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Author Topic:   Dating Methodology and its Associated Assumptions
NosyNed
Member
Posts: 9003
From: Canada
Joined: 04-04-2003


Message 91 of 217 (152185)
10-23-2004 12:09 AM
Reply to: Message 89 by crashfrog
10-22-2004 11:44 PM


discarded
They weren't. They were published.
The replacement of them was done in the plain light of day with reasons given in detail.
Milton or others have to attack those reasons.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 89 by crashfrog, posted 10-22-2004 11:44 PM crashfrog has not replied

Cold Foreign Object 
Suspended Member (Idle past 3069 days)
Posts: 3417
Joined: 11-21-2003


Message 92 of 217 (152366)
10-23-2004 5:23 PM
Reply to: Message 89 by crashfrog
10-22-2004 11:44 PM


I owe responses in this present exchange.
If the veiled threat of banishment is not carried out I will post a response to each reply ASAP.
That's one. If you're right, there should be millions.
You're a little short. Keep working, though. The fact that there are so few proves us right, not you.
You are the first god-damn evo to admit to anything that is perceived to harm your position - how gratifying !
Our point about KBS Tuff is that all the "successfull" datings are instantly cast as self-fulfilling predictions based upon the cat out of the bag/criteria for discard dates/accept dates. This AND the rare incidences of age independantly discovered AFTER dating the material (or already known prior) equates to the only true independant accuracy checks.
IOW, all the silently successful dating determinations are not falsifiable - we must accept the date that the technique produces = invulnerable declaration = concept anathema to the claims of scientific enquiry.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 89 by crashfrog, posted 10-22-2004 11:44 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 93 by crashfrog, posted 10-23-2004 5:36 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 93 of 217 (152375)
10-23-2004 5:36 PM
Reply to: Message 92 by Cold Foreign Object
10-23-2004 5:23 PM


You are the first god-damn evo to admit to anything that is perceived to harm your position - how gratifying !
Nobody, ever, has proposed that every single radiodating attempt will always return perfect results. After all, humans have to do it, and humans fuck stuff up. Tests - any tests at all - only give valid results when you do them correctly, and when you're testing something that the test can test.
A bathroom scale won't weigh a feather, and a scientific pan-balance will break if you try to stand on it. We use different tools for different scales of measurements, and its no surprise to get bad results when you pick the wrong tool.
IOW, all the silently successful dating determinations are not falsifiable
Not so. If there wasn't validity to the measurements, Percy would be right - there would be hundreds of different competing schools of thought about what were the "right" ages and what were the "wrong" ones. But the fact that all legitimate scientists agree on the age of the Earth proves that there really is something there that they're measuring. The vast, vast majority of dating results are exactly what we expect them to be. If the measurement was invalid, they wouldn't be.
It's the correlation that validates them; it would be a lack of correlation that would falsify them. If it turned out that we were throwing out more results than we kept, that would mean the dating was bogus.
But it isn't like that at all.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 92 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-23-2004 5:23 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 94 by NosyNed, posted 10-23-2004 5:47 PM crashfrog has replied

NosyNed
Member
Posts: 9003
From: Canada
Joined: 04-04-2003


Message 94 of 217 (152382)
10-23-2004 5:47 PM
Reply to: Message 93 by crashfrog
10-23-2004 5:36 PM


But it's so simple.....
Since the dating is being "fixed" by throwing dates out all the various organizations like ICR have to do is commission carefully monitored collection of independant samples, over see the lab processes and publication of the results.
They don't have to keep ranting, they can use controlled sceintific processes to show that this is all wrong.
They haven't, they won't and they know why not. They are liars.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 93 by crashfrog, posted 10-23-2004 5:36 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 95 by crashfrog, posted 10-23-2004 6:09 PM NosyNed has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 95 of 217 (152401)
10-23-2004 6:09 PM
Reply to: Message 94 by NosyNed
10-23-2004 5:47 PM


Since the dating is being "fixed" by throwing dates out all the various organizations like ICR have to do is commission carefully monitored collection of independant samples, over see the lab processes and publication of the results.
Sure. "We took 10 samples, of 100 different rocks, each rock representing a situation that the evos claimed radiodating would be accurate for, and sent them, anonymously, to 10 different analysis labs."
If the results from each lab for each rock are about the same, then the dating must be valid. If ICR and WT are right, then they should get 10 wildly different results for each rock.
This message has been edited by crashfrog, 10-23-2004 05:11 PM

This message is a reply to:
 Message 94 by NosyNed, posted 10-23-2004 5:47 PM NosyNed has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 96 by Melchior, posted 10-23-2004 6:33 PM crashfrog has replied

Melchior
Inactive Member


Message 96 of 217 (152413)
10-23-2004 6:33 PM
Reply to: Message 95 by crashfrog
10-23-2004 6:09 PM


Close, but I don't think he'd accept that as a valid test. I sure wouldn't, based on his argument. (Which I don't support, but that's irrelevant)
The problem isn't that the numbers are consistent with each other. The problem is that the actual number they yield isn't accepted by all.
It's tricky to answer such an argument because it isn't about the actual method but rather about the 'scientific politics' surrounding it.
Even if all 10 laboratories says something like "the ratio of elements are close to x%" you still need to interpret what x% means when you convert it to years.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 95 by crashfrog, posted 10-23-2004 6:09 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 97 by NosyNed, posted 10-23-2004 6:36 PM Melchior has not replied
 Message 98 by crashfrog, posted 10-23-2004 7:55 PM Melchior has not replied

NosyNed
Member
Posts: 9003
From: Canada
Joined: 04-04-2003


Message 97 of 217 (152414)
10-23-2004 6:36 PM
Reply to: Message 96 by Melchior
10-23-2004 6:33 PM


ah but more
That's why it should be done using more than one decay series. If they agree then it gets very hard to argue with what is going on other than the old "god the liar" explanation.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 96 by Melchior, posted 10-23-2004 6:33 PM Melchior has not replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 98 of 217 (152434)
10-23-2004 7:55 PM
Reply to: Message 96 by Melchior
10-23-2004 6:33 PM


The problem isn't that the numbers are consistent with each other.
That's exactly what his argument is, though. That the results of dating are all over the map, but scientists secretly discard all the dating results except for those that match some arbitrary geologic timeline.
I assert that no such discarded, secret results exist; I assert that the wastebins of dating labs are not, in fact, filled with rejected results. I maintain that the opposite is true - the vast, vast majority of dating results are right in line with our expectations, and we very rarely have to reject results because their enormous divergence indicates procedural error.
But it would be easy to prove me wrong - have 10 labs test the same samples, collect the data before the Scientific Conspiracy has a chance to throw it out, and show it to us.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 96 by Melchior, posted 10-23-2004 6:33 PM Melchior has not replied

MarkAustin
Member (Idle past 3836 days)
Posts: 122
From: London., UK
Joined: 05-23-2003


Message 99 of 217 (152709)
10-25-2004 7:03 AM
Reply to: Message 74 by Cold Foreign Object
10-22-2004 6:28 PM


Re: Scientific Circles
OK, since no-ones called you on this, I will.
It's totally false.
The paper Milton alleges he refers to called:
Radiogenic Helium and Argon in Ultramafic Inclusions from Hawaii, J.G. Funkhouser and J.J. Naughton, Journal of Geophysical Research 73:14 pp. 4601-4607 (15 July 1968)
My bold in the title.
What it's about is this. Hawaiian lava is, relatively speaking, cool, and carries along with it lumps of solid rock which are left as inclusions when the lava cools down.
What the paper was about was seeing if you could get a date of the underlying magma from these inclusions. Theory said no, there would be Argon outgassing but, like good scientists, the authors of the paper checked it to see.
They first dataed the lava and duly returned a date of 0. They then dated the inclusions and got dates all over the place.
Conclusion: inclusiomns cannot be accurately dated: just as theory had predicted.
Now, look further at this. Milton quoted the paper's title accurately, if incompletely; and thus must have read it. Therefore he knows what the paper said. Therefore he's lying to you Willowtree.
See here for more details. The story of recent Hawaiian lava dating old is wrong.
In addition to the unplanned snapshot of the South African rock painting dating incident (Scientific Circles (Message 68)) which exposed the dating method to be completely unreliable -
"Shattering the Myths of Darwinism" by Richard Milton (page47):
"The possibility of anomalous inclusion of argon is not merely conjecture but is borne out by numerous studies of volcanic rocks that have resulted in false dates. Even modern volcanic lava formed in recent historical times has been dated as up to 3 billion years old by the potassium-argon method.
A study of Hawaiian basaltic lava actually dating from an eruption in 1801, near Hualalei, came up with postassium-argon dates ranging from 160 million years to 3 billion years. (G.J. Funkhouser and J.J. Naughton, 1968)

This message is a reply to:
 Message 74 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-22-2004 6:28 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 100 by RAZD, posted 10-25-2004 11:44 AM MarkAustin has not replied
 Message 127 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-28-2004 7:45 PM MarkAustin has replied

RAZD
Member (Idle past 1426 days)
Posts: 20714
From: the other end of the sidewalk
Joined: 03-14-2004


Message 100 of 217 (152788)
10-25-2004 11:44 AM
Reply to: Message 99 by MarkAustin
10-25-2004 7:03 AM


Re: Scientific Circles
thanks, I'm saving that site for the NEXT time volcanic dating comes up...

This message is a reply to:
 Message 99 by MarkAustin, posted 10-25-2004 7:03 AM MarkAustin has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 101 by wj, posted 10-26-2004 9:03 AM RAZD has not replied

wj
Inactive Member


Message 101 of 217 (153015)
10-26-2004 9:03 AM
Reply to: Message 100 by RAZD
10-25-2004 11:44 AM


Re: Scientific Circles
For further details you might be interested in this article and this article .
I didn't think Milton was that gullible or dishonest but it appears that I am mistaken.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 100 by RAZD, posted 10-25-2004 11:44 AM RAZD has not replied

Cold Foreign Object 
Suspended Member (Idle past 3069 days)
Posts: 3417
Joined: 11-21-2003


Message 102 of 217 (153492)
10-27-2004 8:00 PM
Reply to: Message 80 by Percy
10-22-2004 7:46 PM


Re: Scientific Circles
About the "any evidence" part, that's the problem with your story: it offers no evidence.
Everything Milton says is pure unbiased evidence.
How about Dalrymple ?
It is your opinion that his assertions are evidence, yet every objective person knows that his dates cannot be checked for accuracy except by some other scheme whose dates cannot be independantly verified either.
A good deal of our discussions with you seems to revolve around your inability to understand what constitutes evidence.
I think the same about you - how any evidence which is seen to prove a major theist point = instant subjective declaration insisting that whatever you decide is objective already matter of fact truth.
Like I said, its your Forum - too bad you must win by the threat of exclusion if somebody doesn't bow to your capriciousness.
On our side of the discussion, we can cite actual scientific literature supporting the validity of radiometric dating.
All this literature was produced by people on your side of the discussion = untrustworthy.
When I supported my height claims you cried fraud.
Well I finally understand your point - anything produced by someone who agrees with the evidence being offered is fraud.
IOW, you are asserting anything which supports your cows to be evidence and anything which does not is not evidence.
Seeing how this is your Debate Forum you can do that and get away with it but everyone knows this is not how validity is determined.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 80 by Percy, posted 10-22-2004 7:46 PM Percy has not replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 103 by crashfrog, posted 10-27-2004 8:32 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied
 Message 106 by MarkAustin, posted 10-28-2004 2:53 AM Cold Foreign Object has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 103 of 217 (153507)
10-27-2004 8:32 PM
Reply to: Message 102 by Cold Foreign Object
10-27-2004 8:00 PM


It is your opinion that his assertions are evidence, yet every objective person knows that his dates cannot be checked for accuracy except by some other scheme whose dates cannot be independantly verified either.
That is the independant verification, though. Using another method. They verify each other, and are independant, because they're based on independant mechanisms.
How else would you verify something? It's pretty clear that you have no concept of what "independant verification" would mean.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 102 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-27-2004 8:00 PM Cold Foreign Object has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 104 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-27-2004 8:52 PM crashfrog has replied

Cold Foreign Object 
Suspended Member (Idle past 3069 days)
Posts: 3417
Joined: 11-21-2003


Message 104 of 217 (153513)
10-27-2004 8:52 PM
Reply to: Message 103 by crashfrog
10-27-2004 8:32 PM


How else would you verify something? It's pretty clear that you have no concept of what "independant verification" would mean.
When methods fail unplanned accuracy checks and dating events which age of material is known THEN this is the basis to deem them unreliable.
Even though discard dates are admitted to exist no sweetheart exemption will be given for what everyone should have without saying: honesty.
The point here is the method producing the scatter and the "objective scientific" decision which accepts a date that always coincides with everything ever published. Why date to begin with if you are going to settle on a date previously decided ?
The only true independant accuracy check is the unplanned and previous known date of a material. Everything else is internal and cannot escape the criticism of a database of self-fulfilling predictions.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 103 by crashfrog, posted 10-27-2004 8:32 PM crashfrog has replied

Replies to this message:
 Message 105 by crashfrog, posted 10-27-2004 9:22 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied
 Message 107 by mark24, posted 10-28-2004 10:37 AM Cold Foreign Object has replied

crashfrog
Member (Idle past 1488 days)
Posts: 19762
From: Silver Spring, MD
Joined: 03-20-2003


Message 105 of 217 (153524)
10-27-2004 9:22 PM
Reply to: Message 104 by Cold Foreign Object
10-27-2004 8:52 PM


When methods fail unplanned accuracy checks and dating events which age of material is known THEN this is the basis to deem them unreliable.
They haven't, though. The research you posted was not an "unplanned accuracy check", it was an attempt to try to date something thought to be undatable.
Surprise, they were right. It was undatable.
Why date to begin with if you are going to settle on a date previously decided ?
Decided by who? The Scientific Conspiracy? Oooo! Spooky! Don't you know they're watching?
WT, I've told you what you have to do to prove your point. Why don'y you go out and do it? You're just wasting my time, and yours.
The only true independant accuracy check is the unplanned and previous known date of a material.
How would you get these "previous known dates" if not by dating, via some method?
At any rate, radiometric dating has never failed such a test. The only data you've posted attempted to date material with no known date.

This message is a reply to:
 Message 104 by Cold Foreign Object, posted 10-27-2004 8:52 PM Cold Foreign Object has not replied

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