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Author Topic:   Peanut Gallery
Stile
Member
Posts: 4295
From: Ontario, Canada
Joined: 12-02-2004


Message 1126 of 1725 (608103)
03-08-2011 5:40 PM
Reply to: Message 1122 by purpledawn
03-08-2011 4:42 PM


Re: Does Bluegenes Have A Theory?
Bluegenes has observed that supernatural beings can only be found in the human imagination or products of human imagination. That's the same observation for the talking rodents.
You're absolutely correct.
Bluegenes has a perfectly fine scientific theory.
As well, you have a perfectly fine one going with talking rodents.
I even took it a step further and offered an absurd example of a scientific theory on something that is known to be incorrect by the external observer (repeated below). And no one cared to even attempt to point out why this shouldn't be considered a strong scientific theory (mostly because it should be, if you follow how science works).
Science doesn't make statements about what absolute truth is.
Science is about trying to describe "truth" by means of describing the data we have, but it says nothing about what truth is. Science only makes statements about the evidence we have in front of us.
Science is about "what we see in front of us." Not "what absolute truth actually is."
If we can gather enough data, we may be able to become "the external observer" for certain situations and use that birds-eye-view to speak plainly about "the truth" for a given situation. But this is not what science describes. Science describes the data we have available to us, always. Expanding that data into larger and larger areas is driven by curiosity, not science. Data is only used by science once it is available to us.
Once that data is exanded into vast areas of human knowledge, it can be easy to get confused about the scope of science and what it's doing. But, with the use of some of these strange examples, hopefully we can re-identify what science actually speaks about and how it doesn't ever claim to say anything about reality. Science only speaks on the data we find within reality. Whether or not that actually represents reality, or if it matters... is for philosophy and those other threads.


Message 913
Let me make a very strange example for you. It's a bit absurd, but I think it will get my point across:
I live on an island with a tribe of people.
The island has no birds on it, ever.
As far as the evidence that I have goes, no birds exist.
People come to visit our island sometimes, and they tell us of birds from their island (and, yes, birds actually do exist on their island).
They tell me of birds and I don't believe them.
Claim: All bird concepts come from the human imagination.
Example 1 of many: Henry is a bird concept that came from my human imagination.
(Therefore human imagination is a known possible origin)
Theory: All bird concepts are figments of the human imagination
Over the course of human history (my island, for as much as I know), no other source for birds has ever become known. Therefore:
Strong Theory: All birds are figments of the human imagination
Sure, it's incorrect, but that's not the point.
Is it a good, strong scientific theory? Of course it is, it follows all the evidence I have completely.
Now, if someone brings an actual bird to my island. Or, perhaps even the bones of a bird or something like that. Then, this theory would be destoyed on the spot.
But, what if people kept coming to the island and and only saying and believing that birds exist?
What if I asked for them to bring one?
...and they bring nothing but more words and beliefs of the birds?
What if I asked for them to bring the bones of one?
...and they bring nothing but more words and beliefs of the birds?
What if I asked for lots and lots of undoctored photographs of them?
...and they bring nothing but more words and beliefs of the birds?
What if I asked to go to their island to see for myself?
...and they refuse to let anyone from my island leave our island on penalty of death?
Yes, the theory (in the reality of this example) is 100% wrong.
But... as far as the evidence that I have goes... wouldn't you say that it's still a completely Strong Theory? If not, why not? Because, scientifically speaking, it really is still a Strong Theory in this example.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1122 by purpledawn, posted 03-08-2011 4:42 PM purpledawn has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1128 by purpledawn, posted 03-08-2011 8:53 PM Stile has replied

purpledawn
Member (Idle past 3479 days)
Posts: 4453
From: Indiana
Joined: 04-25-2004


Message 1127 of 1725 (608108)
03-08-2011 6:01 PM
Reply to: Message 1125 by New Cat's Eye
03-08-2011 5:27 PM


Re: Does Bluegenes Have A Theory?
quote:
Presumably, the story/movie Ratatouille was claimed to be written by somebody and that would tell us that it is the product of human imagination.
Stories containing supernatural beings have authors.
quote:
Still though, I wouldn't call the no-talking-rats "theory" a scientific theory any more than I would Bluegenes.
It isn't a no talking rats theory.
quote:
Are you sayin' otherwise?
From what has been explained concerning science and theories, yes.
Edited by purpledawn, : Wrong avatar
Edited by purpledawn, : No reason given.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1125 by New Cat's Eye, posted 03-08-2011 5:27 PM New Cat's Eye has not replied

purpledawn
Member (Idle past 3479 days)
Posts: 4453
From: Indiana
Joined: 04-25-2004


Message 1128 of 1725 (608139)
03-08-2011 8:53 PM
Reply to: Message 1126 by Stile
03-08-2011 5:40 PM


Re: Does Bluegenes Have A Theory?
quote:
You're absolutely correct.
Bluegenes has a perfectly fine scientific theory.
As well, you have a perfectly fine one going with talking rodents.
So our scenarios will survive the four steps of the scientific method RAZD provided?
  1. Observation and description of a phenomenon or group of phenomena.
  2. Formulation of an hypothesis to explain the phenomena. In physics, the hypothesis often takes the form of a causal mechanism or a mathematical relation.
  3. Use of the hypothesis to predict the existence of other phenomena, or to predict quantitatively the results of new observations.
  4. Performance of experimental tests of the predictions by several independent experimenters and properly performed experiments.
1. We have observation and description.
2. We formulated a hypothesis.
3. We can use the hypothesis to predict.
How do we test the predictions of our scenarios?
Are we supposed to go looking for falsification before it can become a theory?
From what you're saying, the one with the theory isn't required to prove that the birds in the verbal claims are not real. The one claiming that birds are real, needs to bring out the bird for testing and verification; correct?
So it doesn't make your theory any less a theory just because you can't prove that the birds they speak of are completely imaginary.
It doesn't change your theory until they produce the birds, right?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1126 by Stile, posted 03-08-2011 5:40 PM Stile has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1137 by Stile, posted 05-11-2011 3:26 PM purpledawn has seen this message but not replied

bluegenes
Member (Idle past 2499 days)
Posts: 3119
From: U.K.
Joined: 01-24-2007


Message 1129 of 1725 (609390)
03-18-2011 10:13 PM


The persistent question of evidence G. Debate.
In the RAZD/Subbie debate, RAZD seems to have convinced himself that his hypothesis that the universe was created by an unknown god or gods makes predictions.
Message 38
RAZD writes:
If god/s created the universe
then we should see either the hand of god actively manipulating things
or we should see laws\forces put in place so that manipulation is not necessary
We do not see the hand of god actively manipulating things
Therefore, if god/s exist and created the universe, they would have put laws\forces in place to guide the behavior of all things in the universe.
Really? Suddenly we know something about how the unknowable gods would work. A lawyer won't miss that.
Message 39
Subbie writes:
Nope, nothing logical there, simply assumptions.
RAZD tries again:
Message 40
RAZD writes:
If god/s created the universe
then we should either be able to (A) detect them or (B) not detect them ...
If we ARE able to detect them
then we would see\detect the hand of god/s actively manipulating things (ie acting\being supernatural)
If we are NOT able to detect them
then we would NOT see\detect the hand of god/s actively manipulating\doing things: everything would appear to operate by "natural laws\forces".
Not if they'd wanted a universe full of random magic.
RAZD writes:
Can you tell me which "natural laws\forces" would exist that would NOT be "put in place" and would NOT be under the control of god/s that created the universe?
If they created it by accident, it would be all of them. If they were constrained by laws external to the universe, it could be all or some of them. If they created it like "Hey, let's see what'll happen if we do this", it could also be all of them. "Unknown gods" won't make the predictions RAZD wants. How and what they would create would be unknown.
And how have the creators also become controllers when we know nothing of them?

Replies to this message:
 Message 1130 by Straggler, posted 03-19-2011 12:08 PM bluegenes has not replied

Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 1130 of 1725 (609405)
03-19-2011 12:08 PM
Reply to: Message 1129 by bluegenes
03-18-2011 10:13 PM


Re: The persistent question of evidence G. Debate.
RAZ seems to have fallen for same the old "If it appears to be designed then there is a designer" line of thinking we see so often here.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1129 by bluegenes, posted 03-18-2011 10:13 PM bluegenes has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1131 by xongsmith, posted 03-19-2011 4:19 PM Straggler has replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.5


Message 1131 of 1725 (609412)
03-19-2011 4:19 PM
Reply to: Message 1130 by Straggler
03-19-2011 12:08 PM


Re: The persistent question of evidence G. Debate.
Straggler writes:
RAZ seems to have fallen for same the old "If it appears to be designed then there is a designer" line of thinking we see so often here.
To be more exact, "If it appears to be designed, then the odds on there being a designer are better than not, to an agnostic Level 3 Dawkins."
"Appears to be designed" may also need some kind of elucidation. If we consider the ratios of the physical constants - things like the Fine Structure Constant and so forth - all to be amazingly interrelated to produce a universe that exhibits all these wonderful things that lead up to DNA molecules folding around and self-awareness and stuff, then we may be looking at an Argument from Incredulity. (I don't think that this is the case for RAZD here, but rather it's something more personal for him.) However, before we get into our particular set of constants and their ratios, perhaps zillions upon zillions of ratios have all been and are still being instantiated in a frothy, bubbling soup of universe creating - some dying off quickly, some not - and we just happen to be in one where the dying off has not occurred before life on Earth got a chance to start. This has been termed "evolutionary cosmology".

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1130 by Straggler, posted 03-19-2011 12:08 PM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1132 by Straggler, posted 03-20-2011 6:17 AM xongsmith has replied

Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 1132 of 1725 (609435)
03-20-2011 6:17 AM
Reply to: Message 1131 by xongsmith
03-19-2011 4:19 PM


Re: The persistent question of evidence G. Debate.
X writes:
Straggler writes:
RAZ seems to have fallen for same the old "If it appears to be designed then there is a designer" line of thinking we see so often here.
To be more exact, "If it appears to be designed, then the odds on there being a designer are better than not, to an agnostic Level 3 Dawkins."
To those who have decided to cherry pick and interpret the evidence to fit their predefined position - Yes indeed. But what about the vast array of evidence showing that:
1) The appearance of what we humanly perceive as consciously intended design is rife in nature but has in every single instance thus far investigated turned out to be entirely the result of mindless physical processes.
2) The undeniable psychological proclivity, need even, for humans to invoke conscious "unknowable" beings to play the part of designers in order to wrongly explain this appearance of design in nature.
On what basis does RAZ ignore this evidence?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1131 by xongsmith, posted 03-19-2011 4:19 PM xongsmith has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1133 by xongsmith, posted 03-20-2011 2:27 PM Straggler has replied

xongsmith
Member
Posts: 2587
From: massachusetts US
Joined: 01-01-2009
Member Rating: 6.5


Message 1133 of 1725 (609460)
03-20-2011 2:27 PM
Reply to: Message 1132 by Straggler
03-20-2011 6:17 AM


Re: The persistent question of evidence G. Debate.
Straggler writes:
On what basis does RAZ ignore this evidence?
Oh, he has not and does not ignore it. He is moving on past that issue. That stuff is old.

- xongsmith, 5.7d

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1132 by Straggler, posted 03-20-2011 6:17 AM Straggler has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 1134 by Straggler, posted 03-21-2011 4:44 AM xongsmith has not replied

Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 1134 of 1725 (609521)
03-21-2011 4:44 AM
Reply to: Message 1133 by xongsmith
03-20-2011 2:27 PM


Re: The persistent question of evidence G. Debate.
X writes:
Oh, he has not and does not ignore it.
Then why does he keep talking about an 'absence of evidence' as if this were a meaningful point?
No human claim takes place in a vacuum of all evidence does it? All human claims are made in the deeply evidenced context of human history, culture and psychology.
So the idea that the existence of natural laws in the universe is indicative of an intelligent designer (which is effectively what RAZ is claiming isn't it?) is no less silly when RAZ says it with his little 'logic' exercises and plethora of colourful charts and graphs than anybody else.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1133 by xongsmith, posted 03-20-2011 2:27 PM xongsmith has not replied

rueh
Member (Idle past 3683 days)
Posts: 382
From: universal city tx
Joined: 03-03-2008


Message 1135 of 1725 (615110)
05-10-2011 12:48 PM


Big al's one liners
This I thought was to funny not to stop and laugh at.
Percy writes:
Having constructed your house of straw with no effort or thought, with stairways that empty into closets and windows installed in floors, you nonetheless demand that others somehow make polite and treat it as if there were sense in it. If you have anything substantive and true to say instead of merely carrying on the labor of the ignorant by casting aspersions at things you don't understand then I suggest you say it instead of issuing senseless one sentence retorts that contribute nothing.
Big Al responds
Big_Al35 writes:
What utter bul*sh*t!!!!
To funny.

Replies to this message:
 Message 1136 by Theodoric, posted 05-10-2011 4:14 PM rueh has not replied

Theodoric
Member
Posts: 9143
From: Northwest, WI, USA
Joined: 08-15-2005
Member Rating: 3.3


Message 1136 of 1725 (615144)
05-10-2011 4:14 PM
Reply to: Message 1135 by rueh
05-10-2011 12:48 PM


Re: Big al's one liners
It's a Poe.

Facts don't lie or have an agenda. Facts are just facts

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1135 by rueh, posted 05-10-2011 12:48 PM rueh has not replied

Stile
Member
Posts: 4295
From: Ontario, Canada
Joined: 12-02-2004


(1)
Message 1137 of 1725 (615230)
05-11-2011 3:26 PM
Reply to: Message 1128 by purpledawn
03-08-2011 8:53 PM


Re: Does Bluegenes Have A Theory?
My apologies, purpledawn. I have been a rather busy bee and seemed to have forgotten about this.
(I've bought a new house, yay! ...but am now crazed with moving, installing, and organizing... boo!)
If you're still interested, here's my response to your last message:
purpledawn writes:
1. We have observation and description.
2. We formulated a hypothesis.
3. We can use the hypothesis to predict.
How do we test the predictions of our scenarios?
Theory: All birds are figments of the imagination.
Prediction of the Absurd Bird Example Theory (Message 1126):
Whenever someone visits the island, they will never have any evidence of a real living bird with them.
...which can be tested whenever anyone visits the island.
Or, even:
No one will ever discover any evidence of a real living bird.
...which can be tested constantly.
Are we supposed to go looking for falsification before it can become a theory?
Yes.
From what you're saying, the one with the theory isn't required to prove that the birds in the verbal claims are not real. The one claiming that birds are real, needs to bring out the bird for testing and verification; correct?
Not quite.
The one with the theory isn't required to prove that the birds are not real... such is impossible in any event anyway. They are required to perform a reasonable search/query into the existence of such things before creating a scientific theory, though.
It's when any further search/query becomes unreasonable that the hypothesis shifts into being a theory.
And no, the ones claiming the birds are real do not necessarily have to bring the birds out for testing/verification (although this would easily destroy the theory). The birds can appear on their own, if possible.
So it doesn't make your theory any less a theory just because you can't prove that the birds they speak of are completely imaginary.
Yes.
Mostly because such a thing is an impossibility.
No impossible task would reduce the validity of a scientific theory. Science is about exploring what we can while working with what we have. It is not limited or affected by things that are impossible (like leaving the island in my example).
It doesn't change your theory until they produce the birds, right?
I would say "until some actual evidence of the birds is available"... but in a word: yes.
Scientific Theories are not hard and fast rules to live by forever. Such a notion is against what science stands for in the first place.
Scientific Theories are only rules to live by until more information is obtained.
Once new information is obtained, either the rules will continue to stand or they will be updated to account for the new data.
That's science.
Change is expected whenever new data is obtained.
There is no global, absolute right or wrong where science is concerned.
The right vs. wrong of science is entirely dependent on the information available. As that information increases, the rights and wrongs will change as required.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1128 by purpledawn, posted 03-08-2011 8:53 PM purpledawn has seen this message but not replied

Chuck77
Inactive Member


(1)
Message 1138 of 1725 (622300)
07-02-2011 7:24 AM


the bluegenes Challenge (bluegenes and RAZD only)
Im on page three of this debate so far, and I have to say It's absolutly fascinating. The most fascinating thing is the patience that RAZD is having with bluegenes. bluegenes is obviously in over his head and is doing everything he can to divert, dismiss and dodge.
AdminPD tried to come in and rescue bluegene from humiliating himself in message 23 (but seemed unaware of the point of the debate), by siding with him, curiously(one of RAZD's favorite words) and also, joining in on the diversion tactic. Why bluegene will not(so far) produce the strong "hypothesis" he claims to have is a mystery. If it's so strong why not point it out in the very first post? He may in the future finally do that, but like I said, im only on page three. Im curious to see how this ends. If I were bluegenes I would have bailed a long time ago. I give him a lot of credit for sticking it out.
This is my first comment on any of the "great debates". If it's outta line I apologize. Im just calling it as it is. No disrespect towards bluegene or AdminPD, my opinion is only based on the comments and nothing personal.
Edited by Chuck77, : No reason given.

Replies to this message:
 Message 1139 by Modulous, posted 07-02-2011 7:32 AM Chuck77 has not replied
 Message 1140 by Straggler, posted 07-02-2011 8:36 AM Chuck77 has not replied

Modulous
Member
Posts: 7801
From: Manchester, UK
Joined: 05-01-2005


Message 1139 of 1725 (622302)
07-02-2011 7:32 AM
Reply to: Message 1138 by Chuck77
07-02-2011 7:24 AM


Re: the bluegenes Challenge (bluegenes and RAZD only)
Why bluegene will not(so far) produce the strong "hypothesis" he claims to have is a mystery. If it's so strong why not point it out in the very first post?
Because RAZD already included it in the first post:
quote:
"All supernatural beings are figments of the human imagination".
This is a high level of confidence theory.
Anyway, he mentions it in Message 5:
quote:
When I present a statement like "all supernatural beings are figments of the human imagination" as a scientific theory, which is what I've been very clearly doing, using phrases like "scientific theory", and words like "falsifiable," it should be clear to scientifically informed readers what I mean.
And in his next post:
quote:
The theory that all supernatural beings come from the human imagination is built on the observation that the human imagination is the only known source of supernatural beings. Do you know of any source of supernatural beings other than the human imagination?
That's the theory, bluegenes is quite explicit about it. It's a little odd that you made it through 3 pages without noticing it. What did you think bluegenes was saying?

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1138 by Chuck77, posted 07-02-2011 7:24 AM Chuck77 has not replied

Straggler
Member
Posts: 10333
From: London England
Joined: 09-30-2006


Message 1140 of 1725 (622306)
07-02-2011 8:36 AM
Reply to: Message 1138 by Chuck77
07-02-2011 7:24 AM


Re: the bluegenes Challenge (bluegenes and RAZD only)
IF you can make the distinction between the statements:
1) I can prove that no supernatural entities exist.
and
2) The positive evidence favouring human imagination as the only known source of supernatural concepts leads me to tentatively conclude that all such concepts are products of human imagination.
THEN you will have gone a long way to understanding the nature of this debate.
Please note that Bluegenes never made the claim in statement 1) but RAZD never really seemed to grasp the difference between the two.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 1138 by Chuck77, posted 07-02-2011 7:24 AM Chuck77 has not replied

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