Register | Sign In


Understanding through Discussion


EvC Forum active members: 64 (9164 total)
8 online now:
Newest Member: ChatGPT
Post Volume: Total: 916,848 Year: 4,105/9,624 Month: 976/974 Week: 303/286 Day: 24/40 Hour: 2/3


Thread  Details

Email This Thread
Newer Topic | Older Topic
  
Author Topic:   The War in Europe
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9510
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


Message 946 of 1124 (911313)
06-24-2023 5:42 PM
Reply to: Message 945 by PaulK
06-24-2023 5:00 PM


As you were, nothing to see here...

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif. Je suis Parisien. I am Mancunian. I am Brum. I am London. Olen Suomi Soy Barcelona. I am Ukraine.

"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.


This message is a reply to:
 Message 945 by PaulK, posted 06-24-2023 5:00 PM PaulK has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 947 by PaulK, posted 06-26-2023 2:13 PM Tangle has not replied

  
PaulK
Member
Posts: 17827
Joined: 01-10-2003
Member Rating: 2.3


Message 947 of 1124 (911328)
06-26-2023 2:13 PM
Reply to: Message 946 by Tangle
06-24-2023 5:42 PM


And Wagner is apparently going on, even recruiting again.
Prigozhin is talking but no words on where he is - or Putin. There’s a video of Shoigu - the Defence Minister that Prigozhin wanted out - but it may well have been recorded some time earlier.
Situation still unclear, we don’t know what Prigozhin and Putin are playing at,

This message is a reply to:
 Message 946 by Tangle, posted 06-24-2023 5:42 PM Tangle has not replied

  
Phat
Member
Posts: 18345
From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
Member Rating: 1.0


Message 948 of 1124 (911382)
07-01-2023 9:35 AM


Ukraine Cant Win
According to Colonel Douglas Macgregor, a controversial yet well learned conservative,(Ph.D in international relations) is controversial and outspoken on the Russian Ukrainian conflict. He claims that Ukraine cannot win the war no matter what they do despite massive US and NATO support unless NATO gets directly involved.(which would lead to escalation) Wasn't Wagner initially on Russias side as hired mercenaries? If so, I suspect that this whole 180 degree turn by Wagner is in some way staged and is a form of propaganda to convince the world that Ukraine will win and that it is Russia who is nearly finished.
Some of you have mentioned that the conservative playbook is to spread fear rather than patriotic (and unified) optimism regarding the course of such a war. If so, Macgregor is doing his job for the conservatives, but I might point out that he is no country bumpkin with an opinion. In his opinion (he has written several books) Putin never intended to conquer all of Ukraine but simply consolidate the annexed provinces into Russia...UNTIL his army got bloodied and beaten, at which point Putin used superior Russian artillery and missiles to destroy Ukraine. (Ukraine's population has dropped by at least a third since the war started) Trump liked him and as I peruse his bio, I can see that he has been labeled
a racist, anti Muslim, and anti immigration type. Quotes such as this one support that:
Wiki:
In a 2013 radio appearance, Macgregor spoke of an "entitled" "underclass" of people that were concentrated in "large urban areas", and the threat they posed.
"And when the food stamps stop, when the free services end, when the heating bills aren’t paid and the heating doesn’t come through in many of these large cities—Chicago, Philadelphia, New York, Washington, Baltimore, St. Louis, Detroit, New Orleans, San Francisco, Los Angeles—this underclass that resides in these places, I think could become very violent."(...) etc etc.
The Wiki article exposes his public gaffes and racist/nationalist comments. So why do I listen to him?
What if he is right? What if the war in Ukraine never gets won by Ukraine?
Maybe dwise1 can help me with this one. He is ex-military and not a far right conservative.

Replies to this message:
 Message 949 by PaulK, posted 07-01-2023 9:56 AM Phat has seen this message but not replied
 Message 950 by Percy, posted 07-01-2023 10:53 AM Phat has seen this message but not replied
 Message 951 by Theodoric, posted 07-01-2023 7:34 PM Phat has seen this message but not replied
 Message 956 by Percy, posted 07-02-2023 11:22 AM Phat has replied

  
PaulK
Member
Posts: 17827
Joined: 01-10-2003
Member Rating: 2.3


(1)
Message 949 of 1124 (911383)
07-01-2023 9:56 AM
Reply to: Message 948 by Phat
07-01-2023 9:35 AM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
He seems to be wrong on some important points.
Putin was originally out to annex the entirety of Ukraine. Kyiv was the major target of the initial assault but the convoy stalled out on the way there.
The Wagner rebellion looks more like an internal dispute. It’s hard to see what the Kremlin gets out of it, other than a smack in the eye for Putin.
And the quote you offered looked pretty far right to me.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 948 by Phat, posted 07-01-2023 9:35 AM Phat has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22499
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


(1)
Message 950 of 1124 (911384)
07-01-2023 10:53 AM
Reply to: Message 948 by Phat
07-01-2023 9:35 AM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
Phat writes:
Some of you have mentioned that the conservative playbook is to spread fear rather than patriotic (and unified) optimism regarding the course of such a war. If so, Macgregor is doing his job for the conservatives,...
...
Wiki:
"And when the food stamps stop, when the free services end, when the heating bills aren’t paid and the heating doesn’t come through in many of these large cities—Chicago, Philadelphia, New York, Washington, Baltimore, St. Louis, Detroit, New Orleans, San Francisco, Los Angeles—this underclass that resides in these places, I think could become very violent."(...) etc etc.
Yep, you're right, Macgregor is just another conservative scaremonger. Could you please stop rummaging around in your echo chamber?
Anyone claiming to have even just a fair idea of how the Ukraine war will end is wrong. No one knows how this will end or what will happen before it ends. I hope most people are hoping for a free and independent Ukraine rather than for outcomes, no matter what they are, that will give them a political advantage.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 948 by Phat, posted 07-01-2023 9:35 AM Phat has seen this message but not replied

  
Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9197
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.2


(2)
Message 951 of 1124 (911386)
07-01-2023 7:34 PM
Reply to: Message 948 by Phat
07-01-2023 9:35 AM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
He is a racist. Case closed. So not surprised you listen to him.

What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence. -Christopher Hitchens

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts

"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

If your viewpoint has merits and facts to back it up why would you have to lie?


This message is a reply to:
 Message 948 by Phat, posted 07-01-2023 9:35 AM Phat has seen this message but not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 952 by Percy, posted 07-02-2023 10:07 AM Theodoric has replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22499
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 952 of 1124 (911389)
07-02-2023 10:07 AM
Reply to: Message 951 by Theodoric
07-01-2023 7:34 PM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
Theodoric writes:
He is a racist. Case closed. So not surprised you listen to him.
From his Wikipedia page:
Wikipedia:
He regularly contributes to Fox News and Russian state media. His opinions on Russia and Ukraine have caused controversy among other conservatives, including being called a member of the "Putin wing of the GOP" and a fellow traveller.
...
Macgregor has appeared as a regular guest on Fox News, with at least 60 Fox weekday appearances from August 2017 to early 2022, including 48 on Tucker Carlson’s show.
...
He had asserted that Muslim immigrants (referred to as "Muslim invaders") come to Europe "with the goal of eventually turning Europe into an Islamic state".[26] Macgregor had argued that the German concept of Vergangenheitsbewältigung, used to cope with Germany's Nazi past and its atrocities during World War II, is a "sick mentality".[26] Macgregor had stated that martial law should be instituted on the U.S.-Mexico border and argued for the extrajudicial execution of those who cross the border at unofficial ports of entry.
...
In 2020, CNN reviewed his public commentary and
found he often demonized immigrants and refugees. He warned Mexican cartels were "driving millions of Mexicans with no education, no skills and the wrong culture into the United States, placing them essentially as wards of the American people". He repeatedly advocated instituting martial law at the US-Mexico border and to "shoot people" if necessary.
...
After Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Macgregor appeared on three Fox News programs in February and early March to speak in support of Russia's actions...Macgregor said he believed Russia should be allowed to seize whatever parts of Ukraine it wanted.
There's plenty more. He sounds like a guy who has extreme and baseless ideas, who is wrong a lot, and who likes to make attention-getting claims and statements.
Phat, congratulations on finding another racist, xenophobic, warmongering nut. Would it be too much trouble for you to at least take a glance at someone's Wikipedia page before you start promoting their extreme and/or cockamamie ideas here? That is, unless those are the ideas you yourself want to promote.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 951 by Theodoric, posted 07-01-2023 7:34 PM Theodoric has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 953 by Theodoric, posted 07-02-2023 10:32 AM Percy has replied
 Message 954 by Tanypteryx, posted 07-02-2023 10:37 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9197
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.2


(1)
Message 953 of 1124 (911390)
07-02-2023 10:32 AM
Reply to: Message 952 by Percy
07-02-2023 10:07 AM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
He posted the wiki page. He does not care and embraces these assholes.

What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence. -Christopher Hitchens

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts

"God did it" is not an argument. It is an excuse for intellectual laziness.

If your viewpoint has merits and facts to back it up why would you have to lie?


This message is a reply to:
 Message 952 by Percy, posted 07-02-2023 10:07 AM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 955 by Percy, posted 07-02-2023 11:18 AM Theodoric has not replied
 Message 959 by Phat, posted 07-02-2023 3:46 PM Theodoric has replied

  
Tanypteryx
Member
Posts: 4444
From: Oregon, USA
Joined: 08-27-2006
Member Rating: 5.1


Message 954 of 1124 (911391)
07-02-2023 10:37 AM
Reply to: Message 952 by Percy
07-02-2023 10:07 AM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
Percy in Message 952 writes:
Phat, congratulations on finding another racist, xenophobic, warmongering nut. Would it be too much trouble for you to at least take a glance at someone's Wikipedia page before you start promoting their extreme and/or cockamamie ideas here? That is, unless those are the ideas you yourself want to promote.
Considering that the vast majority of what Phat posts promotes that bullshit, that is exactly what he himself wants to promote!

Stop Tzar Vladimir the Condemned!
What if Eleanor Roosevelt had wings? -- Monty Python
One important characteristic of a theory is that it has survived repeated attempts to falsify it. Contrary to your understanding, all available evidence confirms it. --Subbie
If evolution is shown to be false, it will be at the hands of things that are true, not made up. --Percy
The reason that we have the scientific method is because common sense isn't reliable. -- Taq

This message is a reply to:
 Message 952 by Percy, posted 07-02-2023 10:07 AM Percy has seen this message but not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22499
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 955 of 1124 (911392)
07-02-2023 11:18 AM
Reply to: Message 953 by Theodoric
07-02-2023 10:32 AM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
Theodoric writes:
He posted the wiki page.
You're right, let me try replying to Phat again.
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 953 by Theodoric, posted 07-02-2023 10:32 AM Theodoric has not replied

  
Percy
Member
Posts: 22499
From: New Hampshire
Joined: 12-23-2000
Member Rating: 4.9


Message 956 of 1124 (911393)
07-02-2023 11:22 AM
Reply to: Message 948 by Phat
07-01-2023 9:35 AM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
I should have addressed this part of your post more directly:
Phat writes:
The Wiki article exposes his public gaffes and racist/nationalist comments. So why do I listen to him?

What if he is right?
"What if he is right?" can be used about anyone saying anything. Please stop using the weakest of reasons for introducing garbage into threads. In fact, stop introducing garbage into threads altogether.
What if the war in Ukraine never gets won by Ukraine?
Yeah, that's kind of a major issue in this thread. Any thoughts of your own?
--Percy

This message is a reply to:
 Message 948 by Phat, posted 07-01-2023 9:35 AM Phat has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 957 by Phat, posted 07-02-2023 3:29 PM Percy has replied

  
Phat
Member
Posts: 18345
From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
Member Rating: 1.0


Message 957 of 1124 (911394)
07-02-2023 3:29 PM
Reply to: Message 956 by Percy
07-02-2023 11:22 AM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
I asked:
quote:
What if the war in Ukraine never gets won by Ukraine?
Percy writes:
Yeah, that's kind of a major issue in this thread. Any thoughts of your own?
I just want to know the truth. I hear more than one narrative and I dont simply trust the presidential press secretary or the news that I hear.
If Macgregor is an echo chamber for the far right agenda, who or what is to say that the powers that currently be don't have their own agenda and narrative? Why can't the government and current administration have an agenda of their own?
Is there only one story?
Is Zelensky the Saint he is made out to be? Is he in fact a "good guy"? One of "us" ?
And the 64 thousand dollar question: Who IS us? Who does the peanut gallery represent?
And who do they oppose?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 956 by Percy, posted 07-02-2023 11:22 AM Percy has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 958 by PaulK, posted 07-02-2023 3:40 PM Phat has seen this message but not replied
 Message 961 by Percy, posted 07-02-2023 6:24 PM Phat has replied
 Message 962 by AZPaul3, posted 07-02-2023 8:16 PM Phat has seen this message but not replied

  
PaulK
Member
Posts: 17827
Joined: 01-10-2003
Member Rating: 2.3


(1)
Message 958 of 1124 (911395)
07-02-2023 3:40 PM
Reply to: Message 957 by Phat
07-02-2023 3:29 PM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
quote:
If Macgregor is an echo chamber for the far right agenda, who or what is to say that the powers that currently be don't have their own agenda and narrative? Why can't the government and current administration have an agenda of their own?

He could easily be an echo chamber for the Kremlin. He wouldn’t be on Russian media unless he was supporting the Russian line.
quote:
Is Zelensky the Saint he is made out to be? Is he in fact a "good guy"? One of "us" ?
He doesn’t have to be a Saint. He’s a darn sight better than Putin, and he’s got the courage to stand up for his country, even at the risk of his life. Isn’t that enough?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 957 by Phat, posted 07-02-2023 3:29 PM Phat has seen this message but not replied

  
Phat
Member
Posts: 18345
From: Denver,Colorado USA
Joined: 12-30-2003
Member Rating: 1.0


Message 959 of 1124 (911396)
07-02-2023 3:46 PM
Reply to: Message 953 by Theodoric
07-02-2023 10:32 AM


Re: Ukraine Cant Win
Theodoric writes:
He posted the wiki page. He does not care and embraces these assholes.
One critique of many modern colleges is that over 90% of the professors vote for the same political party. If someone has said anything racist in the past, you cancel them and dismiss any academic credibility that they may have.
Tanypteryx writes:
Considering that the vast majority of what Phat posts promotes that bullshit, that is exactly what he himself wants to promote!
As soon as this war started, the majority of the peanut gallery was in lockstep and all agreed
to staunchly oppose Czar Vladimir The Condemned. I never questioned that since it appeared that Putin was in fact the aggressor. Now I am exposed to another narrative that tells me that Putin never wanted to go hard and eliminate Ukraine but that his generals did. Ive also heard an alternative narrative that states that Zelensky is no Saint and that this war is only being supported by NATO due to the military industrial complex, the assets of Ukraine, and the fact that the Western belief is that everyone on earth has a right to freedom.
But at what cost?
And how did Prigozhin turn 180 degrees against Putin? I smell a rat.
Percy writes:
Anyone claiming to have even just a fair idea of how the Ukraine war will end is wrong. No one knows how this will end or what will happen before it ends. I hope most people are hoping for a free and independent Ukraine rather than for outcomes, no matter what they are, that will give them a political advantage.
Explain what sort of political advantage "they" would gain and who "they" are?
It couldnt be Trump. The system is closing in on locking him up.
There are, after all, at least two political parties globally as well as nationally. Why must only one be kept in power?
More to the point, why is there only one answer?
Percy writes:
Could you please stop rummaging around in your echo chamber?
I suppose that you want me to throw away all that I hear that "sounds right" or that strikes an emotional chord. Yet the bleeding hearts claim that the poor Ukrainians are worthy of support.
I say its because Ukraine is valuable to NATO. We wouldnt be sending much support to a backwash like Yemen!

This message is a reply to:
 Message 953 by Theodoric, posted 07-02-2023 10:32 AM Theodoric has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 963 by Theodoric, posted 07-02-2023 8:49 PM Phat has replied

  
Tangle
Member
Posts: 9510
From: UK
Joined: 10-07-2011
Member Rating: 4.8


(1)
Message 960 of 1124 (911397)
07-02-2023 4:33 PM


Phat, given that it's now possible to find "alternative facts" about absolutely anything at all, how would you go about trying to work out what is most likely to be correct?

Je suis Charlie. Je suis Ahmed. Je suis Juif. Je suis Parisien. I am Mancunian. I am Brum. I am London. Olen Suomi Soy Barcelona. I am Ukraine.

"Science adjusts it's views based on what's observed.
Faith is the denial of observation so that Belief can be preserved."
- Tim Minchin, in his beat poem, Storm.


  
Newer Topic | Older Topic
Jump to:


Copyright 2001-2023 by EvC Forum, All Rights Reserved

™ Version 4.2
Innovative software from Qwixotic © 2024