligent designer.
First of all, your premise is wrong; "very efficient" is a subjective term, and unless you give some sort of criteria for "very efficient" that is relevant to your argument, your premise is meaningless.
Second, you seem to missing the entire deductive reasoning part where you explain how your conclusion follows from your premise.
I think you might want to work on this a bit before you start calling everyone a moron.

"Intellectually, scientifically, even artistically, fundamentalism -- biblical literalism -- is a road to nowhere, because it insists on fidelity to revealed truths that are not true." -- Katha Pollitt

This message is a reply to:
 Message 10 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 9:39 AM Evopeach has not replied

Chiroptera
Inactive Member


Message 28 of 238 (284958)
02-08-2006 12:46 PM
Reply to: Message 26 by Evopeach
02-08-2006 12:42 PM


Re: Now back to reality from goo goo land
quote:
Yet although a replicator of sorts, very small and simplistic in size and complexity it has very high error rates .. words of the community not mine.. thus it is quite problimatical to even envision how it could evolve anything before dying.
Problematical for whom? Why?

"Intellectually, scientifically, even artistically, fundamentalism -- biblical literalism -- is a road to nowhere, because it insists on fidelity to revealed truths that are not true." -- Katha Pollitt

This message is a reply to:
 Message 26 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 12:42 PM Evopeach has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 33 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 1:08 PM Chiroptera has replied

AdminJar
Inactive Member


Message 29 of 238 (284959)
02-08-2006 12:47 PM
Reply to: Message 26 by Evopeach
02-08-2006 12:42 PM


No Personal Attack found.
This is supposed to be a forum restricting personal attacks.. how about following the guidelines.
Sorry, but I reviewed the post and there was no personal attack. What Kermee said was...
Why would it be both simple and error-prone? Spoken like someone who doesn't know anything about design.
That is attacking the content of the post and not the poster.

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  • This message is a reply to:
     Message 26 by Evopeach, posted 02-08-2006 12:42 PM Evopeach has not replied

    Evopeach
    Member (Idle past 6613 days)
    Posts: 224
    From: Stroud, OK USA
    Joined: 08-03-2005


    Message 30 of 238 (284965)
    02-08-2006 12:56 PM
    Reply to: Message 23 by Wounded King
    02-08-2006 11:49 AM


    Re: Opps Now He'll be a Moron
    Well its for sure the evo community knows its a lot closer to what we see working than any theory they can advance since chemical predestination, rna world, dna world, silicon life, "the dog ate my homework, " the magic genie", the intelligent comet and karma Bob visitor from the planet Nazbot have all been discarded. Except for the "life force" camp of Nobel Prize winners... which camp are you in?
    You might start with Robert Shapiro "Origins", Hoyle, Crick, Morowitz works but maybe a big boy like you can operate Google.
    Mathmatically intractable is a form of falsification and has everything to do with it. Thr multi-body gravitational attraction problem is strictly deterministic and can be solved by iterative approximation methods to a high degree of accuracy.
    The abiogenesis and early evolution of the so called simple replicator theories by definition are not determiniative... see thats sort of the definition of RANDOM MUTATION. see the operative term is RANDOM.

    This message is a reply to:
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